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官员:安哥拉2026年燃油补贴支出预计将达40亿美元Angola's fuel subsidies spending projected to hit $4 billion in 2026, official says

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安哥拉财政部国务秘书兼财政部长奥托尼埃尔·多斯·桑托斯周五对路透社表示,安哥拉今年可能在燃油补贴上花费高达3.8万亿克瓦扎(41.6亿美元),几乎是其最初预测的低于2万亿克瓦扎的两倍。

Angola could spend up to 3.8 trillion kwanzas ($4.16 billion) on fuel subsidies this year, nearly double its initial projections of less than 2 trillion kwanzas, a senior finance official told Reuters on Friday.

这一增加凸显了这个产油国所面临的财政压力,因为中东持续战争导致能源价格飙升,推高了维持国内燃油价格低位的成本。

The increase underscores the fiscal strain facing the oil-producing nation, as surging energy prices from the ongoing war in the Middle East drive up the cost of keeping domestic fuel prices low.

多斯·桑托斯告诉路透社,不断攀升的补贴账单正在给政府施加压力,要求其加速于2023年开始的逐步取消补贴的进程,但当局担心行动过快可能带来经济和社会后果,因而持谨慎态度。

The mounting bill is adding pressure on the government to accelerate its gradual removal of subsidies, which began in 2023, but authorities are wary of moving too quickly for fear of economic and social fallout, Ottoniel dos Santos, Angola's secretary of state for finance and the treasury, told Reuters.

“我们不仅需要推进补贴的取消,还需要推进经济的多元化,”多斯·桑托斯在曼谷国际货币基金组织和世界银行年会期间的一次采访中表示。

"We need to move not only with the subsidies removal, but also with the diversification of our economy," said dos Santos in an interview on the sidelines of the annual meetings of the International Monetary Fund and World Bank in Bangkok.

“目前,它就这样被执行着——慢慢地,”他补充道,指的是补贴的逐步削减。“但如果有任何可以利用的窗口……并且如果我们预计对更脆弱群体的影响将低于我们的预测,那么实施起来就会很容易。”该国目前预计全年油价将平均维持在每桶约90美元,高于其在2026年预算中使用的参考价61美元每桶。

"For now, it's been taken as it is - slowly," he added, referring to the scaling back of subsidies. "But if there is any window that could be used... and if we expect the impact on those who are more vulnerable are less than we forecast, then it will be easy to implement." The country now expects oil prices to average around $90 per barrel by the end of the year, higher than the reference price of $61 it used in its 2026 budget.

尽管政府尚未提交本月底到期的2027年预算,但多斯·桑托斯表示,其油价假设不会与国际货币基金组织每桶71.50美元的预测有显著差异。

Although the government has yet to submit its 2027 budget, due at the end of the month, dos Santos said its oil price assumption would not differ significantly from the International Monetary Fund's forecast of $71.50 a barrel.

政府预计2027年的原油产量将达到每日104.5万桶,与今年的产量持平。

The government expects crude production to come in at 1.045 million barrels per day in 2027, matching this year's output.

多斯·桑托斯表示,安哥拉40亿美元的欧元债券发行及其他负债操作已覆盖了该国今年“大部分”的融资需求,任何进一步发行债券或外部融资的计划将取决于2027年预算。

Angola's $4 billion Eurobond issuance and other liability operations have covered the "majority" of the country's funding needs this year, dos Santos said, with any plans for further bond issuances or external financing dependent on the 2027 budget.

“我们将不得不等待,看看2027年的需求是什么,并确定我们是否有机会重返市场。”他对路透社表示,并补充说,该国正积极向外国投资者开放国内政府债券市场。

"This is something that we will have to see what will be the needs for 2027 and identify if there is an opportunity or not for us to come back to the market," he told Reuters, adding that the country is actively opening up its domestic government bond market to foreign investors.

政府欢迎“所有投资者,所有地区”购买安哥拉债务,并正加大力度教育投资者了解如何进入其资本市场。

The government is welcoming "all investors, all the regions" to buy Angolan debt, and is stepping up efforts to educate investors on access to its capital market.

“一些投资者认为资本账户仍然关闭,一旦进入就难以退出,但实际上情况并非如此。”多斯桑托斯说。

"Some investors think that the capital account is still closed, that it'll be difficult to get out when they get in, but actually it's not happening," said dos Santos.

“我们希望走遍各地,也希望他们能够前来……我们希望人们知道,安哥拉正在向国内市场开放,以获取来自其他投资者、其他国家的机遇。”

"We want to go everywhere, we want them to come as well... we want people to know that Angola is opening the domestic market to get opportunities from other investors, from other countries."