
尽管乌克兰和中东冲突导致供应受限从而使能源价格飙升,非洲的年通货膨胀率在9月升幅仍低于预期。
Africa’s annual inflation rate rose less than expected in September, even after energy prices soared because of supply constraints caused by conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East.
总部位于比勒陀利亚的南非统计局周三在其网站上发表声明称,消费者价格上涨了4.5%,而8月为4.4%。彭博社调查的17位经济学家的预期中值为4.7%。
Consumer prices rose 4.5%, compared with 4.4% in August, Pretoria-based Statistics South Africa said in a statement on its website on Wednesday. The median estimate of 17 economists in a Bloomberg survey was 4.7%.
通货膨胀可能会继续加速,因为本月创下纪录的燃油价格预计将在11月再次上涨。随着乌克兰和伊朗的长期战争打乱了化肥供应,且超强厄尔尼诺现象可能导致干旱状况,食品价格压力也可能积聚。
Inflation will likely continue to accelerate as fuel prices, which hit a record this month, are set to rise again in November. Food-price pressures may also build as the prolonged wars in Ukraine and Iran have disrupted fertilizer supplies and a super El Niño could lead to drought conditions.
南非储备银行行长莱塞蒂亚·克加尼亚戈多次表示,在通货膨胀率上个月上调25个基点至7.25%之后,决策者仍致力于将通货膨胀率拉回到3%的目标。
South African Reserve Bank Governor Lesetja Kganyago has repeatedly said policymakers remain committed to getting inflation back to their 3% goal after a quarter-point hike last month to 7.25%.
该中央银行在其最新的货币政策审查中将其应对方法比作消防:火灾扑灭得越早,就越容易控制。该行还表示,其首要任务是防止当前的通货膨胀激增变得根深蒂固,并将“果断行动以防止这种情况发生”。用于揣摩借贷成本的远期利率协议正在计入未来一年内再加息两次的预期。
The central bank in its latest monetary policy review likened its approach to firefighting: the sooner a blaze is extinguished, the easier it is to contain. It also said its priority is to prevent the current inflation surge from becoming entrenched and would “act decisively to prevent that from happening.”Forward-rate agreements used to speculate on borrowing costs are pricing in two more rate hikes over the next year.