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“世界将为之震惊”:伊朗指挥官准备迎接进一步战争‘The world will be amazed:’ Iran’s commanders prepare for further war

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伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队发言人侯赛因·穆赫比在伊朗德黑兰举行的新闻发布会上讲话,2026年9月29日。IRGC spokesperson Hossein Mohebbi speaks during a press conference in Tehran, Iran, September 29, 2026.

伊朗方面已表明,它正在为与美国的另一轮战争做准备,并对华盛顿及其盟友发出公开威胁,显然是为了阻止唐纳德·特朗普总统重启当前的冲突。

Iran has signaled that it is preparing for another round of war with the United States and has issued public threats against Washington and its allies in an apparent bid to deter President Donald Trump from restarting the current conflict.

过去一个月,伊朗军方指挥官加强了一系列公开信息,声称伊朗已经储备了大量新武器,随时可以对地区以外的目标发动攻击,以防美国恢复自二月份开始的敌对行动。

Over the past month, Iranian military commanders have intensified a series of public messages claiming that Iran has built large stockpiles of new weapons ready to be unleashed on targets beyond the region should the US resume hostilities that began in February.

伊朗官员威胁称,如果冲突恢复,他们将扩大攻击目标,可能的选项包括切断海底互联网电缆、袭击人工智能数据中心以及攻击该地区的石油和天然气设施。

Iranian officials have threatened to broaden their targets if the conflict resumes, floating options that include cutting undersea internet cables, striking AI data centers, and attacking regional oil and gas facilities.

“世界将会惊讶,”伊朗革命卫队发言人侯赛因·莫赫比上个月末表示。“我们有尚未被攻击的新目标,”他补充道。

“The world will be amazed,” Iran’s Revolutionary Guards spokesperson Hossein Mohebbi said late last month. “We have new targets that have not yet been attacked,” he added.

自美国和以色列对伊朗发动战争已近九个月,冲突已陷入僵局,使所有人对特朗普的终极目标感到不确定,世界也正陷入经济动荡。双方都宣称胜利——德黑兰指出其生存能力,华盛顿则强调对伊朗政权造成的损害。与此同时,特朗普政府继续测试新的经济和军事手段,以迫使伊朗屈服,而德黑兰则顽强抵抗。

Nearly nine months after the US and Israel launched their war on Iran, the conflict has stagnated into a stalemate that has left everyone uncertain about Trump’s endgame and the world grappling with economic unrest. Both sides have claimed victory – Tehran pointing to its survival and Washington the damage inflicted on the Iranian regime. Meanwhile, the Trump administration continues testing new economic and military measures to force Iran into capitulation, which Tehran has stubbornly resisted.

“战争尚未结束,”莫赫比说。“伊斯兰革命卫队已为长期战争做好准备。”虽然伊朗指挥官在传递力量和准备就绪的信号,但长期承受冲突和经济不确定性的普通伊朗人,再次准备面对战争的现实。

“The war is not over,” Mohebbi said. “The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has prepared itself for a long-term war.”While Iran’s commanders signal strength and readiness, ordinary Iranians, long burdened by conflict and economic uncertainty, are once again bracing for the on the ground realities of war.

“每天每夜,我们都在等待轰炸再次开始,”一名70岁的德黑兰居民上周对CNN说。“我把所有充电宝都充满了电,囤积了水,做好了万全准备,因为袭击随时可能再次开始,任何一天都可能。”一名两个孩子的母亲向CNN描述了她每天早上送孩子上学时所承受的恐惧,孩子们要经过伊斯兰革命卫队可见的街道,军事基地依然活跃。

“Every single day and every night, we’re waiting for the bombing to start again,” a 70-year-old Tehran resident told CNN last week. “I’ve charged all my power banks, stocked up on water, and got everything ready, because the attacks could start again at any moment, any day.”A mother of two described to CNN the fear she lives with as she sends her children to school each morning, past streets where Revolutionary Guards are visible, and military bases remain active.

“我想知道美国还打算轰炸什么?”她说。“他们甚至连(伊朗领导层)都除掉不了。你也无法谈判。那么,再发动一场战争有什么意义?”德黑兰的另一位居民告诉CNN,伊朗人“确信”战争将重新爆发。

“I would like to know exactly what else the US is planning to bomb?” she said. “They couldn’t even take (the Iranian leadership) out. You couldn’t negotiate either. So, what’s the point of starting another war?”Iranians are “convinced” war is going to restart, another resident in Tehran told CNN.

2023年3月1日,一栋建筑物在德黑兰遭到导弹袭击后,浓烟升起。Atta Kenare/法新社/盖蒂图片社A plume of smoke rises following a missile strike on a building in Tehran on March 1. Atta Kenare/AFP/Getty Images

“这是每个人都在谈论的话题……你总会在心里想,今晚是不是那个夜晚?是不是明天?我认为,围绕此事的所有讨论让情况更糟,你甚至无法喘息片刻,”这位居民对CNN说。

“It’s all anyone can talk about…you just have it in the back of your head, is tonight the night? Is it tomorrow? I think it makes it worse that there areall this conversation about it, you can’t even take a break,” the resident told CNN.

