
克利夫兰——每天早上,德怀特·布拉德开车到加油站,加他能找到的最便宜的汽油,往他用来在俄亥俄州东北部运输轮胎的租赁厢式货车里加满价值100美元的汽油。
CLEVELAND — Every morning, Dwight Bullard pulls into the station selling the cheapest gas he can find and puts exactly $100 worth into the rented box truck he uses to haul tires around Northeast Ohio.
MS NOW陪同他采访的那个八月早晨,普通汽油每加仑3.92美元。
On the August morning MS NOW was riding with him, regular was $3.92 a gallon.
“100美元没了,”他看着加油机跳停,说道。油箱甚至还没加满。半年前,同一天的驾驶只花了他60美元或70美元。
“There goes my $100,” he said, watching the pump click off. It didn’t even fill the tank. Six months earlier , the same day’s driving had cost him $60 or $70.
他在货车里算了一笔账:加上600美元的租车费,他所描述的“自己做过的最好的工作”的每周成本是1100美元。一年52周,这远超他为买一辆自己的卡车而攒下的钱。问他对高油价归咎于谁,他毫不犹豫。
He did the math in the truck: Add in the $600 for the rental truck, and the weekly cost of doing what he describes as the best job he’s had is $1,100. Do that every week for a year, and it’s way more than what he is trying to save to buy a truck of his own. Ask him who he blames for the high price of gas , and he doesn’t hesitate.
“特朗普!我怪特朗普,老兄,”他说。随后顿了顿:“呃,我只是听说的。我对政治不太感兴趣,但我知道这跟他在那边搞的那些破事有关。”
“Trump! I blame Trump , man,” he said. Then, a beat later: “Well, that’s what I hear. I ain’t really into politics, but I know it’s got something to do with the shit he’s doing over there.”
2026年8月,德怀特·布拉德(右)在俄亥俄州东北部运送轮胎。
Dwight Bullard (right) delivering tires in Northeast Ohio in August 2026.
MS NOW为他梳理了相关数据:与伊朗的战争、霍尔木兹海峡、世界五分之一的石油、决定克利夫兰加油站油价的全球市场——克利夫兰是他的家乡。
MS NOW walked him through the data: the war with Iran , the Strait of Hormuz , a fifth of the world’s oil , a global market that sets the price at a gas pump in Cleveland, his hometown.
德怀特34岁,有两个10岁以下的女儿。他开着送轮胎的路线直到下午4点左右,回家洗澡,有些日子还会在一家墨西哥餐厅兼职送餐,干到晚上11点或午夜。然后第二天早上5点半又得起床重复这一切。
Dwight is 34, with two daughters under 10. He drives the tire route until about 4 p.m., goes home to shower and on some days works a second job running food at a Mexican restaurant until 11 or midnight. And then he’s up at 5:30 in the morning to do it again.
他没做的一件事,是把自己的处境与本州或华盛顿特区的当选官员联系起来。他也很确定自己一生只投票过一次:2012年,投给了贝拉克·奥巴马。2024年他没有投票。
One thing he has not done is connect his situation to the folks in elected office in his state or Washington, D.C. He’s also pretty sure he has only voted once in his life: in 2012, for Barack Obama . He did not vote in 2024.
“我认识的大多数人,我们其实不怎么投票,”他说。“我的哥们儿,我们只是在凑合过活。一天过一天。”
“Most of the people I know, we ain’t really voting,” he said. “My homeboys, we just making shit happen. Living day to day.”
他后悔缺席上一次总统大选吗?“考虑到现在的处境,当然后悔。”
Does he regret sitting out the last presidential election? “Considering where we are now, hell yeah.”
MS NOW 前往克利夫兰,与两党不断谈论但几乎没有人花费大量时间或金钱去接触的一群选民相处:即那些停止投票或从未开始投票的年轻黑人男性。
MS NOW went to Cleveland to get some time with a group of voters whom both parties talk about constantly, but who almost nobody is spending a lot of time or money talking to: young Black men who have stopped voting, or never started.
决定参议院控制权的竞赛之一正在俄亥俄州进行,民主党前参议员谢罗德·布朗正试图从共和党人约翰·赫斯特手中夺回他的旧席位。民调显示,这场竞赛一直在几个百分点之内波动,而决定胜负的关键并不复杂。
One of the races that could decide control of the Senate is happening in Ohio, where Democratic former Sen. Sherrod Brown is trying to win back his old seat from Republican Jon Husted. The polling has shown the race consistently within a few points, and the math on who could decide it is not that complicated.
