
为人工智能建设提供资金所需的巨额资本,正迫使科技巨头寻找规模越来越大的现金,而华尔街为此亮起了醒目的红色警报。
The vast amount of capital needed to fund the artificial-intelligence build-out is forcing tech giants to hunt for ever-larger sums of cash—and Wall Street is raising a bright red flag.
Meta Platforms暗示可能很快大举筹资,这帮助引发了周四又一轮大规模轮动交易,投资者抛售与AI热潮相关的股票,转而涌向几乎所有其他资产,从美国国债到此前受挫的住宅建筑商和软件公司股票。
Signals from Meta Platforms that it could soon go on a cash-raising spree helped trigger another massive rotation trade on Thursday, with investors dumping stocks connected to the AI boom and piling into almost everything else, from U.S. Treasurys to the beaten-down shares of home builders and software companies.
本就紧张不安的市场还受到特斯拉令人失望的业绩以及中东新紧张局势的扰动,后者推动油价升至5月以来最高水平。
An already nervy market was also unsettled by disappointing earnings from Tesla and fresh tensions in the Middle East, which propelled oil prices to their highest levels since May.
Meta股价周四下跌7%,市值蒸发1240亿美元。其他各类与这一历史性数据中心建设相关的股票也纷纷下跌,许多跌幅剧烈,从Alphabet和亚马逊等所谓超大规模云服务商,到维谛技术等冷却设备制造商,均未能幸免。
Shares of Meta fell 7% Thursday, erasing $124 billion from the company’s market cap. All manner of other stocks tied to the historic data-center build-out also dropped, in many cases sharply, from so-called hyperscalers, like Alphabet and Amazon.com, to manufacturers of cooling equipment, such as Vertiv Holdings.
包含英伟达和美光等公司的费城半导体指数下跌6.7%。SpaceX周二公布实现盈利的季度业绩,并表示可能与特斯拉合并,其股价下跌9.1%。特斯拉经调整净利润下滑,股价下跌3.1%。
The PHLX semiconductor index, including the likes of Nvidia and Micron, dropped 6.7%. SpaceX, which on Tuesday reported a profitable quarter and said it might merge with Tesla, declined 9.1%. Tesla fell 3.1% after the carmaker’s adjusted net income slid.
总体来看,以科技股为主的纳斯达克综合指数录得自6月以来最差单日表现,重挫2.6%。标普500指数下跌1.2%,而道琼斯工业平均指数微涨不到0.1%。
Overall, the tech-heavy Nasdaq composite logged its worst day since June, tumbling 2.6%. The S&P 500 fell 1.2%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average ticked up less than 0.1%.
债市的上涨尤其值得注意,10年期美国国债收益率跌回5%以下,创下自2023年3月以来最大单日跌幅,当时市场正被地区性银行业危机笼罩。
The rally in bonds was particularly noteworthy, sending the yield on the 10-year Treasury note tumbling back below 5% in its largest one-day drop since March 2023, when markets were gripped by a regional banking crisis.
大举抛售发生在 Meta 周三宣布计划创建一类新的无投票权股票以筹集资金,用于开发和服务 AI 模型之后。市场对该公司创纪录的第三季度营收最初感到兴奋,但很快转为日益加剧的焦虑,担心 Facebook 母公司及其同行如何筹集足够资金来支撑 AI 竞赛。
The big moves came after Meta announced plans Wednesday to create a new class of nonvoting stock to raise the capital it needs for developing and serving AI models. Initial excitement over the company’s record third-quarter revenue quickly gave way to mounting anxiety over how the Facebook parent and its peers will secure enough capital to fund the AI race.
“人们对 AI 日益增长的担忧不再关乎技术本身,”Baird Private Wealth Management 的市场策略师 Michael Antonelli 表示,“而是‘我们如何能同时为这一切提供资金?’” Meta 在一份监管文件中指出,Alphabet 和 SpaceX 等同行近期的大规模融资,加上 Anthropic 和 OpenAI 预期的融资活动,造成了一个日益严峻的融资环境。
“The growing concern with AI isn’t about technology anymore,” said Michael Antonelli, a market strategist for Baird Private Wealth Management. “It’s ‘how can we all fund this at once?’ ” A regulatory filing from Meta noted that recent significant capital raises from peers like Alphabet and SpaceX, alongside anticipated fundraising from Anthropic and OpenAI, have created an increasingly challenging fundraising environment.
因此,该公司将主动在竞争对手吸纳市场可用资金之前筹集资金。该公司还披露了未来支出承诺的最新数字,该数字已从 7 月的近 7000 亿美元增至约 8250 亿美元。
As a result, the company would move proactively to raise funding before competitors absorb the market’s available capital. The company also disclosed an updated figure on its future spending commitments, which had risen to roughly $825 billion from nearly $700 billion in July.
