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以色列大选前夕,定居者暴力成为内塔尼亚胡的包袱On Israeli election eve, settler violence becomes Netanyahu liability

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针对美国记者和欧洲外交官的袭击事件发生在被占领的约旦河西岸,使得内塔尼亚胡对定居者的支持在以色列大选前几天变成了潜在的政治包袱,反对派竞争对手称这些袭击为“犹太恐怖主义”,并承诺采取更强硬的行动,而内塔尼亚胡否认了这些指控,称其为抹黑运动的一部分。

Attacks on a US journalist and European diplomats in the occupied West Bank have made settler violence a liability for Netanyahu before Israel’s elections.

专家表示,暴力事件可能不会改变选票,但已引发对安全和治理薄弱的担忧,目前有超过50万定居者居住在约旦河西岸。

Opposition rivals called the attacks “Jewish terrorism” and promised tougher action, while Netanyahu denied the claims and said they were part of a smear campaign.

AI生成 耶路撒冷——针对美国记者和欧洲外交官的袭击事件发生在被占领的约旦河西岸,使得总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡对定居者的拥护在大选前几天变成了潜在的政治包袱,反对派人士称他对“犹太恐怖主义”软弱无力。

Experts said the violence may not change votes, but it has raised concerns about security and weak governance, with more than 500,000 settlers now living in the West Bank.

主要反对派竞争者加迪·艾森科特、亚伊尔·戈兰和纳夫塔利·贝内特,他们的政治立场差异很大,均将这些袭击称为“犹太恐怖主义”——当这一指责来自国外时,内塔尼亚胡政府会对此感到恼火。

AI generated JERUSALEM - Attacks on a US journalist and European diplomats in the occupied West Bank have turned Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s championing of settlers into a potential liability days before elections, with opponents calling him soft on “Jewish terrorism”.

在分别发生的事件中,定居者伏击了美国摄影师海迪·莱文(目前仍在医院住院),以及包括驻耶路撒冷最高级别法国官员在内的一个欧洲代表团,当时他们前往拉马拉以东的巴勒斯坦村庄参加橄榄收获。

Leading opposition contenders Gadi Eisenkot, Yair Golan and Naftali Bennett, whose politics range widely, all referred to the attacks as “Jewish terrorism” – a term of the sort that the Netanyahu government bristles at when levelled from abroad.

在收获季期间,定居者近乎每天发动袭击,包括殴打、纵火和盗窃,已导致数名巴勒斯坦人死亡。

In separate incidents, settlers ambushed both US photographer Heidi Levine, who remains in hospital, and a European delegation including the top French official in Jerusalem when they went to Palestinian villages east of Ramallah for the olive harvest.

中间偏右候选人、前军方首长、也是10月27日投票中内塔尼亚胡的主要对手艾森科特表示:“约旦河西岸正在发生的事情,是在以色列政府庇护下的犹太恐怖主义。”

Several Palestinians have been killed in the near-daily attacks by settlers during the harvest which have included beatings, arson and theft.

同样,来自中间偏左的亚伊尔·戈兰表示:“必须像打击巴勒斯坦恐怖主义一样,用铁腕打击犹太恐怖主义”,并誓言如果上台将恢复约旦河西岸的秩序。

“What is happening in the West Bank is Jewish terrorism under the auspices of the Israeli government,” said centre-right candidate Eisenkot, a former military chief and Netanyahu’s main rival in the Oct 27 vote.

戈兰前往医院探望了莱文,主要担任礼仪性职务的总统伊萨克·赫尔佐格通过电话与她通话。

Similarly, Yair Golan, from the centre-left, said that “Jewish terror must be fought with an iron fist, just as Palestinian terror is fought,” and vowed to restore order in the West Bank should he come to power.

内塔尼亚胡对有关袭击的说法提出了质疑,并指出遇袭的78岁法国市长贝尔纳·博杜(Bernard Baudoux)是一名亲巴勒斯坦事业的左翼支持者。

Golan went to visit Levine in hospital, while President Isaac Herzog, who holds a largely ceremonial role, spoke to her by phone.

内塔尼亚胡办公室在在一份声明中表示:“这些报道出现之际,人们正担忧在年度橄榄收获期间存在一场抹黑以色列以及犹太地和撒马利亚(Judea and Samaria)犹太居民的有组织运动。”声明中用《圣经》中的名称指代了约旦河西岸。

Netanyahu has challenged the accounts of the attacks and pointed out that Bernard Baudoux, a 78-year-old French mayor who was beaten up, is a leftist supporter of the Palestinian cause. “These reports come amid concerns about a coordinated campaign to smear Israel and the Jewish residents of Judea and Samaria during the annual olive harvest,” Netanyahu’s office said in a statement, referring to the West Bank by its Biblical name.

内塔尼亚胡所属的利库德集团(Likud party)国会议员波阿斯·比斯穆特(Boaz Bismuth)在一次电视采访中表示,“犹太地和撒马利亚不存在犹太恐怖主义”。

Boaz Bismuth, a Member of Parliament for Netanyahu’s Likud party, said in a television interview that “there is no Jewish terrorism in Judea and Samaria”.

