
周五公布的一项调查显示,随着新订单增加和人工智能相关需求回升,英国企业的商业活动迎来了自2月以来最强劲的一个月。
British businesses are having their strongest month for activity since February as new orders grow and AI-related demand picks up, according to a survey published on Friday.
初步发布的标普全球英国综合采购经理人指数在10月升至53.1,高于路透社调查的所有经济学家预期,高于9月的52.0,这进一步表明英国经济对伊朗战争带来的能源价格冲击具有韧性。
Adding to signs of the economy’s resilience to the energy price shock from the Iran war, the preliminary S&P Global UK Composite Purchasing Managers' Index rose to 53.1 in October, higher than any forecast among economists polled by Reuters and up from September's 52.0.
在前财政大臣蕾切尔·里夫斯2024年预算案中的增税措施打击招聘以来,企业首次增招员工,这为就业市场初步复苏增添了其他迹象。
Companies took on extra workers for the first time since hiring was hit by a tax increase in former finance minister Rachel Reeves' 2024 budget, adding to other signs of a nascent recovery in the jobs market.
两年多来,制造商的产出增幅最为强劲,而服务业公司则报告新订单加速增长。
Manufacturers had their strongest increase in output in more than two years while services companies reported an acceleration in new orders.
标普全球表示,一些公司提到人工智能投资支出和技术服务需求上升提振了销售。
Some firms cited a sales boost from AI investment spending and rising demand for technology services, S&P Global said.
标普全球市场情报首席商业经济学家克里斯·威廉姆森表示,其他公司在下周预算案出台前暂缓支出,如果财政大臣约翰·希利避免采取损害企业的措施,这可能意味着不久后会有更多增长。
Others held off on spending before next week's budget which could mean more growth soon if finance minister John Healey avoids measures that hurt business, Chris Williamson, S&P Global Market Intelligence's chief business economist, said.
他说,价格压力依然强劲,“这不仅使英国央行在其即将召开的政策会议上加息几乎成为定局,而且还可能缩小2027年进一步加息的赔率”。
Price pressures remained strong, "not only making a rate hike from the Bank of England at its upcoming policy meeting a near certainty but also likely shortening the odds of further rate hikes into 2027," he said.
企业的成本通胀创下6月以来最强劲水平,尤其是制造商,尽管企业收取的收费涨幅没有9月那么剧烈。
Cost inflation for businesses was the strongest since June, especially among manufacturers, although prices charged by companies increased less sharply than in September.
英国央行担心能源价格飙升可能会助长更广泛的通胀,预计将在货币政策委员会下一次预定会议之后的11月5日进行三年多来的首次加息。
The BoE, which is worried that the energy price surge might fuel broader inflation, is expected to raise interest rates for the first time in more than three years on November 5, after the next scheduled meeting of the Monetary Policy Committee.
PMI调查显示,企业对未来一年的预期在10月小幅上升,但仍弱于长期平均水平,企业对乌克兰和海湾地区的战争以及更高的借贷成本感到担忧。
The PMI survey showed expectations among businesses for the year ahead edged up in October but remained weaker than the long-term average with companies worried about the wars in Ukraine and the Gulf as well as higher borrowing costs.