
共和党人在州议会中发动进攻的机会更少。今年11月,许多州的州政府权力格局将在选举中决定。
Republicans have fewer opportunities to go on the offense in statehouses. The balance of power in state governments is on the ballot in many states this November.
两党在一些州都可能赢得“三连胜”——即同时掌控州长官邸和州议会两院——这将使他们拥有更大的权力来推进各自的议程。民主党正在瞄准三连胜“今年对民主党来说是个很好的环境,州立法机构的机遇巨大,”民主党立法竞选委员会官员Will Rusche对ABC新闻表示。
Both parties could win "trifectas" -- control of the governor’s mansion and both chambers of the state legislature -- in some states, which would give them more power to advance their agendas. Where Democrats are eyeing trifectas "It's a great environment for Democrats this year and the opportunity in state legislatures is huge," Will Rusche, an official with the Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee, told ABC News.
其中一个机会在于宾夕法尼亚州,民主党目前控制州众议院(103名民主党人对100名共和党人),但共和党掌握州参议院(23名民主党人对27名共和党人)。
One opportunity is in Pennsylvania, where Democrats control the state House (103 Democrats to 100 Republicans) but the GOP holds the state Senate (23 Democrats to 27 Republicans).
民主党希望通过赢得三个席位来翻转参议院,并在民主党州长乔什·夏皮罗连选连任的前提下保持州长职位。宾夕法尼亚州参议院席位只有一半在今年需要改选。
Democrats are hoping to net three seats to flip the Senate and hold onto the governorship if Democratic Gov. Josh Shapiro wins reelection. Only half of Pennsylvania’s state Senate seats are up for reelection.
民主党表示,如果他们实现三连胜,将提高最低工资、将堕胎权写入法律并致力于交通资金的筹集。宾夕法尼亚州民主党党在夏皮罗的合作下,正在开展“宾夕法尼亚崛起倡议”(Rise Up Pennsylvania Initiative),以动员选民参加国会、州长和州议会选举。
Democrats have said they’ll raise the minimum wage, codify abortion rights and work on transportation funding if they have a trifecta. The Pennsylvania Democratic Party, in partnership with Shapiro, is running the “Rise Up Pennsylvania Initiative” for getting out the vote for congressional, gubernatorial and statehouse elections.
“在这里宾夕法尼亚,你们有能力帮助我们完成更多事情,”夏皮罗在宾夕法尼亚州巴克斯县的一次最近竞选活动上说道。但共和党人准备捍卫州参议院。
“You've got the power to help us get more stuff done here in Pennsylvania,” Shapiro said at a recent campaign event in Bucks County, Pennsylvania. But Republicans are ready to defend the state Senate.

“宾夕法尼亚州参议院一直是抵御民主党在州众议院的激进、社会主义意识形态以及乔什·夏皮罗州长失败政策的关键屏障,”宾夕法尼亚州共和党执行主任詹姆斯·马克利在一份声明中对ABC新闻表示。
“The Pennsylvania State Senate has been a critical shield for the Commonwealth against the radical, socialist ideologies of the Democrats in the PA State House, and the failed policies of Governor Josh Shapiro,” James Markley, the executive director of the Republican Party of Pennsylvania, told ABC News in a statement.
明尼苏达州的州众议院目前呈分裂状态:67名民主党人,66名共和党人,以及一个空缺(位于倾向共和党的席位)。民主党需要净增一席才能完全掌控局面。
Minnesota has a state House that is currently split: 67 Democrats, 66 Republicans and one vacancy (in a GOP-leaning seat). Democrats need to net one seat to gain full control.
他们已经控制了州参议院(34名民主党人对33名共和党人)和州长职位,他们也希望继续保持这一优势。
They already control the state Senate (34 Democrats to 33 Republicans) and the governorship, which they also hope to hold.
如果民主党实现“三权合一”(即同时控制州众议院、州参议院和州长职位),他们表示希望专注于提高可负担性以及降低住房和医疗保健的成本,据明尼苏达公共广播电台报道。
If Democrats gain a trifecta, they said they want to work on affordability and the costs of housing and healthcare, according to Minnesota Public Radio.
内华达州的州众议院和州参议院中,民主党目前占据较为稳固的多数。他们正试图夺回目前由共和党州长乔·隆巴多掌握的州长职位。
Nevada has a state Assembly and Senate where Democrats hold comfortable majorities. They’re trying to flip the governorship held by Republican Gov. Joe Lombardo.
如果民主党候选人亚伦·福德赢得选举,并且民主党继续掌控其他两院,他们将实现“三权合一”。一个可能的后果是:民主党可能废除内华达州的“反强制工会法”,该法律允许工人在不缴纳工会会费的情况下获得工会福利。
They’ll get a trifecta if Democratic candidate Aaron Ford wins the election and Democrats hold the other chambers. One implication: Democrats could repeal Nevada’s “right-to-work” law that lets workers get union benefits without paying dues.
共和党或两党都可能实现“三权合一”:“我们的重点一直是进行战略性投资,让共和党有机会克服历史性逆风,并在今年秋天尽可能多地保持多数优势,”共和党州领导委员会主席埃迪斯·豪尔赫-图尼翁对ABC新闻表示。
Where Republicans, or both parties, could notch trifectas“Our focus has been on making strategic investments that will give Republicans a chance to overcome historical headwinds and hold as many majorities as possible this fall,” Republican State Leadership Committee President Edith Jorge-Tuñón told ABC News.
共和党正瞄准实现“三权合一”的一个州是:堪萨斯州。共和党目前在州众议院和州参议院均占据较为稳固的多数(众议院:88名共和党人对37名民主党人;参议院:31名共和党人对9名民主党人)。他们希望夺回州长职位。
One state where Republicans are eyeing a trifecta: Kansas. The GOP already holds comfortable majorities in the state House (88 Republicans to 37 Democrats) and state Senate (31 Republicans to nine Democrats). Republicans are hoping to flip the governorship.
共和党若实现“三权合一”,可能采取的一步是重新划定该州唯一一个由民主党人持有的国会选区。该州的任期有限的民主党州长此前曾阻止过此类努力。
One step Republicans might pursue with a trifecta is redrawing the state’s only Democratic-held congressional district. The state’s term-limited Democratic governor had previously blocked efforts to do so.
在亚利桑那州,民主党希望夺回目前由共和党控制的州议会两院,而共和党则希望赢得州长职位。
In Arizona, Democrats hope to flip both GOP-controlled chambers of the statehouse while Republicans hope to flip the governorship.

