
一项以色列民调周五公布显示,总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡的阵营与反对派势均力敌,双方均未达到组建政府所需的多数席位,而55%的受访者表示,如果即将举行的选举未能产生决定性结果,他们支持组建联合政府。
An Israeli opinion poll published on Friday showed Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s bloc and the opposition tied, with neither reaching the majority needed to form a government, while 55% of respondents favored a unity government if the upcoming election produces no decisive result.
这项由《马阿里夫报》发布的民调公布于10月27日大选前11天,显示如果今天举行投票,内塔尼亚胡的阵营和犹太反对派将在120席的议会中各赢得51个席位。
The Maariv poll, published 11 days before the Oct. 27 general election, showed that if voting were held today, both Netanyahu’s bloc and the Jewish opposition would win 51 seats each in the 120-member Knesset.
与此同时,阿拉伯议员预计将赢得14个席位,预备役党将赢得四个席位,但未表明将支持哪个阵营。
Arab lawmakers, meanwhile, were projected to win 14 seats, while the Reservists Party would secure four, without indicating which bloc it would support.
组建政府需要至少61名议员的支持。否则,以色列可能面临另一次选举。
A government requires the backing of at least 61 lawmakers. Otherwise, Israel could face another election.
内塔尼亚胡阵营和主要犹太反对派政党都拒绝依赖阿拉伯政党来组建政府。
Both Netanyahu’s camp and the main Jewish opposition parties reject relying on Arab parties to form a government.
根据该民调,内塔尼亚胡的阵营将分为:利库德党18席,伊塔马尔·本-格维尔领导的犹太力量党8席,宗教统一妥拉犹太教党8席,沙斯党7席,贝扎莱尔·斯莫特里奇领导的宗教犹太复国主义党6席,奥弗·温特领导的阿姆查以色列党4席。
According to the poll, Netanyahu’s bloc would be divided among Likud with 18 seats, Itamar Ben-Gvir’s Jewish Power eight, the religious United Torah Judaism party eight, Shas seven, Bezalel Smotrich’s Religious Zionism six and Ofer Winter’s Amcha Yisrael four.
犹太反对派将包括:加迪·艾森科特领导的亚沙尔党21席,纳夫塔利·贝内特领导的在一起党13席,亚尔·戈兰领导的民主党9席,阿维格多尔·利伯曼领导的以色列我们的家园党8席。
The Jewish opposition would include Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party with 21 seats, Naftali Bennett’s Together 13, Yair Golan’s Democrats nine and Avigdor Lieberman’s Yisrael Beiteinu eight.
在阿拉伯政党中,由尤瑟夫·贾巴林领导的联合名单预计将赢得8席,而曼苏尔·阿巴斯领导的阿拉伯统一名单,即拉姆党,将获得6席。
Among Arab parties, the Joint List led by Yousef Jabareen was projected to win eight seats, while Mansour Abbas’ United Arab List, or Ra’am, would receive six.
由约阿兹·亨德尔领导的预备役党预计将赢得四席,民调未确定其将支持哪个阵营。
The Reservists Party, headed by Yoaz Hendel, is projected to win four seats, with the poll not determining which camp it would support.
在首相人选偏好方面,前以色列军参谋长艾森科特以48%的支持率领先于内塔尼亚胡,后者为41%。
On the preferred candidate for prime minister, Eisenkot, a former Israeli army chief of staff, remained ahead of Netanyahu with 48% support compared with 41% for the incumbent.
以色列人不直接选举首相。该职位由能够组建至少61名议员支持的联合政府的政客担任。
Israelis do not directly elect their prime minister. The post goes to the politician able to form a coalition backed by at least 61 lawmakers.
如果政治僵局持续,以色列可能面临另一次选举,除非组建联合政府。
If the political deadlock continues, Israel could face another election unless a unity government is formed.
民调发现,55%的以色列人表示,如果10月27日的投票未能产生明确结果,他们更倾向于组建国家联合政府,而不是再次举行选举。另有27%的人表示支持举行新的选举,18%的人尚未决定。结果显示,两个阵营之间存在差异。
The poll found that 55% of Israelis prefer a national unity government over another election if the Oct. 27 vote fails to produce a clear outcome. Another 27% said they favor holding a new election, while 18% were undecided. The results showed differences between the two camps.
在反对派选民中,54%的人表示,他们支持联合政府,前提是该政府由其阵营的一位领导人领导。
Among opposition voters, 54% said they support a unity government provided it is headed by a leader from their bloc.
在执政联盟选民中,36%的人支持由内塔尼亚胡领导的联合政府,而32%的人表示,如果没有明确结果,他们更倾向于举行另一次选举。
Among coalition voters, 36% backed a unity government led by Netanyahu, while 32% preferred another election if no clear result emerged.
《马阿里夫报》称,该民调由私人拉扎尔研究所进行,对700名以色列人的随机样本进行了调查,误差范围为3.7个百分点。
Maariv said the poll was conducted by the private Lazar Research Institute among a random sample of 700 Israelis, with a margin of error of 3.7 percentage points.