特朗普总统已兑现其承诺，将其政治竞选资金中超过3亿美元投入2026年中期选举。
President Donald Trump has made good on his claim of putting more than $300 million of his political war chest into the 2026 midterm election.
周二晚间发布的最新竞选财务申报文件显示，数百万美元资金正流向两年前几乎没有竞争力的众议院选区，凸显出共和党的麻烦在竞选最后几周已蔓延多远。
New campaign finance filings released Tuesday night show millions flowing into House districts that were barely competitive two years ago, underscoring how far the GOP's problems have spread in the final weeks of the campaign.
根据联邦选举委员会的最新申报文件，特朗普的主要超级政治行动委员会“MAGA Inc.”报告称，截至10月14日，其支出总额达3.005亿美元，其中四分之一——即7550万美元——是在10月前两周花费的。该组织仍持有1.643亿美元现金，特朗普周二表示，他的政治运作团队将在选举日前花费超过4亿美元。
MAGA Inc., Trump's main super political action committee, reported $300.5 million in disbursements through Oct. 14, with a quarter of that election cycle total — $75.5 million — being spent in the first two weeks of October, according to new Federal Election Commission filings. It still held $164.3 million in cash, and Trump said Tuesday his political operation would spend more than $400 million by Election Day.
大部分钱款通过两个新的特朗普盟友组织流动。根据联邦选举委员会的申报文件，“MAGA Inc.”已向“不后退政治行动委员会”拨款2亿美元，向“安全与可负担政治行动委员会”拨款2500万美元，这两个组织已合计报告了超过2.09亿美元的独立支出。
Much of the money is moving through two new Trump-aligned groups. MAGA Inc. has sent $200 million to No Going Back PAC and $25 million to Safety & Affordability PAC, which have already reported more than $209 million in independent expenditures between them, according to FEC filings.
这笔支出也有望缓解共和党数月来的焦虑，即担心特朗普会坐拥巨额竞选资金，而不将其用于中期选举。直到9月，共和党操盘手仍担心“MAGA Inc.”的现金将基本置身事外。
The spending is also likely to ease months of Republican anxiety that Trump would sit on his massive war chest rather than deploy it in the midterms. GOP operatives had worried as recently as September that MAGA Inc.'s cash would remain largely on the sidelines.
根据CNBC对该政治行动委员会申报文件的分析，“安全与可负担”在亚利桑那州第1选区花费376万美元，缅因州第2选区184万美元，威斯康星州第3选区160万美元，北卡罗来纳州第1选区148万美元，俄亥俄州第10选区140万美元。此外，该组织还在宾夕法尼亚州第8选区、俄亥俄州第9选区和密歇根州第7选区各投入超过100万美元。
Safety & Affordability has spent $3.76 million in Arizona's 1st District, $1.84 million in Maine's 2nd, $1.60 million in Wisconsin's 3rd, $1.48 million in North Carolina's 1st and $1.40 million in Ohio's 10th. It has also put more than $1 million each into Pennsylvania's 8th, Ohio's 9th and Michigan's 7th, according to a CNBC analysis of the PAC's filing.
其中几个是传统的战场选区。艾米·沃尔特的《库克政治报告》将威斯康星州第3选区、北卡罗来纳州第1选区、宾夕法尼亚州第8选区、俄亥俄州第9选区和密歇根州第7选区列为其21个“势均力敌”选区之一。特朗普捐款的其他地方显示，共和党被迫进入不那么熟悉的领地。
Several are established battlegrounds. The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter rates Wisconsin's 3rd, North Carolina's 1st, Pennsylvania's 8th, Ohio's 9th and Michigan's 7th among its 21 "Toss Up" races. Other places Trump is donating show Republicans being forced onto less familiar terrain.
在俄亥俄州第10选区，“安全与可负担”政治行动委员会（PAC）已花费约140万美元支持共和党众议员迈克·特纳，后者在2024年以18个百分点的优势获胜。民主党众议院竞选委员会（DCCC）如今将该席位列入2026年可能翻盘的新一批目标席位之中，而根据AdImpact的数据，全国共和党众议院委员会（NRCC）直到本月才开始在该选区投入资金。
In Ohio's 10th District, Safety & Affordability PAC has spent about $1.4 million defending Republican Rep. Mike Turner, who won by 18 points in 2024. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee now lists the seat among a new tier of possible 2026 pickups, while the National Republican Congressional Committee only began spending there this month, according to AdImpact.
