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联合国警告厄尔尼诺可能是有记录以来最强,敦促世界做好准备UN warns El Nino could be strongest on record as it urges world to prepare

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科学家认为,萨尔瓦多的干旱是厄尔尼诺现象造成的后果。Drought in El Salvador is a consequence of El Nino scientist believe.

联合国官员周三警告称,当前的厄尔尼诺现象强度可能达到现代记录以来从未见过的水平,呼吁各国政府立即采取行动以限制损害。

The current El Nino could reach a strength never seen in modern records, United Nations officials warned on Wednesday, calling on governments to act now to limit the damage."

“当前的厄尔尼诺事件强度可能是前所未有的。字面意义上讲,它已超出我们过去四十年所使用的监测图表范围,”世界气象组织(WMO)秘书长塞莱斯特·绍洛在日内瓦对记者表示。

The current El Nino event could be unprecedented in strength.

她补充道:“厄尔尼诺将在2026年底达到顶峰,但其影响届时仍将持续很长一段时间。”

Literally off the monitoring charts that we have used for the past four decades," Celeste Saulo, secretary-general of the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), told reporters in Geneva."

根据世界气象组织最新的全球季节性气候最新消息,厄尔尼诺现象发源地热带太平洋的海面温度在11月至次年1月间可能升至比平均水平高出3.8摄氏度。这将远超厄尔尼诺期间通常出现的水平。绍洛表示:“这将对全球天气模式产生深远影响。”

El Nino will peak towards the end of 2026, but its impacts will be felt long after that," she added. According to the WMO's latest global seasonal climate updates, sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific, where the phenomenon originates, could climb as high as 3.8C above average between November and January. That would be far beyond what is normally seen during an El Nino."

该机构预计,这一事件将推高全球大部分地区的气温,叠加在人为气候变化已导致的变暖之上。

This will have far-reaching consequences for weather patterns across the world," Saulo said.

呼吁提前采取行动绍洛与联合国人道主义事务副秘书长汤姆·弗莱彻共同出席。

The agency expects the event to push up temperatures across much of the globe, adding to the warming already driven by human-caused climate change.A call for early actionSaulo appeared alongside Tom Fletcher, the UN's under-secretary-general for humanitarian affairs."

她说:“今天,我们发出联合呼吁,要求采取紧急且协调的预见性行动……我们无法阻止厄尔尼诺,但我们可以防止其许多最严重的人道后果。”

Today, we are issuing a joint call for urgent and coordinated anticipatory action...

弗莱彻将即将到来的厄尔尼诺形容为极端高温、干旱和洪水的“重磅炸弹”,警告称它将带来“大规模人道主义后果”。

We cannot stop El Nino, but we can prevent many of its worst human consequences," she said.

他说:“损害不会局限于处于这轮厄尔尼诺直接路径上的国家。它将给全球经济造成经济冲击,并推动进一步的冲突、流离失所和移民。”我正在敲响警钟,人道主义体系……“单靠我们无法应对这一规模的威胁。”他敦促各国政府、开发银行和国际金融机构“在造成损害之前,而不是事后”拨付资金。“选择很明确:我们可以等待灾难降临,也可以投资于韧性建设。我们无法阻止厄尔尼诺现象,但我们可以认真应对未来的挑战。”

Fletcher described the coming El Nino as a "wrecking ball" of extreme heat, drought and flooding, warning it would bring "massive humanitarian consequences"."The damage will not stay in the countries in the immediate path of this El Nino," he said. "It will create economic shocks for the global economy and drive further conflict, displacement, migration."I am sounding the alarm that the humanitarian system... cannot alone cope with a threat on this scale." He urged governments, development banks and international financial institutions to release funding "before that damage is done, not afterwards"."The choice is clear: we can wait for disaster or we can invest in resilience. We cannot prevent El Nino but we can be serious about the challenges ahead."

弗莱彻表示,他已拨付5000万美元,用于支持11个风险敞口最大的国家,其中包括乍得、萨尔瓦多、埃塞俄比亚、索马里和南苏丹。什么是厄尔尼诺现象?

Fletcher said he had already released $50 million to support 11 of the most exposed countries, among them Chad, El Salvador, Ethiopia, Somalia and South Sudan. What is El Nino?

厄尔尼诺现象是一种自然发生的气候模式,表现为中东部赤道太平洋表层海水异常升温。这会导致全球风向、气压和降雨分布发生改变。它通常每两到七年出现一次,持续九到十二个月。

El Nino is a naturally occurring climate pattern in which surface waters in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific become unusually warm. This shifts winds, air pressure and rainfall around the world. It usually returns every two to seven years and lasts between nine and 12 months.

气候在厄尔尼诺现象及其较冷的对应现象——拉尼娜现象之间摇摆,中间夹杂着中性时期。

The climate swings between El Nino and its cooler counterpart, La Nina, with neutral periods in between.

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