在为今年共和党选票拉票的过程中，副总统JD·万斯在发表演讲方面获得了一定的自信。他还展示了在脚本化场景中的流畅表现，在这些场景中他能够预见问题和互动。但当他脱离自己的舒适区，面对普通选民而非MAGA支持者时，他会退缩，暴露出他作为政治人物和其政党有志领袖的不足。
While stumping for the Republican ticket this year, Vice President JD Vance has gained a certain comfort with delivering speeches. He also shows fluency in scripted moments where he can anticipate questions and interactions. But when he is out of his element, facing average voters and not MAGA types, he shrinks, revealing his shortcomings as a political figure and wannabe leader of his party.
在周末CBS播出的密歇根州镇民大会上，万斯在面对特朗普-万斯政府的失败时表现得非常糟糕。
During a town hall in Michigan that aired on CBS over the weekend, Vance whiffed badly when confronted with the failures of the Trump-Vance administration.
被乔伊·阿莫尔提问，他的妻子、上士妮可·阿莫尔在伊朗冲突早期牺牲，关于“导致这一事件的错误和诸多根本性失败”时，万斯表示他对此一无所知，也不在信息圈内。
Asked by Joey Amor, who lost his wife, Master Sergeant Nicole Amor, in the early days of the Iran conflict, about the “mistakes and a lot of fundamental failures that led up to that,” Vance suggested that he was unaware and out of the loop.
“当你谈论我们所牵连的、政府、战争部，无论你想说谁，所牵连的失败时，我想了解这些事情。因为如果确实有失败，而我不怀疑确实有失败，我只是，这 literally 是我第一次在这次对话中听说这些事情，我想去纠正这些问题，”他说。“但我想了解我们能做得更好的地方，以及这些士兵看到的情况，因为这份工作的问题在于，这份工作是一种惊人的荣誉，但你生活在某种泡沫中，有时信息不会传达到我这里。”
“When you talk about failures that were that we were implicated, the administration, the Department of War, whoever you want to say, was implicated in, I want to know about that stuff. Because if there were failures, and I don’t doubt there were, I just, this literally the first time I’ve heard of this is this conversation, and I want to fix that stuff,” he said. “But I want to understand what we can do better and what those soldiers are seeing, because the part of the problem with this job, this job is an amazing honor, but you live in a bit of a bubble, and sometimes information doesn’t filter up to me.”
这是一个不合时宜的回答，应该会困扰万斯。错误确实发生了，但不是万斯造成的，他显然甚至不知道这些所谓的错误。
It was a tone-deaf answer that should haunt Vance. Mistakes were made, but not by Vance, who apparently doesn’t even know anything about said mistakes.
被问及腐败问题——福克斯新闻民调显示这是选民最关心的问题——万斯——他领导着政府的反欺诈特别工作组——再次表达了无知。
Asked about corruption, an issue that a Fox News poll finds is voters’ top concern, Vance — who heads the administration’s fraud task force — again pleaded ignorance.
“你可以对我们的政策和决策提出各种批评，但我从未见过——我一次也没有看到证据表明唐纳德·特朗普通过这些手段致富，”万斯说。
“You can make all kinds of criticisms of our policies and decisions, but I don’t see a single — I’ve not once seen evidence that Donald Trump has enriched himself,” Vance said.
他的回答难以令人置信。特朗普总统2025年赚了22亿美元，其中大部分来自其家族的加密货币业务。即使万斯没有注意到，选民们已经注意到了。华盛顿邮报—ABC新闻—益普索民调显示，约66%的受访者认为特朗普正利用总统职位为自己谋取私利，其中包括越来越多的倾向共和党的人。
His answer strains credulity. President Trump made $2.2 billion in 2025, much of it from his from his family’s cryptocurrency business. Even if Vance hasn’t noticed, voters have. Some 66% of respondents to a Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos poll think Trump is using the presidency to enrich himself, including a growing share of people who lean Republican.
