
在总统任期只剩下几个月的时间里,埃马纽埃尔·马克龙面临着日益严重的社会动荡和政治批评,这些因素最终可能会影响他的政治遗产。上周六,学生抗议活动因生活条件问题演变为暴力冲突,马克龙因此受到来自各个政治派别的严厉批评,尤其是在应对安全局势以及教育问题、生活成本和通货膨胀方面。与此同时,法国正面临着创纪录的公共债务、飙升的燃料价格以及不断升级的国际冲突。
With only months left in his presidency, Emmanuel Macron faces mounting social unrest and political criticism that could ultimately shape his legacy. After student protests over living conditions erupted into violence last Saturday, Macron has come under fire from across the political spectrum over his handling of the security situation and his response to grievances over education, the cost of living and inflation. The unrest comes as France grapples with record public debt, soaring fuel prices and escalating international conflicts.
组织这些抗议活动的“黄背心”运动于周一宣布将展开“第二阶段行动”,计划在下周末再次举行示威活动。在向全国民众发表讲话时,马克龙谴责了暴力行为,并宣布了加强安全部队力量的新措施。巴黎检察官办公室报告称,与这些抗议活动相关的逮捕人数已达855人,其中557人被警方拘留,其中433人为成年人,占被拘留者的78%。
The Yellow Vests movement, which has helped coordinate the protests, announced a “second act” on Monday, with further demonstrations planned for next weekend. Addressing the nation, Macron condemned violence and announced new operational procedures for security forces. The Paris prosecutor’s office reported 855 arrests linked to the demonstrations, with 557 people placed in police custody, 433 of whom were adults, representing 78% of those detained.“Looking at these images, we have all asked ourselves: What was going through their minds? How can French people do this to France?”
马克龙表示:“看到这些画面,我们都忍不住会问:他们当时在想什么?法国人民怎么会做出这样的事情?”他补充道:“没有任何理由可以为这种行为辩护,也没有任何借口可以解释它;今晚,我们都感到愤怒和羞愧。”这一系列事件无疑将进一步加大对马克龙的压力。根据Ipsos-BVA在10月份进行的民意调查,82%的受访者对马克龙的表现持。
Macron said. “Nothing justifies it, nothing explains it, nothing excuses it. Tonight, we all feel anger and shame.”The response is likely to add to the pressure on Macron, whose performance was viewed unfavourably by 82% of respondents in an Ipsos-BVA poll conducted in October.
目前,马克龙正在海湾地区进行外交访问;埃利塞宫方面表示,此次访问的目的是在能源价格上涨的背景下确保法国的能源供应安全。
The French president is currently on a diplomatic trip to the Gulf, which the Élysée says aims to secure energy supplies as prices rise.
然而,他在危机期间决定离开巴黎的决定引发了批评,有人指责马克龙在逃避局面。勒庞利用混乱局势在政治光谱上,几位潜在的总统候选人认为马克龙已经失去权威,且他的反应来得太迟。“我们感觉政府正在自身重压下崩溃,完全应付不来,”极右翼民族联盟主席若尔丹·巴尔德拉表示,该党在2027年法国总统大选的民意调查中领先。
However, his decision to leave Paris amid the crisis has drawn criticism, with some accusing Macron of evading the situation. Le Pen capitalises on chaosAcross the political spectrum, several potential presidential candidates have argued that Macron has lost authority and that his response came too late.“We have the feeling that the government is collapsing under its own weight, that it is completely overwhelmed,” said Jordan Bardella, president of the far-right National Rally, which is leading in polls ahead of France’s 2027 presidential election.
周一,他在该党总部的新闻发布会上承诺,若民族联盟上台,将采取强硬措施恢复秩序。“法国正陷入无力与暴力之间的夹缝之中,”他说。民意调查显示,玛丽娜·勒庞在2027年总统大选中领先于所有潜在竞争对手。她曾在2017年和2022年决选中对阵埃马纽埃尔·马克龙,两次均告失败。在抢劫事件之后,勒庞表示法国被“犯罪分子来自郊区的联盟和被政治化的职业骚乱分子”所“蹂躏”。
Speaking at a press conference at the party’s headquarters on Monday, Bardella pledged tough measures to restore order if the National Rally came to power. “France is caught in a vice between powerlessness and violence,” he said. Polls put Marine Le Pen ahead of all her potential rivals in the 2027 presidential race. She faced Emmanuel Macron in the 2017 and 2022 run-offs, losing both times. In the aftermath of the looting, Le Pen said France had been “ravaged” by “an alliance of criminals from the banlieues and politicised professional rioters”.Le Pen is expected to focus her campaign on migration and law and order, issues that have traditionally resonated with far-right voters, while playing down foreign policy issues such as the war in Ukraine and wider geopolitical tensions.
