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华尔街日报

沙特阿拉伯排除下周举行线下“沙漠达沃斯”活动的可能性Saudi Arabia Decides Against Holding In-Person Investor Conference

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去年在利雅得举行的未来投资倡议大会。Mohammed Benmansour / 路透社Last year’s Future Investment Initiative conference in Riyadh. Mohammed Benmansour / Reuters

迪拜——知情人士表示,沙特阿拉伯已决定不在下周举办其旗舰投资者大会的线下活动,而是将其完全转为线上举办,或完全推迟该活动,这凸显了也门伊朗支持的胡塞武装对沙特机场和首都发动的导弹袭击正在威胁该国的经济雄心。无论哪种选择,都意味着高管和官员下周无需前往会议现场。

DUBAI—Saudi Arabia has decided not to hold its flagship investor conference in person next week and instead will hold it fully online or postpone the event entirely, people familiar with the matter said, highlighting how missile attacks on the kingdom’s airports and capital city by the Iran-backed Houthi militants in Yemen are threatening its economic ambitions. Either option would mean executives and officials won’t have to travel to the conference next week.

沙特阿拉伯的未来投资倡议(Future Investment Initiative)是一场外国投资的旗舰展示活动,原定于10月26日在利雅得汇聚全球金融精英。知情人士表示,组织者周一决定,如果会议举行,其会议将以虚拟形式而非线下形式举行。他们表示,沙特预计将在周二或之前决定是否推迟该活动。一些知情人士表示,推迟是最可能的结果。

Saudi Arabia’s Future Investment Initiative, a marquee showcase for foreign investment, was to gather the global financial elite in Riyadh beginning Oct. 26. Organizers decided Monday that if the conference goes ahead, its sessions will be held virtually rather than in person, the people said. The kingdom is expected to make a decision Tuesday or earlier whether to postpone the event, they said. Postponement is the most likely outcome, some of the people said.

与胡塞武装的冲突升级,正在加剧王储穆罕默德·本·萨勒曼吸引外国投资、推动增长所面临的挑战,因为不断上升的战争成本给沙特本已紧张的财政带来压力。

The escalating conflict with the Houthis is compounding the challenges facing Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s push to attract foreign investment and spur growth as mounting war costs strain the kingdom’s already stressed finances.

这场年度FII聚会被誉为“沙漠中的达沃斯”,已成为他“2030愿景”议程的核心,旨在将这个石油出口国打造为商业和旅游的国际枢纽。

Billed as “Davos in the Desert,” the annual FII gathering had become a centerpiece of his Vision 2030 agenda to turn the oil exporter into an international hub for business and tourism.

华尔街高管们已经在重新考虑是否前往会议,权衡安全顾虑与得罪富有的东道主的风险。摩根大通和花旗银行的一些银行家正在取消会议,而摩根大通的杰米·戴蒙和花旗的简·弗雷泽周围的人员正在 deliberating 这些首席执行官是否应该出席。

Wall Street executives were already reconsidering whether to travel to the conference, weighing security concerns against the risk of offending their wealthy hosts. Some bankers at JPMorgan Chase and Citigroup were canceling meetings, while personnel around JPMorgan’s Jamie Dimon and Citi’s Jane Fraser deliberated over whether the chief executives should attend.

与会者正在咨询安保团队关于风险的问题,包括担心会议周围的酒店和地标可能成为目标。

Attendees were consulting security teams about the risks, including concerns that hotels and landmarks around the conference could become targets.

此次会议是沙特阿拉伯在接连遭受针对本国机场的袭击后,被迫修改计划、取消或推迟的众多活动之一。这些活动还包括欧盟与海湾阿拉伯国家领导人峰会、利雅得时装周、“六王大满贯”网球锦标赛以及PIF沙特国际高尔夫球赛。

The conference is one of several events the kingdom has been forced to modify, cancel or postpone amid the wave of attacks on Saudi airports. They include a summit bringing together leaders of the European Union and Gulf Arab states, the Riyadh Fashion Week, the Six Kings Slam marquee tennis tournament, and the PIF Saudi International golf tournament.

今年夏末,胡塞武装加大了攻势力度,占领了红海曼德海峡沿线的战略要地,对沙特的石油出口构成了威胁。该武装组织还频繁袭击沙特的炼油厂与机场,声称航空设施也应被视为战场的一部分。

The Houthis ramped up an offensive at the end of the summer, seizing strategic territory along the Red Sea’s Bab al-Mandeb chokepoint and threatening Saudi oil exports. The militants have stepped up attacks on the kingdom’s refineries and airports, saying aviation would be treated as part of the battlefield.