共和党州长候选人安迪·比格斯的竞选团队表示,他们正在努力消除或取代所得税,并推进税收改革和提高可负担性。与此同时,民主党人在2024年表示,如果他们实现“三连胜”(即同时掌控州长职位和州议会两院),他们将致力于推动工人权利和生殖权利立法。
GOP gubernatorial candidate Andy Biggs’ campaign has pointed to working on eliminating or replacing income taxes as well as moves on tax reform and affordability. Democrats, meanwhile, said in 2024 they’d aim for workers and reproductive rights legislation if they got a trifecta.
一位熟悉州级政治的共和党内部人士对ABC新闻表示,在亚利桑那州和宾夕法尼亚州等州,共和党州长候选人在民意调查中落后于民主党人,这给下-ballot候选人带来了挑战,因为这些候选人可能会表现得比州长候选人更好。
A Republican operative familiar with state level politics told ABC News that Republican gubernatorial candidates in states like Arizona and Pennsylvania who are lagging behind the Democrats in polling present a challenge for down-ballot candidates, who might outperform the gubernatorial candidates.
该内部人士还指出,共和党面临着艰难的全国政治环境,并警告说,民主党人似乎过于乐观,认为他们可以在得克萨斯州和佛罗里达州等一些州议会中取得进展。
The operative also pointed to the challenging national environment for Republicans and cautioned that Democrats seem too optimistic over making inroads in some statehouses like in Texas and Florida.
密歇根州目前由民主党州长执政,但议会呈分裂状态,也是一场势均力敌的竞争。民主党需要净赢四个席位才能翻转州众议院(目前为52名民主党人,58名共和党人);共和党需要净赢两个席位才能翻转州参议院(目前为20名民主党人,18名共和党人)。共和党也在争取赢得州长职位。
Michigan, which has a Democratic governor and a split legislature, is also a jump ball. Democrats need to net four seats to flip the state House (currently 52 Democrats, 58 Republicans) and Republicans need to net two seats to flip the state Senate (currently 20 Democrats, 18 Republicans). Republicans are trying to win the governorship as well.

根据《底特律新闻》和Votebeat的报道,如果民主党实现“三连胜”,他们可能会着手处理教育、处方药定价和伦理改革问题,并推进投票权法案的工作。根据Votebeat的报道,共和党可能会推行诸如要求公民身份证明之类的投票改革措施;州长候选人约翰·詹姆斯则在竞选过程中将重点放在可负担性和安全议题上。
Democrats, if they win a trifecta, could address education, prescription drug pricing and ethics reforms as well as work on a voting rights act, according to The Detroit News and Votebeat. Republicans could institute voting reforms such as a proof-of-citizenship requirement, per Votebeat, and gubernatorial candidate John James has focused on affordability and safety priorities on the campaign trail.