
随着投资者重新投入这家人工智能芯片制造商,Nvidia Corp.即将成为第一家市值达到6万亿美元的公司。
Corp. is on the verge of becoming the first company with a $6 trillion market capitalization as investors rotate back into the artificial-intelligence chipmaker.
在该公司给出强劲的收入前景并宣布进行历史上最大规模的回购后,该股再次创下历史新高,该股利用了接近多年低点的估值。这两大支柱--强劲的增长和廉价的倍数--脱颖而出,特别是在投资者努力应对高利率和不温不火的经济数据之际。
The stock is once more at a record high after the company gave a robust revenue outlook and announced the biggest buyback in history, which takes advantage of a valuation that’s near multi-year lows. Those twin pillars — strong growth and a cheap multiple — stand out, especially as investors grapple with high interest rates and tepid economic data.
持有英伟达股份的Clearstead Advisors高级董事总经理吉姆·阿瓦德(Jim Awad)表示:“英伟达无论从增长角度还是从价值角度来看都很有吸引力,而且它看起来像是一个避风港,免受加息可能对经济造成的损害。”“所有这些都使得它在这里成为一个如此有吸引力的提议,如果人们有担忧,他们应该继续关注这个地方。”今年,英伟达股价上涨28%,使英伟达的市值增加了1.2万亿美元,接近5.8万亿美元。该公司也是迄今为止标准普尔500指数2026年上涨14%的最大贡献者。
“Nvidia is attractive on both a growth basis and a value basis, and it looks like a haven from any damage higher rates could do to the economy,” said Jim Awad, senior managing director at Clearstead Advisors, which owns Nvidia shares. “All of which makes it such an attractive proposition here and a place people should continue to gravitate to if they have concerns.”The shares are up 28% this year in a rally that has added $1.2 trillion to Nvidia’s market capitalization, bringing it to just shy of $5.8 trillion. The company also is by far the biggest contributor to the S&P 500 Index’s 14% gain in 2026.
考虑到3月30日该股全年下跌11%,因为投资者质疑人工智能基础设施上的数千亿美元,此举尤其引人注目。从那时起,围绕人工智能领域的情绪发生了转变,关于人工智能对人类构成的潜在威胁的更多生存问题现在主导了对话。与此同时,通胀风险和美联储加息的可能性使得英伟达等大型科技公司在投资者看来相对安全。
The move is particularly striking considering the stock was down 11% for the year on March 30 as investors questioned the hundreds of billions of dollars being spent on AI infrastructure. Since then, sentiment around the AI landscape has flipped, with more existential questions about the potential threats it poses to humanity now leading the conversation. Meanwhile, inflation risks and the likelihood of interest-rate hikes by the Federal Reserve have made megacap technology companies like Nvidia look relatively safe to investors.
蓝筹股日报的拉里·滕塔雷利(Larry Tentarelli)表示:“随着加息担忧成为现实,资金开始流入这些大型科技股,因为它们对加息的抵抗力更强。”他补充说,半导体行业也出现了元平台公司(Meta Platforms Inc.)刺激的反弹。”的缪斯人工智能代理。“大轮换回到半决赛,大轮换回到超级杯,这两种情况对英伟达来说都很好。”
“As rate hike fears have materialized money starts to move into these megacap tech stocks because they’re a little bit more resistant to rate hikes,” said Larry Tentarelli of Blue Chip Daily, adding that the semiconductor sector has also seen a rebound spurred by Meta Platforms Inc.’s Muse AI agent. There’s “big rotation back into semis, a big rotation back into the megacaps and both of those play out well for Nvidia.”
