埃马纽埃尔·马克龙于周二在巴林受到哈马德·本·伊萨·阿勒哈利法国王的欢迎。
Emmanuel Macron is welcomed to Bahrain by King Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa on Tuesday Credit BENOIT TESSIER/POOL/EPA/Shutterstock James Crisp Europe Editor Show biography James has covered the EU and Europe for The Telegraph since 2017.
詹姆斯·克里斯普(James Crisp)自2017年起,詹姆斯一直为《每日电讯报》(The Telegraph)报道欧盟及欧洲事务。他在英国脱欧谈判期间担任布鲁塞尔特派记者,并在比利时首都生活了十多年。
随着法国在周末的骚乱后努力恢复秩序,埃马纽埃尔·马克龙将于数千英里外的卡塔尔参加一场盛大的国宴。
He was Brussels correspondent during the Brexit negotiations and lived in the Belgian capital for more than a decade 2:04pm BST As France picks up the pieces after a weekend of riots Emmanuel Macron will sit down to a lavish state dinner more than 3,000 miles away in Qatar.
马克龙原计划于周二在访问海湾国家期间会见卡塔尔埃米尔,以争取获得燃料供应。然而,在这座满目疮痍的城市中,他似乎与普通民众的距离越来越远……马克龙即将卸任;在完成两个任期后,他已无法再参与竞选。而马琳·勒庞(Marine Le Pen)决心在4月的选举中填补这一权力真空。
The French president, who was due to meet the emir of Qatar on Tuesday during a Gulf tour to secure fuel supplies, has rarely seemed so distant from the people on city streets strewn with smashed glass. He leaves behind a power vacuum that Marine Le Pen is determined to fill after elections in April which Mr Macron cannot fight after serving two terms. The unrest has brought the National Rally (RN) leader closer to becoming president of France at the fourth time of asking.
这些动荡使马琳·勒庞更接近第四次成为法国总统的目标。她将自己定位为维护法律与秩序的候选人,同时指责她的竞争对手对法国的破坏行为要么无能为力,要么负有责任。
Ms Le Pen has cast herself as the law-and-order candidate and her rivals as impotent against or complicit in the destruction wreaked on French cities.
尽管因贪污欧盟资金被判有罪,马琳·勒庞仍不得不戴着脚镣进行竞选活动。具有讽刺意味的是,马克龙的盟友们也承认这些抗议活动实际上反而帮助了她的政治事业。
Marine Le Pen’s address to the nation was presidential, even as she is forced to campaign with an ankle tag YouTube Ironically, she is campaigning with an ankle tag after her conviction for embezzlement of EU funds.
他的前欧洲事务部长娜塔莉·卢瓦索(Nathalie Loiseau)表示:“这些暴力事件对极右翼势力有利。”这位欧洲议会议员补充道:“他们就像秃鹫一样,围绕着暴力事件转圈。”
But even Mr Macron’s allies admit the protests have helped her cause. Nathalie Loiseau, his former Europe minister, said the carnage “benefits the far-Right”. “They are circling around the violence like vultures,” the senior European Parliament member added.
自从马克龙做出在2024年提前举行国民议会选举的错误决定后,他的统治地位就已经岌岌可危。马克龙支持的三个政府都在不到一年的时间内相继倒台,而马琳·勒庞领导的政党(国民联盟RN)则成为法国最大的政党。
Mr Macron has been a lame duck since his disastrous decision to call snap National Assembly elections in 2024. Ms Le Pen’s National Rally (RN) emerged as the single biggest party and three Macron-backed governments fell in less than one year.
如今,那位在上一届总统选举中被马克龙击败的勒庞女士,成了马克龙入主爱丽舍宫的热门人选。而马克龙的总统任期已进入混乱的最后阶段。
Now Ms Le Pen, whom Mr Macron defeated at the last presidential election, is the favourite to take the Élysée as he enters the chaotic endgame of his presidency.
这次提前举行的选举使他失去了议会多数席位,也因此无法推动那些旨在削减法国巨额公共债务(该债务占法国国内生产总值的近120%)的养老金及退休制度改革。
The snap elections cost him his majority and his ability to force through controversial reforms on pensions and retirement needed to reduce France’s massive public debt which is worth nearly 120 per cent of GDP.
由于议会陷入僵局,政府难以通过任何能够节省460亿英镑开支的预算案。
Its hung parliament is struggling to pass a budget proposing cuts designed to make £46bn in savings.
与此同时,一场最初旨在抗议学校条件恶劣和预算削减的学生运动,逐渐演变成了对生活成本及油价上涨的普遍愤怒情绪;这种情绪在周末引发了骚乱和抢劫事件。
Meanwhile, a student movement protesting against poor school conditions and budget cuts morphed into wider anger at the cost of living and fuel prices, which escalated into riots and looting at the weekend.
勒庞女士多年来一直在努力整顿她父亲——臭名昭著的让-马里·勒庞(一位否认大屠杀的极端主义者)创立的法国国民阵线(RN)党。马克龙及其中间派支持者利用国民阵线缺乏执政经验以及该党极端主义的背景来攻击该党。
A student protest about poor school conditons morphed into riots and looting over the weekend Jack Taylor Ms Le Pen has spent years detoxifying the RN, which her father, the notorious Jean-Marie Le Pen, a Holocaust denier, founded. Mr Macron and his centrist heirs have used the hard-Right RN’s lack of government experience and extremist origins against it.
然而,当法国陷入动荡、政治陷入瘫痪之际,选民们不禁会想:在勒庞执政下,情况究竟还能变得更糟吗?
But with France in flames and its politics paralysed, voters will be asking how things could possibly be worse under a Le Pen’s presidency.
