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长鑫存储预计三个季度净利润最高达198亿美元,并承诺回购股份CXMT forecasts up to US$19.8 billion in 3 quarters’ net income; pledges share buy-back

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中国存储芯片巨头长鑫存储技术(CXMT)预计2026年前九个月净利润最高可达198亿美元,较去年同期亏损实现戏剧性扭转,因国内龙头抓住人工智能驱动的需求机遇,同时积极挑战包括三星电子和SK海力士在内的全球竞争对手。

Chinese memory chip giant ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT) forecast a net income of up to US$19.8 billion for the first nine months of 2026, marking a dramatic swing from a loss a year ago, as the domestic champion cashed in on artificial intelligence-driven demand while aggressively challenging global rivals including Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix.

与此同时,总部位于合肥的存储巨头董事长朱一鸣提出在12个月内回购10亿至20亿元人民币(约合1.4956亿美元)股份,待董事会或股东批准后实施,用于员工激励计划或减少注册资本。

Meanwhile, Zhu Yiming, chairman of the Hefei-based memory giant, proposed to buy back 1 billion (US$149.56 million) to 2 billion yuan of shares over 12 months, pending board or shareholder approval, to fund employee incentive plans or reduce registered capital.

CXMT在周五的交易所披露文件中预测,2026年1月至9月净利润将在1310亿至132.5亿元人民币之间,而去年同期为净亏损53亿元人民币。

CXMT projected the preliminary net income to range between 131 billion yuan and 132.5 billion yuan from January to September, compared with a net loss of 5.3 billion yuan in the same period last year, according to a stock exchange disclosure on Friday.

该公司该期间的收入预计将达到2650亿至2700亿元人民币,较去年同期的32亿元人民币增长742%。

Its revenue in the period was expected to reach 265 billion to 270 billion yuan, marking a 742 per cent surge compared with the 32 billion yuan at the same time last year.

这意味着第三季度净利润将在534亿至549亿元人民币之间,此前其在2026年上半年录得净利润776亿元人民币。第三季度销售额预计将在1147亿至1197亿元人民币之间,较去年同期增长最高可达620%。

That implies a third-quarter net income of 53.4 billion to 54.9 billion yuan, following its 77.6 billion yuan net income recorded in the first half of 2026. Sales in the third quarter could come in at between 114.7 billion and 119.7 billion yuan, posting a surge of up to 620 per cent compared to the same period last year.

该公司股价在8月曾从7月首次公开发行价8.66元飙升至峰值61.8元,涨幅达614%,随后回落,周五收盘价为45.02元。

The company’s stock surged as much as 614 per cent to a peak of 61.8 yuan in August from its initial public offering price of 8.66 yuan in July, before paring gains to close at 45.02 yuan on Friday.

CXMT在向上海证券交易所提交的文件中表示,初步销售和利润的巨幅增长源于自2025年下半年以来人工智能算力需求激增,导致全球动态随机存取存储器(DRAM)行业供应短缺和价格大幅上涨。

The massive surge in preliminary sales and profit was fuelled by surging demand for AI computing power since the second half of 2025 which resulted in a supply shortage and sharp price increases in the global dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) industry, CXMT said in the document filed with the Shanghai Stock Exchange.

长鑫存储董事长朱一明已承诺回购股份。图片来源:供图Zhu Yiming, the chairman of CXMT, has pledged a share buy-back. Photo: Handout

“公司一直在稳步推进产能扩张、产品研发和工艺技术改进,这进一步提升了单片晶圆产出和产能利用率,”CXMT表示。“公司的规模经济效应持续显现。”CXMT的惊人业绩发布之际,正值中国芯片巨头因透露一种新型电池架构的关键进展而受到全球关注,该架构旨在提升存储密度。

“The company has been steadily advancing its capacity expansion, product research and development, and process technology improvement, which further boosted per-wafer output and capacity utilisation,” CXMT said. “The company’s economies of scale have continued to materialise.”CXMT’s blockbuster earnings come as the Chinese chip giant is under the global spotlight after revealing key progress on a new type of cell architecture to boost memory density.

该公司上周宣布了一项计划,将推出基于“4F平方”设计的新型服务器内存产品,该设计通过在单颗芯片上容纳更多存储单元,实现了更高的存储密度。该计划对全球竞争对手提出了新挑战,包括三星和SK海力士,它们也都在追求类似技术。

The company announced last week a plan to roll out a new server-memory product based on the “4F square” design, which enabled higher storage density by fitting more cells onto a single chip. The plan posed new challenges to global competitors, including Samsung and SK Hynix, which are all pursuing similar technology.

CXMT表示,预计将在今年年底前发布一代融合该先进技术的DDR5企业级服务器内存新产品。

CXMT said it expected to release a new generation of DDR5 enterprise-grade server memory incorporating the advanced technology by the end of the year.

在中国竞争加剧和更广泛市场逆风的背景下,过去一周,全球内存供应商——包括三星电子、SK海力士、美光科技、闪迪、铠侠和CXMT——遭遇行业性市场暴跌,导致行业龙头的市值合计蒸发数千亿美元。

Amid intensifying competition from China and broader market headwinds, a sector-wide market rout has hit global memory suppliers including Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, Micron Technology, SanDisk, Kioxia and CXMT in the past week, erasing hundreds of billions of dollars in market value from the industry leaders in total.

“内存公司股价的近期显著回调可能意味着市场可能低估了中国的产能提升速度及其技术突破潜力,”高盛分析师团队由李桂尼领衔,在周五发布的一份研究报告中写道。

“The recent significant correction in the memory players’ share prices could imply that the market may have underestimated both the capacity ramp-up and potential for technology breakthrough from China,” Goldman Sachs analysts led by Giuni Lee wrote in a research note on Friday.

然而,李桂尼指出,鉴于“完成客户认证并实现高良率大规模生产所需的相当时间,以及缩小在先进DRAM技术(如高带宽内存)方面的差距”,市场可能高估了中国在存储领域的进步。

However, Lee noted that the market may have overestimated China’s memory advancements, given “the considerable time it would take to complete customer qualifications and then achieve mass production at high yield levels, as well as narrow the gap in advanced DRAM technology such as high bandwidth memory”.

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