英伟达在现有的股票回购计划下额外授权1500亿美元,凸显了对投资者的吸引力,首席执行官黄詹森表示,该计划“反映了我们对未来长期机遇的信心”。在此之前,他称英伟达为“全球第一只也是唯一一只成长型股票”。华尔街倾向于喜欢回购,因为它们代表着对股东的支付,并减少公司的流通股,从而提高每股收益。Nvidia的回购在大型科技公司中是独一无二的,这些公司主要将现金用于人工智能支出,但苹果公司除外。
The lure for investors was underlined by Nvidia’s authorization of an additional $150 billion under its existing share-repurchase program, which Chief Executive Officer Jensen Huang said “reflects our confidence in the long-term opportunity ahead.”Prior to that, he called Nvidia “the world’s first and only growth value stock.”Wall Street tends to like buybacks as they represent payouts to stockholders and reduce a companies’ outstanding shares, providing a lift to earnings per share. Nvidia’s repurchase is unique among Big Tech companies, which are primarily using their cash for AI spending, with the exception of Apple Inc.
瑞穗证券分析师乔丹·克莱因(Jordan Klein)在9月的一份报告中写道,此次回购“是投资者希望看到的”,因为它表明该公司“与投资者分享疯狂的高利润率带来的财富”。28给客户的注意事项。
The buyback “is what investors want to see,” as it shows the company “sharing the wealth of their crazy high profit margins with investors,” Mizuho Securities analyst Jordan Klein wrote in a Sept. 28 note to clients.
虽然有人认为回购只是公司在没有有机增长的情况下夸大每股收益的一种方式,但这几乎不适用于英伟达。该芯片制造商在之前的报告中预计2028财年销售额将增长70%,远高于预期的45%。
While there is an argument that buybacks are just a way for companies to inflate their earnings per share without organic growth, that hardly applies to Nvidia. In its previous report, the chipmaker projected that sales would expand 70% in fiscal 2028, well above the 45% growth that had been expected.
Clearstead的阿瓦德表示:“它之所以能够进行如此大规模回购,是因为它增长如此之快,以至于它拥有的钱多得不知道该怎么办。”“它仍然处于人工智能革命的前沿,没有任何减弱的迹象,而且它所看到的需求似乎对利率上升不敏感,这增加了人们对可持续发展的信心。”英伟达的净利润预计将在1月份结束的2027财年翻一番,收入跃升90%。一年前,这两个数字都增长了65%。
“The reason it’s able to do this huge buyback is because it is growing so fast that it has more money than it knows what to do with,” Clearstead’s Awad said. “It remains on the cutting edge of an AI revolution that shows no signs of abating, and the demand it is seeing seems insensitive to rising rates, which adds to confidence in the sustainability.”Nvidia’s net income is expected to double in fiscal 2027, which ends in January, with revenue leaping 90%. A year ago, both figures rose 65%.
但即便如此,英伟达今年仍落后于整个半导体行业。在美光科技公司等公司的推动下,费城证券交易所半导体指数在2026年上涨了86%,Marvell Technology Inc.和英特尔公司,尽管股价低于今年早些时候创下的历史高点,但仍上涨了200%以上。
But even with all that, Nvidia is still lagging the overall semiconductor sector this year. The Philadelphia Stock Exchange Semiconductor Index has gained 86% in 2026, fueled by companies like Micron Technology Inc., Marvell Technology Inc. and Intel Corp., whose stock prices are up more than 200% even as they trade below their record highs hit earlier in the year.
当然,英伟达的问题至少有一部分只是市场的物理学-它现在是世界上最大的股票,它需要很大的震动股票一直是标准普尔500指数十年来表现最好的股票。这种增长还能继续下去吗?
Of course, at least part of Nvidia’s problem is simply the market’s physics — it’s now the biggest stock in the world, and it takes a lot to jolt shares that have been far and away the best performers in the S&P 500 for a decade. Can this growth just keep on going?
这个问题是为什么该股目前的市盈率约为未来12个月预期市盈率的17倍,接近10年来的最低水平,低于标准普尔500指数的市盈率19倍。
That question is at the heart of why the stock now trades at about 17 times earnings expected over the next 12 months, close to its lowest level in 10 years and a discount to the S&P 500 Index, which is priced at 19 times forward earnings.
“英伟达是一只廉价股票,但英伟达遇到的问题几乎是其自身成功的受害者,”滕塔雷利说。“移动指针需要付出很多努力。”
“Nvidia is a cheap stock, but the problem that Nvidia runs into, it’s almost a victim of its own success,” Tentarelli said. “It just takes so much to move the needle.”