马克龙在启程前往中东之前,表达了对这些骚乱的“愤怒与羞愧”。他在对全国的讲话中并未提出任何具体的措施来重新控制局势(例如宣布进入紧急状态)。直到后来,政府才最终宣布实施宵禁。
埃杜阿德·菲利普(Édouard Philippe)曾是马克龙执政时期的总理,被认为是中间派击败勒庞的最佳人选;不过他的竞选活动目前面临严重停滞的风险。
Mr Macron spoke of his “anger and shame” over the riots before jetting off on his Middle East tour. His address to the nation fell flat. He offered no concrete action to wrest back control of the streets, such as a state of emergency. Only later was a curfew finally announced Mr Macron, pictured in the UAE, spoke of ‘anger and shame’ before jetting off on his Middle East tour but offered no concrete action AFP/BENOIT TESSIER Édouard Phillipe, a former prime minister under Mr Macron, is the centrists’ best hope to defeat Ms Le Pen in April but his campaign is at risk of stalling badly.
“我更希望看到能够恢复秩序的决策和行动,”他在文中写道,以此表明自己与马克龙先生的立场不同。“这个国家需要一个能够掌控局面的领导人。”勒庞女士在骚乱后的演讲中展现出一位即将上任的总统应有的自信;她指责马克龙政府“已经筋疲力尽、迷失方向”,认为该政府缺乏任何信誉和权威。
“I would have preferred decisions and initiatives to restore order,” he wrote in an effort to distance himself from Mr Macron. “This country needs someone in command.”Ms Le Pen’s speech after the riots oozed the confidence of a president-in-waiting. She condemned the Macron administration as “running on fumes, exhausted, disorientated” and lacking any credibility or authority.
她谨慎地指出,民众确实对生活成本问题感到担忧——这一议题正是她的强项,因为法国国民联盟(RN)长期以来一直反对高昂的燃油价格。
She was careful to point out there were legitimate concerns over the cost of living. This subject plays to her strengths, with the RN long having railed against high fuel prices.
但她严厉谴责了那些在法国街头抢劫商店的“暴徒”,并将这些行为与法国分裂的左翼势力联系在一起。
But she hit out at the “hooligans” looting the high streets and shops in France, which she made sure to associate with France’s divided Left.
马克龙推行的中间路线削弱了法国传统的中左翼和右翼政党,反而让勒庞女士的极右翼势力以及让-吕克·梅朗雄的极左翼势力成为了主流。目前,让-吕克·梅朗雄正在与处于中左翼阵营的拉斐尔·格卢克斯曼争夺成为法国左翼代表的资格。
Macronion centrism hollowed out the old French parties of government on the centre-Left and Right and mainstreamed the hard-Right of Ms Le Pen and the hard-Left of Jean-Luc Mélenchon The leader of France Unbowed is winning the struggle with Raphaël Glucksmann, who is on the centre-Left, to be the Left’s standard-bearer in April.
虽然这些骚乱提升了勒庞女士的总统候选人资格,却损害了梅朗雄的形象。梅朗雄领导的“法国不屈”党支持了周末发生的校园抗议活动,其党员还参与了抗议行动,并批评了警方可能存在的暴力行为。
While the riots have burnished Ms Le Pen’s presidential credentials, they have tarnished Mr Mélenchon’s. France Unbowed supported the school protests leading up to the riots at the weekend. Party members took to the blockades and criticised alleged police violence.
有人呼吁禁止“法国不屈”党的活动;此外,还有一名左翼激进分子因纵火烧毁利摩日历史悠久的市政厅而被捕。
There have been calls to ban France Unbowed and a Leftist militant has been arrested over the fire that engulfed Limoges’ historic town hall.
梅朗雄必须想办法支持这些抗议活动,同时与那些导致勒庞女士被描绘成法国最大威胁的暴力行为划清界限。在总统选举的民意调查中,他略微领先于菲利普先生和格卢克斯曼先生,有望进入第二轮选举。
Limoges’ town hall in flames AFP/PASCAL LACHENAUD Mr Mélenchon must find a way to support the protests and distance himself from the carnage that allows Ms Le Pen to paint him as the biggest threat facing France. He has a narrow lead in the polls over Mr Philippe and Mr Glucksmann to make the second round of the presidential election.
传统上,法国选民会联合起来阻止极右翼势力掌权;但如果勒庞的对手属于极左翼阵营,这种团结精神就会瓦解。
Traditionally, French voters form a popular front to keep the hard Right from power, but that evaporates if Ms Le Pen’s opponent is from the hard Left.
民调显示,勒庞女士在决选中将轻松击败梅朗雄先生,并且以微弱的优势战胜菲利普先生。
Polls suggest that Ms Le Pen would easily defeat Mr Mélenchon in the second-round run-off and, by a closer margin, beat Mr Philippe.
勒庞女士的声势更加强劲,她将自己描绘成那个被法国政府及左翼势力共同背叛的国家的“救星”。
Ms Le Pen is now even stronger, presenting herself as the salvation for a France betrayed by both its government and the Left.
她的形象如今出现在法国国民阵线(RN)的竞选材料上,配着这样一句引人注目的口号:“一个和平的法国”。然而,勒庞总统不太可能兑现她的竞选承诺。
Her face now appears on RN campaign materials with the telling slogan: “A Peaceful France”. President Le Pen is unlikely to keep that campaign promise.
她仍将面临生活成本上升以及巨额公共债务所带来的挑战——这些债务甚至可能危及整个欧元区的稳定。
她的当选可能会促使左翼势力联合起来走上街头抗议,从而带来更多暴力与动荡的风险。
She will face the same challenges over the cost of living and a public debt so huge it could bring down the eurozone And her election will unite the Left in taking to the streets, bringing with them the risk of yet more violence and disorder.