公共舆论研究公司 HIT Strategies 的选民档案分析发现,俄亥俄州有超过 10 万名注册的黑人选民在最近三次联邦选举中未投票。该公司还通过焦点小组发现,这些选民今年更容易被动员,原因是生活成本上升以及对唐纳德·特朗普总统的负面看法日益加深。
A voter-file analysis by HIT Strategies , a public opinion research firm, found more than 100,000 registered Black voters in Ohio who sat out the last three federal elections. The firm also found, through focus groups, that these voters were more open to being mobilized this year, pushed by the cost of living and souring views of President Donald Trump.
六月,俄亥俄州立法黑人党团基金会发布了一项研究,其发现应当让民主党警醒:在 2022 年中期选举中,俄亥俄州有 60.3 万名符合条件的黑人选民未投投票。这一人数是当年 JD 万斯赢得参议院席位时的胜利差距的两倍多。
In June, the Ohio Legislative Black Caucus Foundation released a study with a finding that should stop Democrats cold: In the 2022 midterms, 603,000 eligible Black voters in Ohio didn’t cast a ballot. That is more than twice the margin by which JD Vance won his Senate seat that year.
该基金会负责人 Shayla L. Davis 表示,当她看到这些发现时,她感到“心碎”。
Shayla L. Davis, who runs the foundation, said she was “heartbroken” when she got the findings back.
Shayla L. Davis,俄亥俄州立法黑人党团基金会总裁兼首席执行官。
Shayla L. Davis, President and CEO of the Ohio Legislative Black Caucus Foundation.
她坐在 UnBar Cafe —— 一家黑人拥有的咖啡店里,指出在 2023 年,由共和党控制的州政府通过了全国最严格的选民身份证法律之一。实际上,这是一条“用它或失去它”的规定,即因未投票而被从选民名单中删除。她认为,这种规定加上她所观察到的尤其是年轻黑人男性中的冷漠情绪,有助于解释为什么曾经是摇摆州的俄亥俄州至今未能重新夺回该地位。
Sitting in the UnBar Cafe, a Black-owned coffee shop, she noted that in 2023, the Republican-controlled state passed one of the most restrictive voter ID laws in the country. Essentially, it’s a “use it or lose it” rule that strips people from the voter rolls for not voting. That, combined with the apathy she is seeing especially with young Black men, helps explain to Davis why what was once a swing state has so far failed to regain that status.

“我的儿子今年28岁,他已经不再投票了,”曾担任克利夫兰郊区加菲尔德海茨市州议员及市议员的戴维斯说道。“他变得愤世嫉俗,觉得没有人会真正为他所信奉的价值观发声。他认为所有的政治言论都只是做做样子,政客们其实都一个样。这让我心碎不已,但我完全能理解他的想法。”
“My own son, he’s 28 years old. He stopped voting,” said Davis, formerly a state representative and city councilwoman in the Cleveland suburb of Garfield Heights. “He’s cynical. He doesn’t believe that anyone is standing up for what he believes. He believes that all the rhetoric is performative and that everyone is all the same. And that breaks my heart, but I can understand exactly where he’s coming from.”
她的儿子是在一个母亲的名字频频出现在选票上的环境中长大的。她还记得2008年大选当晚自己举办的庆祝派对,当时儿子兴高采烈地从卧室里跑出来,因为奥巴马胜选了。她一直试图唤起儿子对那个时刻的记忆。
Her son grew up in a house where his mother’s name was constantly on the ballot. She remembers the election night party she threw in 2008 and him running out of his bedroom, a kid full of joy that Obama had won. That’s the moment she keeps trying to get him to remember.
关于黑人社区内部的性别差异,已有大量讨论。总体而言,黑人女性更热衷于投票,也更倾向于支持民主党。不过数据其实并没有那么悬殊:2024年,92%的黑人女性把选票投给了哈里斯,而黑人男性的这一比例仅为78%。
There’s been a lot of ink spilled about the gender divide in the Black community. Black women are more consistent voters, and more consistently punching their cards for Democrats. Those numbers aren’t actually that stark though: 92% of Black women voted for Harris in 2024 compared with 78% of Black men.
对戴维斯这类人来说,更令人担忧的是代际差异:与前辈相比,年轻一代的黑人选民参与投票的比例明显下降。
It’s the generational divide that is more worrying for people like Davis. Younger Black voters are just hitting the ballot box less compared with the generations before them.
她担心的是,年轻一代与黑人曾经没有投票权的那段历史之间缺乏联系。再加上涉及年轻黑人选民关切的问题迟迟得不到进展,种种因素叠加便导致了他们的冷漠态度。
Her concern is that there is just a lack of connective tissue to the days when Black people didn’t have the right to vote. Pair that with the lack of movement on issues young Black voters care about, and it’s a recipe for apathy.
