澳大利亚三年期国债拍卖的需求激增至2018年以来的最高水平，因为交易员押注该国央行正接近结束其加息周期。
Demand at an Australian three-year bond auction surged to the highest since 2018 as traders bet the nation’s central bank is nearing the end if its interest-rate hike cycle.
根据澳大利亚金融管理局的数据，投资者认购了近五倍于本周五发行的、2029年4月到期的10亿澳元（约合6.92亿美元）国债。该国债的投标倍数——衡量投资者需求的关键指标——达到2018年10月以来的最高水平。
Investors sought nearly five times the A$1 billion ($692 million) of notes maturing in April 2029 on offer on Friday, according to data from the Australian Office of Financial Management. The bid-to-cover ratio for the bond, a key measure of investor demand, reached its highest level since October 2018, the data show.
需求激增是在周四公布的低于预期的就业数据之后出现的，这促使投资者进一步下调对澳大利亚储备银行加息的押注。根据彭博社编译的数据，互换现在暗示11月加息的概率约为22%，交易员不再完全提前定价明年早季度的最后一次25个基点加息。
The surge in demand followed softer-than-expected jobs data on Thursday that prompted investors to further scale back bets on Reserve Bank of Australia rate hikes. Swaps now imply roughly a 22% chance of a November rate increase, with traders no longer fully pricing in a final quarter-point increase early next year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
FIIG证券研究主管菲利普·布朗预计，澳大利亚国债在整个收益率曲线上将继续受到强劲需求。“失业率越高，RBA从加息转向降息的速度就越快。”}
Philip Brown, head of research at FIIG Securities, expects strong demand for Australian bonds across the curve. “The higher unemployment is, the faster the RBA moves from hikes to cuts.”