有猜测认为，俄罗斯将在最近一名日本记者因涉嫌在俄罗斯远东萨哈林州从事间谍活动而被拘留后，寻求进行囚犯交换。
Speculation is growing that Russia will seek a prisoner exchange following the recent detention of a Japanese journalist for alleged spying in Sakhalin in the Russian Far East.
一些人认为，北海道新闻社记者被拘留与本月俄罗斯黑客被移交给德国有关，该黑客曾于5月在日本被拘留。
Some believe that the detention of the Hokkaido Shimbun reporter is linked to the handover to Germany this month of a Russian hacker detained in Japan in May.
德国曾要求日本拘留这名俄罗斯黑客，他是国际黑客组织Qilin的关键成员，该组织多次在全球范围内实施网络攻击，包括针对日本公司和医院的攻击。
Germany had asked Japan to detain the Russian hacker, a key member of the international hacking group Qilin, which has repeatedly carried out cyberattacks around the world, including ones targeting Japanese companies and hospitals.
周二，一家俄罗斯独立媒体报道称，该日本记者在日本宣布该黑客引渡之后被拘留，怀疑此次拘留是一种报复性行动。
On Tuesday, a Russian independent media outlet reported that the Japanese journalist was detained after Japan announced the hacker’s extradition, suspecting that the detention was a retaliatory action.
在入侵乌克兰期间，俄罗斯曾与西方进行过涉及一名被拘留的美国报纸记者的囚犯交换。鉴于此案，该独立媒体指出，俄罗斯境内的外国人可能被用作交换的筹码，以换取在国外被拘留的俄罗斯人。
While invading Ukraine, Russia has carried out a prisoner swap with the West involving a detained U.S. newspaper reporter. In light of this case, the independent media outlet noted that foreign nationals in Russia could be used as bargaining chips in swaps with Russians held abroad.
据一家美国政府附属广播机构报道，一位驻英日本问题专家表示，该日本记者预计将通过囚犯交换获释，并补充说，俄罗斯可能会寻求以此换取黑客的释放。
According to a U.S. government-affiliated broadcaster, a Japan expert based in Britain said that the Japanese journalist is expected to be freed in a prisoner exchange, adding that Russia would likely seek the release of hackers in return.
人们认为，俄罗斯当局与黑客曾在美国的过去网络攻击中有过合作。
Russian authorities and hackers are believed to have cooperated in past cyberattacks against the United States.
本月早些时候，一名亲近俄罗斯国防部的军事博主在黑山被短暂拘留，黑山正寻求加入欧盟。
Earlier this month, a military blogger close to the Russian Defense Ministry was briefly detained in Montenegro, which is seeking to join the European Union.
在一则社交媒体帖子中，前俄罗斯总统德米特里·梅德韦杰夫表示，俄罗斯需要抓捕更多西方国家公民，以便通过囚犯交换确保被拘留的俄罗斯公民获释。
In a social media post, former Russian President Dmitry Medvedev said that Russia would need to capture more Western nationals to secure the return of detained Russian nationals through prisoner swaps.
2024年，俄罗斯的盟友白俄罗斯当局拘留了一名日本国籍的日语教师，涉嫌间谍活动。白俄罗斯国家电视台报道称，日本的情报活动已被挫败，并还播放了一部关于该日语教师被拘留的纪录片节目。
In 2024, authorities in Belarus, an ally of Russia, detained a Japanese national who was a Japanese-language teacher on suspicion of espionage. Belarusian state television reported that Japanese intelligence activities had been thwarted, and also aired a documentary program about the Japanese teacher’s detention.
这与俄罗斯公布的画面高度相似，该画面显然旨在将这名日本记者描绘为间谍。
This closely mirrored Russia’s release of footage apparently intended to portray the Japanese journalist as a spy.
2025年，在白俄罗斯被拘留的日本教师在被判刑后获释。白俄罗斯总统亚历山大·卢卡申科据称表示，他在美国总统唐纳德·特朗普的请求下决定赦免这名日本公民，此举与解除对白俄罗斯的制裁有关。
In 2025, the Japanese teacher detained in Belarus was released after being sentenced. Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko reportedly said that he decided to pardon the Japanese citizen at the request of U.S. President Donald Trump in connection with the lifting of sanctions on Belarus.
美国广播公司引用一位专家的话说，通过拘留这名日本记者，俄罗斯显然旨在获得对日本的外交杠杆，并可能敦促日本作出让步以避免长期拘留。该广播公司还报道称，俄罗斯可能正试图促使日本解除对俄制裁。
The U.S. broadcaster quoted an expert as saying that, through the detention of the Japanese journalist, Russia apparently aims to gain diplomatic leverage over Japan and could urge Japan to make concessions to avoid a prolonged detention. The broadcaster also reported that Russia may be seeking to have Japanese sanctions on Russia lifted.