
另一项民调显示,巴西左翼总统路易斯·伊纳西奥·卢拉·达席尔瓦在10月25日的决选中落后于右翼参议员弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗。
Another poll has shown leftist Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva trailing behind right-wing Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in the October 25 run-off election.
CNT/MDA周五发布的调查显示,博尔索纳罗获得46.8%的选票,而卢拉为45.9%。
The survey, released by CNT/MDA on Friday, showed Bolsonaro taking 46.8 percent of the vote, compared with 45.9 percent for Lula.
这一最新预测是在Quaest民调发现博尔索纳罗获得46%选票、卢拉获得44%选票一天后发布的。另一项Datafolha民调显示,博尔索纳罗获得47%选票,卢拉获得45%,较一周前的49%有所下降。
The latest projection comes a day after a Quaest poll found Bolsonaro carrying 46 percent of the vote, compared with Lula’s 44 percent. A separate Datafolha poll found Bolsonaro taking 47 percent of the vote against Lula’s 45, down from 49 percent a week earlier.
目前这三项民调均在2%的误差范围内,这意味着许多专家仍认为此次选举胜负难料。尽管如此,这些调查凸显了卢拉所面临的不舒适的政治局势——一个月前,他仍被预测将轻松赢得选举胜利。
All three polls currently fall within a 2 percent margin of error, meaning the race is still considered by many experts to be a toss-up. Still, they underscore an uncomfortable political climate for Lula, who had a month ago been projected to easily sail to victory at the ballot box.
而在此之前,前总统雅伊尔·博尔索纳罗之子弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗在10月4日的第一轮投票中获得了所有候选人中最多的选票。
That was before Bolsonaro, the son of former President Jair Bolsonaro, took the most votes out of any candidate in the first round of voting on October 4.
博尔索纳罗获得56,104,503票,而卢拉获得53,879,538票。
Bolsonaro won 56,104,503 votes compared with Lula’s 53,879,538.
这位参议员紧随其父亲的政治道路,其父亲因被选举法院裁定滥用职权、对2022年总统选举结果提出质疑,被禁止参加2030年前的连选连任。
The senator has hewed closely to the political persona of his father, who has been barred from running for re-election until 2030 after an electoral court ruled he abused his authority to cast doubt on the 2022 presidential election.
年长的博尔索纳罗目前仍被软禁在家,因参与推翻2022年选举结果的行为而被判处27年监禁,而那次选举他正是输给了卢拉。
The elder Bolsonaro has remained under house arrest while serving a 27-year sentence connected to efforts to overturn the 2022 vote, which he lost to Lula.
42岁的弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗承诺将打击犯罪和毒品贩运,并削减用于政府项目的税收。如果他获胜,将成为紧密与美国总统唐纳德·特朗普对齐的最新一位在该地区掌权的保守派领导人。
Flavio Bolsonaro, 42, has pledged a crackdown on crime and drug trafficking and to cleave taxes used to pay for government programmes. A win would make him the latest conservative leader closely aligned with US President Donald Trump to take power in the region.
与此同时,卢拉一直在举行定期集会,希望激发其支持者的热情。这位80岁的政治家正在寻求第四个非连续任期,其政治生涯已近五十年。
Lula, meanwhile, has been holding regular rallies hoping to energise his supporters. The 80-year-old politician is seeking a fourth, non-consecutive term after a political career spanning nearly five decades.
周三,该国国会批准了一项修正案,以给予工人每周两天带薪休假,而非一天。
On Wednesday, the country’s Congress approved an amendment to give workers two paid days off a week, as opposed to one.
此举在投票前几天为卢拉在其首要社会改革承诺之一上赢得了重大胜利。
The move gives Lula a major victory on one of his top social reform promises just days before the vote.
此次选举正值拉美最大经济体的关键时刻。巴西民众正面临对犯罪和生活成本的担忧,而该国与美国的关系也日益紧张。此次投票也正受到整个地区的密切关注,该地区在一系列近期选举中已明显向右转。
The election comes at a pivotal time for Latin America’s largest economy. Brazilians are grappling with concerns over crime and the cost of living, while the country faces an increasingly tense relationship with the United States. The vote is also being closely watched across a region that has shifted sharply to the right in a series of recent elections.