与 AI 交易关联度较低的股票总体表现良好。其中包括消费必需品公司如 Clorox,上涨 4.6%,以及区域性银行如 M&T Bank,上涨 1.5%。
Stocks more removed from the AI trade generally performed well. Those included consumer staple companies like Clorox, which rose 4.6%, and regional banks like M&T Bank, which climbed 1.5%.
这绝非投资者首次逃离 AI 股票。每当竞争加剧、增长出现放缓迹象或数据中心运营商报告建设瓶颈时,对 AI 泡沫的担忧就会升温。最近,利率升高和地缘政治不确定性引发了疑虑,即负债累累的开发商能否维持其快速扩张。
This is hardly the first time investors have fled AI stocks. Concerns over an AI bubble have flared whenever competition intensified, growth showed signs of slowing or data-center operators reported construction logjams. More recently, elevated interest rates and geopolitical uncertainty have raised doubts about whether debt-laden developers can sustain their rapid expansion.
曾经是推动市场的主要引擎,AI 交易在最近几个月撞上了墙。在数千亿美元涌入基础设施建设后,投资者越来越怀疑是否会有足够的用户需求来产生相称的回报。与此同时,亚马逊、Alphabet 和微软等科技巨头正承担沉重的债务负担,以资助其不断扩大的资本支出,引发了人们对不断上升的借贷成本将挤压利润率的担忧。
Once the main engine driving the market, the AI trade has hit a wall in recent months. After hundreds of billions of dollars poured into infrastructure build-outs, investors are growing increasingly skeptical that there will be enough user demand to generate commensurate returns. Meanwhile, tech giants like Amazon, Alphabet and Microsoft, are taking on heavy debt loads to fund their expanding capital expenditures, raising fears that rising borrowing costs will squeeze profit margins.
Meta 周三报告称,其自由现金流首次自上市以来转为负值。在与分析师和投资者的电话会议上,Meta 高管没有透露他们计划在 2027 年投入多少资金用于资本支出,但表示他们“预计将继续积极投资”。与此同时,一些分析师表示,周四美国国债的大幅反弹,更可能反映了投资者在重新平衡投资组合,而非从根本上改变其经济前景。
Meta reported Wednesday that its free cash flow went negative for the first time since it became a public company. On a call with analysts and investors, Meta executives didn’t reveal how much money they’re planning for capital spending in 2027, but said they “expect to continue investing aggressively.”Some analysts, meanwhile, said that Thursday’s huge rally in Treasurys likely reflected investors rebalancing their portfolios more than fundamentally shifting their economic outlook.
尽管如此,科技公司支出步伐的放缓可能产生更广泛的影响,潜在地降温通胀并放缓经济增长,这两者都将通过减轻美联储加息压力而利好债券。
Still, a slowdown in the pace of spending by tech companies could have broader implications, potentially cooling inflation and slowing economic growth, both of which would provide a boost to bonds by reducing pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates.
据 Tradeweb 数据,10 年期美债收益率收于 4.952%,低于周三的 5.145%。
The yield on the 10-year note settled at 4.952%, according to Tradeweb, down from 5.145% Wednesday.
如果周四科技板块有什么好消息,那就是 CoreWeave 债券价格相对稳定,而该公司债券上周曾是投资者焦虑的中心。据 MarketAxess 数据,该公司 2032 年到期的债券交易价格略低于面值的 80 美分,低于上个月的近 90 美分,但仅比周三略低。
If there was any good news in the tech sector Thursday, it was that prices remained relatively stable on CoreWeave bonds, which were at the center of investors’ anxieties last week. The company’s bonds due in 2032 traded just under 80 cents on the dollar, down from almost 90 cents last month but only slightly lower than Wednesday, according to MarketAxess.
作为一家相对较新的 AI 云计算公司,CoreWeave 面临特别压力,因为它不得不依靠债务为其基础设施建设融资——这与超大规模云服务商不同,后者还可以利用现有业务的现金流。
A relatively new AI cloud computing company, CoreWeave has come under particular pressure because it has needed to rely on debt to fund its infrastructure build-out—unlike hyperscalers, which can also tap in to the cash flow from their existing businesses.
联博投资组合经理吉姆·拉索表示:“仅在过去三到四个月里,融资约束就已经变得切实存在。”“随着我们从2026年迈入2027年,这已成为增长的切实阻力”,对那些更依赖外部融资的公司而言尤其如此。
“The financing constraint over just the last three to four months has become real,” said Jim Russo, portfolio manager at AllianceBernstein. “It’s become a real headwind to growth as we move from 2026 into 2027,” especially for companies that are more dependent on external financing.