莫斯科，10月19日 - 克里姆林宫鹰派正在品味唐纳德·特朗普与弗拉基米尔·泽连斯基之间的公开裂痕，此前乌克兰总统经历了一周的损失，而俄罗斯则迎来了一周的收益，但莫斯科的香槟仍被放在冰箱里。
MOSCOW, Oct 19 - Kremlin hawks are savouring a public rift between Donald Trump and Volodymyr Zelenskiy after a damaging week for Ukraine's president and a beneficial one for Russia, but the champagne is still on ice in Moscow.
尽管欢迎基辅与其最重要盟友关系出现的紧张局势，莫斯科认为美国总统的行为难以捉摸，而欧洲领导人则在上周的峰会上团结在泽连斯基身后。
While welcoming strains in Kyiv's relationship with its most important ally, Moscow regards the US president's behaviour as unpredictable and European leaders rallied behind Zelenskiy at a summit last week.
乌克兰对俄罗斯的无人机袭击也没有停止，大多数美国对莫斯科因乌克兰问题实施的制裁仍然有效，特朗普的行为也可以从11月国会中期选举的角度来理解。
There has also been no end to Ukrainian drone attacks on Russia, most US sanctions remain in place on Moscow over Ukraine and Trump's actions can be seen in the light of November's midterm elections to Congress.
表面上，特朗普多次批评乌克兰领导人，而乌克兰领导人予以反击，促使美国总统表示“乌克兰该换总统的时候到了”，这为俄罗斯鹰派提供了许多可供欢庆的内容。
On the surface, there was plenty for Russian hawks to revel in after Trump repeatedly criticised the Ukrainian leader, who hit back at him, prompting the US president to say "it's time for Ukraine to get a new president".
“年度人物”和“新丘吉尔”被他的前主人称为和平与美国利益的障碍。毕竟，他一直咬喂养他的那只手，直到它流血，”前总统德米特里·梅德韦杰夫，现任俄罗斯安全委员会副主席，在Telegram上讽刺地写道。
"The ‘Man of the Year’ and the ‘new Churchill’ has been branded by his former master as a hindrance to peace and to US interests. After all, he bit the hand that fed him until it bled," former President Dmitry Medvedev, now deputy chairman of Russia's Security Council, wrote sarcastically on Telegram.
弗拉基米尔·普京总统负责与华盛顿经济事务的点对点代表基里尔·德米特里耶夫转发了一张图片，图中一只象征俄罗斯的熊与一只代表美国的鹰并肩而立，两者共同面对着以狮子形式出现的英国以及欧盟。
Kirill Dmitriev, President Vladimir Putin's point man for economic deals with Washington, reposted an image showing a bear symbolising Russia alongside an eagle representing the US and both creatures confronting Britain — in the form of a lion — and the European Union.
该图片的配文是“Things Have Changed”（事物已经改变）。
The image was captioned "Things Have Changed."
德米特里耶夫表示，他相信泽连斯基批评特朗普的决定适得其反，并在X上补充道：“泽连斯基过度使用了他的筹码，他的傲慢和对特朗普总统的攻击将带来重大后果。”持怀疑态度特朗普于10月9日表示，他已与普京达成协议，暂时取消对俄罗斯燃料的制裁，并进口俄罗斯柴油；上周他跳过了对俄罗斯石油买家的新制裁。
Dmitriev said he believed Zelenskiy's decision to criticise Trump had backfired, adding on X: "Zelensky overplayed his hand, and his hubris and attacks on President Trump will have significant consequences." SCEPTICISM Trump said on October 9 he had reached a deal with Putin to temporarily lift sanctions on Russian fuel and import Russian diesel and last week skipped new sanctions on Russia's oil buyers.
在基辅，乌克兰对美国情报共享中断的抱怨引发了关于美国背叛的讨论。
In Kyiv, Ukrainian complaints about disruption to US intelligence sharing prompted talk of US betrayal.
但莫斯科似乎存在共识，认为特朗普-泽连斯基的裂痕尚未带来显著好处。
But there appears to be a consensus in Moscow that the Trump-Zelenskiy rift has not yet delivered significant benefits.
亲克里姆林宫的“正义俄罗斯”党议会领袖谢尔盖·米罗诺夫认为，这一裂痕是试图“在国会选举前迎合国内观众”。
Sergei Mironov, parliamentary leader of the pro-Kremlin Just Russia party, saw the rift as an attempt to "play to a domestic audience ahead of the Congressional elections."
他说：“美国总统需要为他的选民提供廉价的燃料价格。他还需要一个替罪羊——一个可以让他把涨价责任推给的人。”但他指出：“关键在于，这一切与俄罗斯的利益关系不大。”
"The US President needs cheap fuel prices for his voters. He also needs a scapegoat – someone onto whom he can shift the blame for price rises," he said. "But the point is that all this has little to do with Russia’s interests.”
一些俄罗斯人也对他们所看到的特朗普频繁的政策转向持警惕态度。
Some Russians are also wary of what they see as frequent U-turns by Trump.
莫斯科最初认为特朗普去年在阿拉斯加接待普京是一个突破，可能会导致以俄罗斯条件达成的乌克兰和平协议。但就像特朗普第一次担任总统时一样，这次峰会越来越被视为令人失望。
Moscow initially saw Trump's hosting of Putin in Alaska last year as a breakthrough that might lead to a peace deal in Ukraine on Russia's terms. But, like Trump's first term in office, the summit is increasingly seen as a disappointment.
柴油协议的影响也可能有限，因为出口量——至少最初——相对较小，而且莫斯科对燃料生产征税而非出口，这限制了对俄罗斯财政的提振。
The impact of the diesel deal may also be limited, as the export volumes — at least initially — are relatively small and Moscow taxes fuel production rather than exports, limiting the uplift for Russia's budget.
特朗普决定跳过对俄罗斯石油买家的制裁——主要是中国和印度——在俄罗斯也不被视为一份重大礼物或令人惊讶的举动，因为这种举动会在他试图降低油价的同时推高油价。
Trump’s decision to skip sanctions on Russian oil buyers — primarily China and India — is also not seen in Russia as a great gift, or as surprising, as such a move would increase oil prices at the very moment he wants to lower them.
对俄罗斯而言，更具体的好处可能是基辅抱怨未收到俄罗斯导弹袭击的最新警报，以及美国Starshield系统对乌克兰战场通信的使用受到限制。
A more tangible benefit to Russia may be Kyiv's complaints that it has not received recent warnings of Russian missile strikes and that there have been limits on the US Starshield system, which Ukraine uses for battlefield communications.
“对俄罗斯来说，任务是认识到这一正在发展的现实，而不是误把它当作立竿见影的胜利，”他说。“泽连斯基已经做出了选择，唯一剩下的问题是华盛顿能容忍后果多久。”——路透社
"For Russia, the task is to recognise this developing reality without mistaking it for an immediate victory," he said. "Zelenskiy has made his choice, the only question left is how long Washington will tolerate the consequences." REUTERS