“年长的黑人选民肯定会去投票,”戴维斯说,“这是他们亲身经历带来的代际差异。我的儿子从未亲身经历过民权运动,他只是听别人讲述那些故事,而且还是通过第三方转述。他听到的故事都来自像我这样的人,而我也并未亲身经历过那些事。”
“Older Black voters are going to show up and vote,” Davis said. “It’s a generational gap of what they actually experienced. My son never experienced any of [the Civil Rights Movement]. He only hears the stories and he’s hearing the stories third-party. He’s hearing it from me, who didn’t experience that either.”
目前也有一些团体正试图改变这种状况,比如克利夫兰VOTES——这是一个无党派的民间组织。三年前,该组织组建了一支名为“行动小队”的季节性兼职宣传团队。虽然只有五名成员,但去年他们累计进行了超过11.4万次选民联络。
There are groups trying to change that, like Cleveland VOTES, a nonpartisan civic organization that three years ago started a seasonal, part-time canvassing team it calls The Squad. There are just five of them, but last year they logged more than 114,000 contacts.
MS NOW 在周三下午与他们一起走在东区的街道上,这是一段克利夫兰 VOTES 联合创始人 Erika Anthony 称投票率最低的地区。他们并没有询问人们投给谁,而是发放 “Carnivote” 活动的传单,活动提供免费食物、儿童背包以及一轮 “民主抢答”。
MS NOW walked with them on a Wednesday afternoon on the East Side, in a stretch of the city where co-founder Erika Anthony says turnout is lowest. They weren’t asking people who they were voting for. They were handing out flyers for “Carnivote,” an event with free food, backpacks for kids and a round of “Democracy Jeopardy.”
Erika Anthony,克利夫兰 VOTES 联合创始人。
Erika Anthony, co-founder of Cleveland VOTES.
Jerry Pena 管理该组织并且是唯一的男性,他解释了策略。“你去敲别人的门,快速提到投票,谈话就会中断,”他说。“因为他们已经看到自己的投票能带来什么,对吧?一次又一次让他们失望。”
Jerry Pena, who manages the group and is its only man, explained the strategy. “You go to people’s doors, you quickly approach them with voting, the conversation shuts down,” he said. “It’s over because they’ve seen what their vote does, right? It’s disappointed them over and over again.

“谈话需要更多转向‘你希望未来在这个社区看到什么?我们该如何实现?’但如果一开始就说投票,就等于已经定局。”
“The conversation needs to change more to ‘What do you want to see in the future in this neighborhood? How can we get there?’ But if you start with voting, done deal.”
Jerry Pena,克利夫兰 VOTES 成员,2026 年 8 月。
Jerry Pena, a member of Cleveland VOTES, in August 2026.
在工作日的下午 2 点,当敲门者可能期待遇到退休的——年长的黑人选民,他们可能不需要太多说服时,却不断碰到年轻的黑人男性。
At 2 p.m. on a weekday, when door-knockers might expect to find retirees — older Black voters who may not need a ton of convincing — they kept running into young Black men.

在一家便利店外,一位只透露名字的 29 岁男子 Robert 说,他多年未投票。“我就是觉得没有人配得上,”他说。
Outside a convenience store, a 29-year-old who gave only his first name, Robert, said he hasn’t voted for anyone in years. “I just didn’t feel like nobody deserved it,” he said.
他补充说,2024 年没有人——不论是民主党还是共和党——敲过他的门。随后,他自发开始谈论政策。他最近曾入狱,称“他们把你当动物对待”,并且不理解为什么在一个娱乐用大麻合法的州,仍有人因持有大麻被关押。
He added that nobody, not a Democrat or a Republican, knocked on his door in 2024. Then, unprompted, he started talking about policy. He’d recently been in jail, where “they treat you like animals,” and he couldn’t understand why people were still locked up on weed charges in a state where recreational possession was legal .
他对监狱体系有强烈且具体的看法,清楚知道该如何改进。Robert 只是从未把这些想法与制定法律的人联系起来。
He had strong, specific views about the carceral system. He knew exactly what would make it better. Robert had just never connected those ideas to the people who decide what the laws actually look like.
当 MS NOW 事后向 Anthony 描述 Robert 时,她说这正是克利夫兰 VOTES 成立的原因:她和联合创始人一直在与出狱人员合作,且不断听到同样的脱节现象。
When MS NOW described Robert to Anthony afterward, she said that is exactly why Cleveland VOTES started: She and her co-founder were working with people coming home from prison and kept hearing the same disconnect.