在9月于国际批评声不断高涨之际发表的联合国演讲中,内塔尼亚胡称这些暴力行为是一小群涉世未深的违法青少年的所作所为。

Netanyahu, in a UN address in September delivered amid mounting international criticism, said the violence was the work of a small number of juvenile delinquents.

安全与治理 民调显示,支持巴勒斯坦国的以色列人数量正在减少,尤其是在哈马斯于2023年10月7日从加沙发动史无前例的袭击之后。

Security and governance Polls show that a dwindling number of Israelis support a Palestinian state, especially after the unprecedented Oct 7, 2023 attack by Hamas from Gaza.

但专家表示,长期以来在以色列政治雷达之外的定居者暴力则是另一回事。

But experts say settler violence, long off the radar politically in Israel, is another matter.

特拉维夫大学(Tel Aviv University)政治学家阿隆·亚克特(Alon Yakter)表示:“尽管以色列社会倾向右翼,人们目前并不支持与(巴勒斯坦人)达成领土解决方案,但对于反对定居者暴力存在高度共识。”

“Even though Israeli society leans to the right and people aren’t supportive of a territorial solution right now (with Palestinians), there is high consensus against settler violence,” said Alon Yakter, a political scientist at Tel Aviv University.

专注于投票模式的亚克特说:“这成了内塔尼亚胡的一个软肋,因为他与那些想要转移(关于定居者暴力的)对话或将其视为几颗坏苹果的政党结盟。”

“This became a soft belly for Netanyahu because he’s allied with parties that want to divert the conversation (on settler violence) or treat them as a few rotten apples,” said Yakter, who specialises in voting patterns.

他说,定居者暴力本身不太可能决定以色列人的投票倾向,但它可能会助长最令以色列选民关心的两个问题——安全与治理。

He said that the settler violence itself is unlikely to determine how Israelis vote, but it could feed into two issues that matter most to Israeli voters – security and governance.

他说:“对他们(反对派领袖)来说,把这种暴力描绘成缺乏控制和治理、从而损害我们安全利益的做法会更好。”

“It’s better for them (opposition leaders) to portray this violence as a lack of control and governance hurting our security interests,” he said.

埃森科特(Eisenkot)誓言恢复对犹太嫌疑人使用行政拘留手段,以色列可通过该手段在不予起诉的情况下拘留嫌疑人。

Eisenkot has vowed to restore the use of administrative detention, through which Israel can detain a suspect without charge, for Jewish suspects.

在内塔尼亚胡执政期间,其政府成员中不乏主张吞并约旦河西岸的极右翼人士,目前行政拘留措施仅适用于巴勒斯坦人。

Under Netanyahu, whose government includes far-right advocates of annexing the West Bank, administrative detention applies only to Palestinians.

艾森科特誓言将以“铁腕手段”惩治一切违法者,并竭力防止以色列定居者袭击巴勒斯坦人或纵火破坏。

Eisenkot vowed to use “an iron fist” against anyone acting outside the law and to prevent settler raids and arson against Palestinians.

自2022年执政以来,堪称以色列历史上最右翼的内塔尼亚胡政府已批准或使104个定居点合法化。

Netanyahu’s government, one of the most right-wing in Israel’s history, has approved or legalised 104 settlements since coming to power in 2022.

目前有超过50万以色列定居者居住在约旦河西岸的各类定居点中,而这些定居点均违反国际法。

More than 500,000 Israeli settlers live across the West Bank, in settlements that are illegal under international law.

此事引发关注 国际危机组织驻以色列高级分析师迈拉夫·宗泽因指出,尽管定居者的暴力行为不会影响选举结果,却已使内塔尼亚胡的应对措施成为竞选议题。

Putting issue on radar Mairav Zonszein, senior analyst on Israel for the International Crisis Group, said that while the settler attacks would not alter the vote, they had made Netanyahu’s response an election issue.

“这反映了一种舆论倾向——即内塔尼亚胡实际上正在损害以色列的国家安全,”她说道。

“It’s part of a discourse about how Netanyahu is actually hurting Israeli national security,” she said.

“内塔尼亚胡的言论显示出他深受定居者运动的影响,而试图装作这些暴力事件从未发生实在荒谬至极。”

“Netanyahu’s statements make him look so beholden to the settler movement and it looks ridiculous just to kind of pretend like (these attacks) didn’t actually happen”.

不过她认为,即便换上另一位总理,也未必会从根本上质疑定居点政策。

But she doubted whether a different future prime minister would ultimately question settlements themselves.

“反对派领导人虽会抨击定居者暴力行为中最恶劣的实例,但绝不会试图彻底废除整个定居点体系,”她总结道。

Opposition leaders are “going after the most egregious elements of settler violence but they are not going to upend the settlement enterprise,” she said.

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