马来西亚计划在可能举行选举之前为2027年拨款1125亿美元作者:Rozanna Latiff 和 Ashley Tang吉隆坡,10月9日 - 马来西亚政府周五提出了一项适度扩张性的2027年预算案,金额为4598亿令吉(1124.8亿美元),尽管全球油价上涨带来的财政压力日益增加,仍在加大支出力度,以应对可能的选举。
Malaysia plans $112.5 billion budget for 2027 ahead of possible election By Rozanna Latiff and Ashley Tang KUALA LUMPUR, Oct 9 - Malaysia's government on Friday proposed a moderately expansionary budget of 459.8 billion ringgit ($112.48 billion) for 2027, ramping up spending ahead of a possible election despite growing fiscal pressure from a jump in global oil prices.
由于美国-以色列对伊朗战争导致能源成本上升,马来西亚的年度补贴账单激增,根据随预算发布的2027财政和经济展望报告,其2026财政赤字目标被微幅上调至国内生产总值的3.6%,此前为3.5%。
Malaysia's annual subsidy bill has ballooned amid higher energy costs from the US-Israeli war on Iran, prompting a narrow upward revision of its 2026 fiscal deficit target to 3.6% of gross domestic product from 3.5%, according to 2027 fiscal and economic outlook reports released with the budget.
然而,首相安瓦尔·伊布拉欣淡化了人们对财政滑坡的担忧,表示马来西亚仍致力于实现其中期财政目标。他表示,2027年的赤字预计将降至3.3%。
Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim, however, downplayed worries of fiscal slippage, saying Malaysia remained committed to its medium-term fiscal objectives. In 2027, the deficit was projected to decline to 3.3%, he said.
“这并不代表财政紧缩的偏离。它展示了在形势要求时具备应对能力的价值,”他在财政展望报告的前言中如是说。
“This does not represent a departure from fiscal consolidation. It demonstrates the value of having built the capacity to respond when circumstances demand it,” he said in the foreword to the fiscal outlook report.
安瓦尔同时也是财政部长,他计划于周五下午3点30分(格林尼治标准时间0730)在议会宣布更多预算细节。
Anwar, who is also finance minister, was scheduled to announce more budget details in parliament at 3:30 p.m. (0730 GMT) on Friday.
他的联盟在最近几个月的地区选举中遭遇了一系列挫折,其多党执政联盟内部紧张局势加剧,引发人们对提前举行全国大选的预期。
His coalition has faced a series of setbacks in regional elections in recent months, with simmering tensions within his multi-party ruling alliance fuelling expectations of early national polls.
尽管下届全国大选原定于2028年2月举行,但安瓦尔表示,如果内部分歧恶化,他可能会提前举行临时选举。2026年增长前景上调报告显示,马来西亚经济预计在2027年将比上一年增长4.2%至5.2%,得益于持续的国内需求,经济韧性仍然较强。
The next general election is not due until February 2028 but Anwar has said he may call for snap polls if internal divisions worsen. OUTLOOK FOR 2026 GROWTH RAISED Malaysia’s economy was expected to expand between 4.2% and 5.2% from a year earlier in 2027, remaining resilient on sustained domestic demand, the reports showed.
马来西亚曾在3月份因经济表现好于预期而上调了2026年的增长预测,并在其最新展望中进一步提高了该预测。
Malaysia had in March raised its growth forecast for 2026 on a better-than-expected economic performance and hiked its projections further in its latest outlook.
2026年的经济增长预计将达到4.8%至5.3%预测区间的上限,即比之前估计的4%至5%更快,政府表示。2026年上半年经济增长了5.7%。
Economic growth in 2026 was now expected to come in at the upper end of the projected range of 4.8% to 5.3%, faster than the previous estimate of 4% to 5%, the government said. The economy grew 5.7% in the first half of 2026.
马来西亚的总体通胀预计将在2027年介于1.8%至2.8%之间,较2026年修订后的1.5%至2.5%预估上调,反映了能源、食品及其他投入成本上升的滞后传递和累积效应,政府补充道。
Malaysia’s headline inflation was forecast to range between 1.8% and 2.8% in 2027 from a revised estimate of 1.5% to 2.5% in 2026, reflecting carry-over effects and lagged transmission of higher energy, food and other input costs, it added.
其货币政策仍与价格稳定和可持续经济增长的前景保持一致,政府表示。截至目前,央行已将基准利率维持在2.75%。
Its monetary policy remains consistent with the outlook for price stability and sustainable economic growth, it said. The central bank has maintained its benchmark interest rate at 2.75% so far this year.
国油增加对政府的股息 根据政府报告,2027年的支出将较今年修订后的4441亿令吉预算增加3.6%,其中包括830亿令吉的发展性支出和3768亿令吉的运营支出。
PETRONAS INCREASES DIVIDENDS TO GOVERNMENT The 2027 spending, an increase of 3.6% over this year’s revised budget of 444.1 billion ringgit, includes development expenditure of 83 billion ringgit and operating expenditure of 376.8 billion ringgit, according to the government reports.
报告称,收入预计将在2027年增长4.7%至3808亿令吉,较今年预测的3636亿令吉增加,基于经济增长韧性但有所放缓的假设。
Revenue was seen rising by 4.7% to 380.8 billion ringgit in 2027, from a projected 363.6 billion ringgit this year on the assumption of resilient albeit moderating economic growth, the reports said.
国家能源公司国油是公共财政的重要贡献者,将在2027年向政府支付320亿令吉的股息,较今年修订后的270亿令吉有所增加。国油最初计划在2026年贡献200亿令吉。
State energy firm Petronas, a significant contributor to public coffers, will pay the government a dividend of 32 billion ringgit in 2027, up from a revised estimate of 27 billion this year. Petronas was initially due to contribute 20 billion ringgit in 2026.
预计燃料成本上升将推动今年的补贴和社会救助支出增加至745亿令吉,较2025年增长34.7%。2027年,政府的补贴支出预计将小幅下降至727亿令吉。
Higher fuel costs are expected to push subsidies and social assistance spending up to 74.5 billion ringgit this year, a jump of 34.7% from 2025's expenditure. In 2027, the government's subsidy spend was forecast to decline marginally to 72.7 billion ringgit.
分析师称,安瓦尔预计将在周五揭晓更多减税措施、现金援助转移及其他应对生活成本上升的措施,并可能宣布审查目前每月1700令吉的最低工资标准。
Anwar is expected to unveil more tax relief measures, cash aid transfers, and other assistance to address rising living costs on Friday, and may announce a review of the minimum wage, currently set at 1,700 ringgit a month, analysts said.
在其经济展望的10页文章中,政府认为,需要加强工资改革,特别是在微型、小型和中型企业部门,以解决各行业之间的显著工资差距,并确保强劲的经济增长转化为整体更好的收入。"提升劳动密集型中小微企业的工资必须成为首要焦点,以实现广泛的'大推动'效应,重建工资阶梯,使更多工人能够从更高价值的活动和有意义的工资增长中受益。"它表示。
In a 10-page article in its economic outlook, the government argued that stronger wage reform, particularly in the micro, small and medium enterprise sector, was needed to address substantial salary gaps across industries and ensure that strong economic growth translated into better incomes overall. "Uplifting wages in labour-intensive MSMEs must be made the primary focus to generate a broad-based 'big-push' impact in rebuilding the wage ladder, enabling more workers to benefit from higher-value activities and meaningful wage progression," it said.