“我们会说这样的话:‘你想不想有能力影响谁坐在(司法)法官席上?’”她说。“当我们开始向大家描绘这幅图景时,他们就说:‘哦,我有能力做到这一点。’”最大的收获并不是这些选民已经被开发殆尽——而是几乎没有人甚至尝试过去接触他们。MS NOW那天遇到的每一位黑人男性都说了类似“没有人试图说服我去投票”的话。没有人在关注这些人。
“We would say things like ‘Do you want to have the ability to influence who sits on the [judicial] bench?’” she said. “When we started painting the picture for folks, they’re like, ‘Oh, I have the ability to do that.’”The biggest takeaway isn’t that these voters are tapped out — it’s that almost no one has even tried to tap them in. Every single Black man MS NOW met that day said some version of “No one has tried to convince me to vote.”Nobody is paying these men any attention.
“作为一个国家,我们过于过度关注选举周期,而不是思考社区建设的整体性,”安东尼说。“每天都有政策决定在地方、县、州和联邦层面做出。如果我们只在选举前两周、三周才和人们交谈,然后指望他们奇迹般地睁开眼睛,看到这对自己有什么价值。[到]那时,我们已经错过了机会。”
“We as a country have gotten way too hyperfocused on the electoral cycle versus thinking about the holistic nature of community building,” Anthony said. “There are policy decisions being made every day, locally, countywide, statewide and at the federal level. And if we’re only talking to folks two weeks, three weeks before an election and just expecting them to magically open their eyes and see why this is valuable to them. [By] then, we’ve already missed the boat.”
这就引出了一个问题:究竟是谁在主动联系。戴维斯说,自从她的基金会的报告在六月节发布以来,有一位联邦官员的办公室联系过她。两个参议院竞选团队都没有打电话来。
Which raises the question of who exactly is asking. Davis said that since her foundation’s report came out on Juneteenth, one federal official’s office has reached out. Neither Senate campaign had called.
“他们不必打电话给我,”戴维斯说。“只要拿起报告,做点什么就行。”
“They don’t have to call me,” Davis said. ”Just pick the report up and do something about it.”
布朗的竞选团队表示他们正在这样做。据一位竞选助手说,布朗开始外联的时间比他以往任何一次竞选都早。自去年秋天以来,他会见了俄亥俄州各城市的黑人宗教领袖,与黑人男性举行了圆桌会议,与“神圣九”组织举办了“承诺投票”活动,并在以黑人听众为主的广播电台投放了25万美元的广告。
Brown’s campaign says it is doing that. According to a campaign aide, Brown started his outreach earlier than any of his other campaigns ever had. He has met with Black faith leaders in Ohio cities since last fall, held roundtables with Black men, hosted “pledge to vote” events with Divine Nine organizations and spent $250,000 on ads airing on radio stations with predominantly Black audiences.
赫斯特德的竞选团队最初同意就这篇报道接受MS NOW的采访,后因日程冲突取消,并且没有立即回复关于他的团队为接触黑人选民做了哪些努力的电子邮件提问。
Husted’s campaign initially agreed to meet with MS NOW for this story, then canceled due to a scheduling conflict and did not immediately respond to emailed questions about what efforts his team has made to reach out to Black voters.
MS NOW 与 Dwight 坐下来交谈,Dwight 是一位轮胎和餐饮行业的从业者,还有他的母亲 Kari Jones,她正是竞选活动梦寐以求的那种选民。她在 10 岁时就为一名市议会候选人发传单。邻居们会找她咨询政治问题。她的母亲和女儿会在投票亭里给她打电话,问她该选谁。
MS NOW sat down with Dwight, the tire and restaurant hustler, and his mother, Kari Jones, who is the kind of voter campaigns dream about. She passed out flyers for a city council candidate at 10 years old. Her neighbors call her for political advice. Her mother and daughter call her from the voting booth to ask who they should pick.
她一直确保 Dwight 的选民登记状态多年有效。自 2012 年以来,她一直无法说服他利用这个登记去做任何事情。
She has made sure that Dwight has stayed registered for years. She has not been able to persuade him to do anything with that registration since 2012.
Kari Jones 和 Dwight Bullard 在 2026 年 8 月。
Kari Jones and Dwight Bullard in August 2026.
自 2012 年 Dwight 说为奥巴马投票“感觉就像我做了点什么”以来,到现在,他的情况发生了什么变化?
What changed for Dwight between 2012, when he said casting a ballot for Obama “felt like I did something,” and now?