根据CNBC对该PAC联邦选举委员会（FEC）文件的分析，“不回头”PAC还分别在共和党把持的密歇根州第4选区和北卡罗来纳州第11选区各花费约500万美元，并向民主党把持的佛罗里达州第14和第25选区合计投入了1440万美元。
No Going Back has also spent roughly $5 million each in Republican-held Michigan's 4th and North Carolina's 11th, while putting another $14.4 million combined into Democratic-held Florida's 14th and 25th, according to a CNBC analysis the PAC's FEC filing.
与此同时，其他共和党团体开始实施分诊式资源分配。据美联社上周报道，众议院议长迈克·约翰逊的超级PAC“国会领导基金”已停止在爱荷华州第1、新泽西州第7、密歇根州第8和俄亥俄州第1选区的广告投放。根据CNBC对FEC文件的分析，特朗普阵营的团体则在这四场竞选中合计花费了约140万美元。
At the same time, other Republican groups are beginning to triage. The Congressional Leadership Fund, House Speaker Mike Johnson's super PAC, stopped spending on advertising in Iowa's 1st, New Jersey's 7th, Michigan's 8th and Ohio's 1st districts, the Associated Press reported last week. Trump-aligned groups, meanwhile, have spent about $1.4 million across those four races, according to a CNBC analysis of FEC filings.
根据AdImpact的数据，在库克政治报告评为“势均力敌”或“倾向”共和党或民主党的42个众议院竞选中，共和党仍在25个选区保持广告投放优势。但政治环境持续向民主党倾斜。在库克评为“势均力敌”的21个众议院竞选中，16个由共和党现任议员把持，5个由民主党把持。
Republicans still hold the advertising edge in 25 of the 42 House races rated "Toss Up" or "Lean" Republican or Democrat by the Cook Report, according to AdImpact. But the political environment continues to move toward Democrats. Of the 21 House races Cook rates as "Toss Ups," 16 are Republican-held and five are held by Democrats.
根据最新文件，特朗普的PAC在参议院竞选中也大笔开支。根据CNBC对最新FEC文件的分析，“不回头”在密歇根州花费近3000万美元，在俄亥俄州花费2780万美元，在新罕布什尔州花费1180万美元，在北卡罗来纳州花费990万美元。这四场竞选alone合计约7900万美元。
Trump's PACs have also spent big in the Senate, according to the new filings. No Going Back has spent nearly $30 million in Michigan, $27.8 million in Ohio, $11.8 million in New Hampshire and $9.9 million in North Carolina, according a CNBC analysis of the new FEC filings. Those four races alone account for roughly $79 million.
特朗普自身的民望可能有助于解释这种压力。《纽约时报》/锡耶纳学院周三发布的民调显示，他的支持率为36%，不支持率为59%。
Trump's own standing may help explain the pressure. A New York Times/Siena College poll released Wednesday put his approval rating at 36%, with 59% disapproving.
在该民调中，69%的选民不赞成他对生活成本的处理，29%表示赞成；73%不赞成他对汽油价格的处理，24%表示赞成。当选民看到本选区实际参选的众议院候选人时，民主党领先10个百分点。
Voters in the poll disapproved of his handling of the cost of living by 69% to 29% and gas prices by 73% to 24%. Democrats led by 10 points when voters were presented with the House candidates actually running in their districts.
特朗普的盟友也在试图解决一个投票率问题：让在总统大选中支持他的选民在他不在选票上时也出来投票。
Trump's allies are also trying to solve a turnout problem: getting voters who backed him in presidential elections to show up when he is not on the ballot.
根据其最新申报文件，“让美国再次伟大公司”（MAGA Inc.）报告了一笔10月8日支出的1620万美元，标注为“投票教育”。《纽约时报》周二报道，该组织已在20多个州投放了2200多条独特的Facebook和Instagram广告，敦促共和党人提前投票或出来投票。
MAGA Inc., in its latest filing, reported a $16.2 million Oct. 8 disbursement labeled "voting education." The New York Times reported Tuesday that the group has run more than 2,200 unique Facebook and Instagram ads in more than 20 states urging Republicans to vote early or turn out.