这些伊朗人出于匿名条件与CNN交谈,以便能够自由表达对进一步战争的恐惧。

The Iranians spoke to CNN on the condition of anonymity in order to speak freely about their fears of further war.

在过去几周里,白宫顾问们举行会议,讨论针对伊朗的各种选项。虽然特朗普公开宣布,在中期选举之前不会采取新行动,但几位顾问私下告诉CNN,他们不知道这一表态是否最终,或者是否会在11月3日选举日之前改变。

Over the last few weeks, White House advisers have held meetings to discuss various options for Iran. While Trump announced publicly that he would not take new actions before the midterm elections, several advisers told CNN privately they didn’t know whether that statement was definitive or could change before election day on November 3.

据多位熟悉此事的美国官员透露,美国军方已制定新的打击计划,如果特朗普下令在中期选举前或之后恢复战斗行动,可能会使用所谓的“所有炸弹之母”来打击伊朗的能源基础设施和核设施。GBU-43/B大规模杀伤性空爆炸弹(MOAB)是美国军备中最大的非核炸弹,其使用将标志着显著升级。

The US military has developed new strike plans that include potentially using the so-called “mother of all bombs” to target Iranian energy infrastructure and nuclear sites should Trump give the order to resume combat operations either before or after the midterm elections, according to multiple US officials familiar with the matter. The GBU-43/B Massive Ordnance Air Blast Bomb or MOAB is the largest non-nuclear bomb in the US arsenal and would mark a notable escalation.

“这些是旨在恐吓伊朗人民的宣传工具,”伊朗陆军指挥官阿利雷扎·谢赫周六表示。“伊朗人民是所有炸弹之父。”伊朗已释放出一种更具进攻性的新军事学说信号,表明其不会等待被打击,甚至可能发动先发制人的打击。上周,伊朗革命卫队社交媒体账号报道称,伊朗在全国范围内进行了军事演习,包括一次性发射30枚弹道导弹。

“These are propaganda tools intended to intimidate the Iranian people,” Alireza Sheikh, an Iranian army commander said on Saturday. “The Iranian people are the father of all bombs.”Iran has signaled a new, more offensive military doctrine that suggests it will not wait to be struck and could even launch pre-emptive strikes. Last week, Revolutionary Guards social media accounts reported that Iran conducted military exercises across the country, including launching 30 ballistic missiles in one go.

专注于美国在该地区外交政策的华盛顿智库资深研究员法尔津·纳迪米表示,如果大胆的德黑兰决定在一次攻击中试用其新型远程导弹,目标可能包括驻扎在英国空军基地的美军部队,或德国拉姆施泰因的后勤枢纽——这是美国境外最大的美军设施。

Farzin Nadimi, a senior fellow with The Washington Institute think tank focused on US foreign policy in the region, said if an emboldened Tehran decided to try its new long-range missiles against Europe in an attack, targets might include US forces based at airbases in England, or the logistic hub in Ramstein, Germany, the largest US military installation outside of the US.

“然而,伊朗很可能将这种可能性留给最高级别的升级,”纳迪米表示。

“However, Iran would likely reserve that possibility to a very top level of escalation,” Nadimi said.

官员称,美国本月早些时候因一项未明确的新威胁,将驻扎在英国的所有远程轰炸机调回了美国本土基地。此次调动前几天,英国政府逮捕了多名与一起据称的伊朗阴谋有关的人员,该阴谋涉及针对美轰炸机曾驻扎的英国空军基地。

The US moved all of its long-range bombers stationed in the United Kingdom back to their American home bases earlier this month after an unspecified new threat, officials said. Days before the move, the British government arrested a number of individuals in connection with an alleged Iranian plot to target the UK airbase where the US bombers had been stationed.

B-1B“兰塞尔”轰炸机停泊在英国皇家空军费尔福德空军基地,该基地驻有美国空军人员。Toby Shepheard/路透社B‑1B Lancer bomber at the UK's RAF Fairford airbase, which hosts US Air Force personnel. Toby Shepheard/Reuters
武装警察在位于英格兰西南部费尔福德皇家空军基地入口处的路障处站岗放哨。Justin Tallis/法新社/盖蒂图片社Armed police stand guard manning a roadblock at an entrance to RAF Fairford base in Fairford, south-west England. Justin Tallis/AFP/Getty Images

纳迪米表示,为了提高命中目标的几率,伊朗可能会发射更复杂、更协调的AI赋能无人机群,这些无人机配备摄像头和数据链,能够相互通信、调整飞行路径和速度以规避干扰和防空系统。

To increase their chances of hitting targets, Nadimi said Iran may potentially launch more sophisticated and coordinated swarms of AI-enabled drones fitted with cameras and datalinks that can communicate with each other, adjust flight paths and speed to evade jamming and air defenses.