但从万斯的中期选举竞选活动中，你根本看不出来。在那里，他（拙劣地）扮演着“阿尔法男性”侮辱喜剧演员的角色。他打赌，自己的个人攻击会让选民忘记汽油、杂货和医疗保健的价格；他对民主党的暗示会让选民忘记一些共和党候选人实际上有多糟糕。
But you wouldn’t know it from Vance’s midterm campaign stops, where he (poorly) plays the role of alpha male insult comic. His bet is that his personal attacks will make voters forget about the price of gasoline, groceries and healthcare; that his innuendos about Democrats will make voters forget how bad some of the GOP candidates actually are.
对于这位副总统来说——他已成为一位热衷于个人抨击和文化战争的MAGA极端主义者——这已成为轻而易举的事，一个在热情且党派性强的观众面前进行口水战的机会。
For the vice president, who has emerged as a MAGA maximalist who relishes personal broadsides and the culture war, that has become the easy part, a chance to trash talk in front of an enthusiastic and partisan audience.
“我也爱你，先生，”万斯最近在得克萨斯州一场集会上回应一名集会参加者时说。“为了说明，完全是柏拉图式的。我是副总统，不是詹姆斯·塔拉里科。”是的，这是现任副总统，一位虔诚的天主教徒和四个孩子的父亲，在开一个幼稚且一点也不好笑的同性恋笑话。
“I love you too, sir,” Vance said recently in response to a rally attendant in Texas. “In a totally platonic way, to be clear. I’m the vice president, not James Talarico.”Yes, that was the sitting vice president, a devout Catholic and married father of four, making a juvenile and not-at-all funny gay joke.
这是万斯可能在2028年竞选白宫的预演——由“幕后人物”对分裂的MAGA基本盘发起的一次争夺。但对万斯来说，这是一个越来越尴尬且自相矛盾的位置。
It is a preview of what a Vance White House bid might look like in 2028 — a play for a fracturing MAGA base from the man behind the man. But for Vance, this is an increasingly inconvenient and incoherent place to be.
“他的言辞往往比大多数副总统都要激进，而且他似乎常常在当下做出一些让人尴尬至极的举动，这些行为通常与总统级别的人物形象格格不入，”《副总统：从尼克松到彭斯》一书的作者乔尔·戈德斯坦说道。“他在很多州都颇有知名度，频繁出现在地方乃至全国性媒体上。如果他总是做出不符合总统身份的举动，最终势必会影响他的支持率。”根据CNN与SSRS联合开展的民调，万斯的支持率为36%，不支持率则高达63%。
“He tends to use rhetoric that goes beyond most other vice presidents, and he seems to make choices in the moment that create cringeworthy moments that one doesn’t normally associate with people playing at the presidential level,” said Joel Goldstein, author of the book “He’s visible in a lot of states and on lot of local media, but also national media, and if you’re producing moments that don’t seem very presidential, that can ultimately reflect on your approval.”According to a CNN/SSRS poll, Vance’s approval rating is 36% and his disapproval rating is 63%.
在CBS举办的市政厅座谈会上，万斯表示自己有可能不会竞选总统，暗示他尚未下定决心是否参选。
In his CBS town hall, he said there is a chance that he doesn’t run for president, suggesting that he hasn’t quite made up his mind about launching a bid.
当CBS主持人托尼·多库皮尔问及他是否会在2028年参选时，万斯回答道：“一切皆有可能，伙计。什么情况都可能发生。”目前，万斯尚未展现出与阿巴拉契亚地区以外民众有效沟通的能力；那个地区对他而言如今更像是一种修辞手段，而非真实记忆中的家园。
“[A]nything can happen, man,” he said when asked by CBS anchor Tony Dokoupil about running in 2028. “Anything.”What has yet to happen for Vance is to show much ability to relate to people outside of his admitted bubble, so far away from Appalachia, which now seems more rhetorical device than remembered reality.