过去两周内,胡塞武装至少四次袭击利雅得国际机场。其中一次袭击导致至少13人死亡、300多人受伤。沙特方面上周向媒体透露,其他几次袭击也造成5人死亡、数十人受伤。

The Houthis have attacked the international airport in Riyadh at least four times in the past two weeks. One strike killed at least 13 people and injured more than 300. Five more people were killed and dozens more injured in the other strikes, the kingdom told reporters last week.

据《华尔街日报》报道,面对来自伊朗、受德黑兰支持的伊拉克民兵组织以及胡塞武装的攻击,沙特阿拉伯竭力保护幅员辽阔的国土安全,不断调整防空系统的部署位置,以全力保护王宫及能源基础设施。

Saudi Arabia has struggled to cover the vast country against attacks from Iran, the Iraqi militias Tehran backs and now the Houthis, shifting air-defense batteries around to try to protect palaces and energy infrastructure, The Wall Street Journal has reported.

沙特官方称,此次袭击中胡塞武装共向利雅得国际机场发射了20枚弹体,其中包括10架无人机、4枚弹道导弹、4枚巡航导弹以及2枚身份不明的弹体。

In all, the Houthis hit Riyadh’s international airport with 20 projectiles during the attacks including 10 drones, four ballistic missiles, four cruise missiles and two unidentified projectiles, the kingdom said.

2015年沙特介入也门内战后,胡塞武装与沙特之间便陷入多年交战状态。2022年双方虽达成停火协议,但今年夏季战火重燃,协议随之破裂。

The Houthis and Saudi Arabia fought for years after Riyadh intervened in Yemen’s civil war in 2015. A ceasefire struck in 2022 fell apart amid renewed fighting this summer.

此前,在美以两国与伊朗爆发战争以及胡塞武装冲突发生之前,沙特的旅游业发展势头一直超出预期,增速也高于全球平均水平。沙特王储在其他领域同样取得了显著成效:非石油产业对经济的贡献率已升至一半以上,数百万女性加入了劳动大军,国内旅游与娱乐消费也持续增长。

Saudi travel and tourism had been growing above target and faster than the global average before the U.S. and Israel’s war with Iran and now the conflict with the Houthis. The crown prince had seen success in other areas as well.

“未来投资倡议”论坛是沙特阿拉伯与全球金融界联系日益紧密的象征。众多银行家与投资者纷纷与沙特建立合作关系,一方面为人工智能及私募股权领域的项目筹措资金,另一方面也助力沙特为王储主导的转型计划筹集资本。

The non-oil side of the economy had grown to more than half the total, millions of women had joined the workforce and domestic spending on tourism and entertainment was up. The Future Investment Initiative is a symbol of Saudi Arabia’s expanding ties with global finance.

2018年,《华盛顿邮报》记者贾马尔·卡舒吉遭谋杀后,许多华尔街人士抵制该论坛,此后上述合作关系一度陷入僵局。如今,随着沙特面临的经济压力不断加剧,论坛是否举办以及以何种形式举办的问题再度引发关注。沙特财政部预计,今年该国经济将出现3.6%的萎缩。今年第一、第二季度,外国直接投资净流入额均较去年同期有所下降;与此同时,国防与基础设施建设开支的持续攀升,可能挤占那些旨在降低对石油依赖度的大型项目的资金。

Bankers and investors have cultivated relationships with the kingdom to secure capital for artificial-intelligence ventures and private equity, while helping Saudi Arabia raise money for the crown prince’s transformation plans. Those relationships recovered after many Wall Street figures shunned the gathering in 2018 following the murder of Washington Post journalist Jamal Khashoggi. The decision to hold the conference online if at all comes as economic pressures on the kingdom intensify. Saudi Arabia’s Finance Ministry expects the economy to shrink 3.6% this year.

许多此类项目目前均已陷入停滞或正在接受重新评估,其中包括旨在吸引游客、展现沙特现代化发展成果的各类项目。今年1月,沙特宣布取消举办2029年亚洲冬季运动会的计划。此外,为筹备2030年世博会及四年后的世界杯足球赛,沙特还需承担巨额开支。

Net foreign direct investment inflows fell from a year earlier in both the first and second quarters, while rising defense and infrastructure costs threaten to divert money from megaprojects intended to reduce dependence on oil. Many of those projects were already stalled or under review, including developments intended to draw tourists and showcase the kingdom’s modernization. In January, Saudi Arabia abandoned plans to host the 2029 Asian Winter Games.

可发送邮件至Stephen Kalin(stephen.kalin@wsj.com)与Georgi Kantchev(georgi.kantchev@wsj.com)进行咨询。

The kingdom also faces enormous spending commitments ahead of the World Expo in 2030 and the soccer World Cup four years later.

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