“他们尚未展示这些能力,但过去曾讨论开发此类技术,”纳迪米表示。

“They haven’t demonstrated these capabilities yet, but they discussed developing such technologies in the past,” Nadimi said.

他补充称,伊朗还可能寻求提升其巡航导弹能力,加入超音速推进以更好地规避拦截,并试图干扰军事通信和监视卫星。

Iran may also seek to advance its cruise missile capabilities to include supersonic propulsion to better evade interception and try jamming military communication and surveillance satellites, he added.

伊朗指挥官正在为他们认为不可避免的敌对行动恢复做准备,同时也试图通过强调攻击的代价来威慑华盛顿,国际危机组织中东和北非项目副主任阿里·瓦伊兹对CNN表示。

Iranian commanders are preparing for what they regard as an inevitable resumption in hostilities, while also attempting to deter Washington by highlighting the costs of an attack, Ali Vaez, deputy program director for the Middle East and North Africa at International Crisis Group told CNN.

“德黑兰希望明确表明,下一轮冲突将在更广阔的战场上进行,限制更少,可能带来更致命的后果,”瓦伊兹说。“但危险在于,伊朗旨在威慑的行动可能被华盛顿解读为挑衅,从而使德黑兰希望避免的战争更有可能爆发。”当美国和以色列在2月对伊朗发动战争时,他们杀死了伊朗伊斯兰共和国最高领袖阿里·哈梅内伊,以及伊朗军方指挥官、高级官员和平民,其中包括学童。伊朗的报复主要针对其阿拉伯邻国,伊朗指责这些国家与华盛顿勾结。

“Tehran wants to make clear that the next round will be fought on a much wider battlefield, with fewer restraints and potentially more lethal consequences,” Vaez said. “But the danger is that what Iran intends as deterrence could be interpreted in Washington as provocation, making the very war Tehran hopes to avert more likely.”When the US and Israel launched the war on Iran in February, they killed the Islamic Republic’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei along with Iranian military commanders, top officials, and civilians, including schoolchildren. Iran’s retaliation focused mostly on its Arab neighbors, which it accuses of colluding with Washington.

伊朗有效封锁了霍尔木兹海峡——这是邻国用于石油出口的唯一海上通道——随后对阿拉伯城市的民用基础设施发动了袭击。迪拜,一个主要的旅游目的地,成为目标;科威特的水处理厂遭到袭击;数据中心遭到攻击,导致该地区多个国家的银行服务中断。

Iran effectively blocked the Strait of Hormuz, the only maritime waterway used by neighboring nations to export oil, before striking civilian infrastructure across Arab cities. Dubai, a major tourist destination, was targeted, water plants in Kuwait were hit, and attacks on data centers disrupted banking services in several countries across the region.

2023年10月2日,一张 aerial 视角的照片显示,多艘船只停泊在阿曼穆桑达姆省哈萨布海岸附近,靠近霍尔木兹海峡。法新社/盖蒂图片社An aerial view shows ships anchored off the coast of Khasab in Oman's Musandam Governorate, near the Strait of Hormuz, on October 2. AFP/Getty Images

伊朗仅对阿拉伯联合酋长国就发射了超过2500枚导弹和无人机,超过任何其他国家,包括以色列。根据阿联酋国防部的数据,阿布扎比拦截了几乎所有的弹道物体。

Iran fired more than 2,500 missiles and drones on the United Arab Emirates alone, more than any other country, including Israel. Abu Dhabi intercepted nearly all of the projectiles, according to figures by the UAE’s defense ministry.

上周,伊朗最高国家安全委员会主席莫赫森·雷扎伊警告称,伊朗将在该地区针对美国资产进行报复,包括阿联酋境内的目标,以应对任何新的袭击。“如果另一场战争爆发,该地区众多海底电缆、数据中心、人工智能设施及其他基础设施可能被摧毁,”雷扎伊说。

Last week, the head of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, Mohsen Rezaei, warned that Iran will target US assets in the region, including within the UAE, in retaliation for any fresh attacks“If another war breaks out, numerous undersea cables, data centers, AI facilities and other infrastructure across the region could be destroyed,” Rezaei said.

一位阿联酋高级官员周四对记者表示,如果战斗重新爆发,该国将更有准备。

A senior UAE official told journalists on Thursday that his country is better prepared should fighting resume.

“我们不想要战争,”阿联酋联邦国民议会防御、内政和外交事务委员会主席阿里·阿尔-努艾米说。“但如果战争今天爆发,我们将比2月28日更有能力应对任何威胁。”

“We don’t want war,” Ali Al-Nuaimi, chairman of the Defense, Interior and Foreign Affairs Committee of the UAE’s Federal National Council said. “But if a war starts today, we are ready to deal with any threat that comes our way better than we were on February 28.”

“无论需要什么来保护我们的国家安全、主权和人民,我们都会去做。”

“Whatever is needed to protect our national security, sovereignty and people, we will do it.”

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