“我猜我从来没有真正看到过变化,”他说。“我从来没有亲眼看到它对人们到底做了什么,所以我一直都不太在乎投票。就像,事情本来就是这个样子。他们该怎么做就怎么做。”
“I guess I never really saw a change,” he said. “I never really seen what it did firsthand to people, so I just never really cared to vote. Like, it is what it is. They’re going to do what they’re going to do.”

他思考后意识到,他和朋友其实一直在谈论政治。一直都在。“我们坐在理发店里,聊房租、街道、邓纳姆路上那个大坑。我们聊这些,但我们不谈问题的根源。”
Thinking on it, he realized he and his friends do actually talk about politics. All the time. “We sit [in the barbershop] and talk about the rent, the streets, that big-ass pothole on Dunham. We talk about that but we don’t talk about the source of the problem.”
显然有些东西已经发生了变化。那天早上送货卡车运行后,Dwight 回到店里,一位同事问 MS NOW 的摄制组来这里是为了什么。他解释了,然后问他的朋友有没有投票。同事说没有,但他在地方选举里投过票。
Something had clearly shifted. After that morning truck run, Dwight went back to the shop and a co-worker asked what the MS NOW cameras were there for. He explained, then asked whether his friend voted. Not really, the co-worker said, but he did vote in local elections.
“我就像,‘该死,他和我同岁,’” Dwight 说,并补充道:“当谈到其他事情时,比如聊漫威电影、音乐,我们能产生共鸣。所以当我听到他说这话时,我就像——这说得通。”Jones 一直在等待这一刻。等待她的儿子建立起这些联系。
“I’m like, ‘Damn, he’s my age,’” Dwight said, adding: “When it comes to anything else, talking Marvel movies, music, we can relate. So when I heard him say that, I’m like — makes sense.”Jones had been waiting for this. For her son to make these connections.
她院子里有一棵树,Dwight 花了一年时间劝她让市政府把它砍掉,他担心这棵树会倒塌砸到她的房子、她的车,或者他其中一个孩子身上。那天早上,市政府终于来把它砍了。“你以为是谁来砍的?”她问。“市政府。”“而市政府是谁?”
There’s a tree in her yard that Dwight spent a year telling her to get the city to cut down, afraid it would fall on her house, or her car or one of his kids. The city finally came to do it that morning. “Who did you think was going to do it?” she asked. “The city.”“And who’s the city?”
灯泡亮了。德怀特意识到,谁在任职实际上可以对他的生活和他家人的生活产生大小不一的影响。他说,不投票“就像在玩一个视频游戏,你[没有]使用增益道具。”
The light bulb went off. Dwight was realizing that who is in office can actually make differences big or small to his and his family’s life. Not voting, he said, was “like a video game where you [are] not using the power-ups.”
她问他是否真的改变了主意,以及他是否会在11月投票。“是的,和你一起。我还会贴上贴纸,”他说。
She asked him if this had really changed his mind and if he would vote in November. “Yes, with you. And I’ll get the sticker,” he said.
我问琼斯,如果一个政客坐在她对面,声称自己搞不懂为什么她所在州的年轻黑人男性不投票,她会对他说什么。“找出对他们来说什么重要。找出什么在影响他们。找出他们对政治了解多少。因为这就是问题所在。他们真的只是不知道,”她说。
I asked Jones what she would say to a politician who sat across from her and claimed they couldn’t figure out why young Black men in her state didn’t vote. “Find out what’s important to them. Find out what’s affecting them. Find out what their knowledge is about politics. Because that’s the problem. They really just don’t know,” she said.
这只是一名潜在选民,但用时不到一天。政治界的人不需要做任何昂贵的事情就能让德怀特·布拉德改变主意。
It’s just one potential voter, but it took less than a day. Nobody in politics had to do anything expensive to move Dwight Bullard.
这得益于一位喜欢同样电影的同事、他母亲院子里的一棵树,以及一位记者解释世界另一边的一个海峡如何影响俄亥俄州的汽油价格。
It took a guy at work who likes the same movies, a tree in his mother’s yard and a reporter explaining how a strait on the other side of the world affected the price of gas in Ohio.
在上一次中期选举中,有603,000名黑人选民在俄亥俄州缺席投票,几乎没有人去敲他们的门。
In a state where 603,000 Black voters stayed home last midterm, hardly anyone has been knocking on the door.
更正(2026年10月17日,上午10:30,东部时间):本文之前的版本错误地列出了谢拉·戴维斯担任议员的城市。正确城市是加菲尔德高地,而非克利夫兰。
CORRECTION (Oct. 17, 2026, 10:30 a.m. ET): A previous version of this article listed the wrong city in which Shayla Davis served as a councilwoman. It was Garfield Heights, not Cleveland.
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