勒庞预计将把竞选重点放在移民和法律秩序问题上,这些议题传统上能引起极右翼选民共鸣,同时淡化诸如乌克兰战争和更广泛的地缘政治紧张等外交政策议题。马克龙也遭到前盟友的批评马克龙还曾受到前总理爱德华·菲利普和加布里埃尔·阿塔尔的批评,两人均参加2027年总统大选。两人都试图与马克龙及其政治遗产划清界限。
Macron faces criticism from former alliesMacron has also faced criticism from his former prime ministers, Édouard Philippe and Gabriel Attal, both of whom are running in the 2027 presidential election.
“就像数百万法国人一样,我本希望看到旨在恢复秩序的决定和行动,”菲利普在X上写道。阿塔尔呼吁国家动用一切手段“伸张正义”,包括人脸识别AI和在必要时部署军队。
Both are seeking to distance themselves from Macron and his political legacy.“Like millions of French people, I would have preferred to see decisions and initiatives aimed at restoring order,” Philippe wrote on X.Attal called on the state to employ all means "so justice is done" including AI facial recognition and deploying the army "if necessary".
马克龙周日未宣布额外的安全措施,要求地方当局与警方协调。法国左翼内部因内部紧张关系而分裂,指责政府未能保护公民。“这在严重性方面是前所未有的,”法国欧洲议会议员拉斐尔·格吕克斯曼说,他是2027年总统选举中的社会民主派候选人,他在接受RTL广播采访时这样表示。“我感觉法国正在解体,共和国正在瓦解,国家不复存在。”
Macron did not announce extra security measures on Sunday, asking local authorities to coordinate with the police. The divided French left, riven by internal tensions, accused the government of failing to protect citizens.“This is unprecedented in its gravity,” Raphaël Glucksmann, a French MEP and social-democratic contender in the 2027 presidential election, told RTL radio. “I had the feeling that France was dissolving, that the Republic was disintegrating, that the state no longer existed.”
另一位总统竞选者、代表保守派共和党的布鲁诺·勒泰略描述马克龙为“完全力不从心,无法动用国家全部力量对抗威胁共和国的混乱”。他引用了利摩日市政厅纵火案和马赛市政厅被破坏的事件。政府高级成员也承认应对中的不足。警方失误周一,内政部长洛朗·纽内承认准备工作中存在“缺乏预见性”。他提出辞职,“因为我觉得对所发生的一切负有责任”,但马克龙拒绝了他的请求。
Bruno Retailleau, another presidential hopeful representing the conservative Les Républicains party, described Macron as “completely out of his depth, incapable of deploying the full force of the state against the chaos threatening the Republic”.He cited the arson attack on Limoges town hall and vandalism at Marseille’s town hall. Senior members of the government have also acknowledged shortcomings in the response. Police fiascoOn Monday, Interior Minister Laurent Nuñez admitted there had been a “lack of anticipation” in preparations. He offered to resign “because I felt responsible for everything that happened”, but Macron rejected his request.
司法部长杰拉尔德·达尔马宁同样承认当局在应对中“无疑失败了”,指出“情报收集方面存在不足”。马克龙在其前盟友中鲜有支持者,其中一些人将当前的政治动荡归咎于他2024年6月决定解散国民议会的决定。
Justice Minister Gérald Darmanin likewise acknowledged that the authorities had “undoubtedly failed” in their response, citing “shortcomings in intelligence gathering”.Macron has found few defenders among his former allies, some of whom blame the current political turmoil on his decision to dissolve the National Assembly in June 2024.
此举使法国陷入政治不确定性,使连续的政府暴露于不信任投票的威胁之中。除了直接的安全危机之外,评论员认为马克龙已经疏远了帮助他在2017年上台的年轻人。一些抗议者批评了他2018年的高中改革,认为对专业科目组织的改动导致了更长的上学时间。在一篇最近的社论中,《世界报》将马克龙与年轻人的关系描述为“一次重大的政治失败”。
该文章将其与2018年12月爆发的黄背心运动进行了类比,当时由于购买力下降和生活成本上升而引发广泛愤怒。该文章最后写道:“恢复公共秩序是开始在周日与所有利益相关方进行谈判的必要前提,从而恢复一个已经中断太久的社会对话。”
The move plunged France into political uncertainty, leaving successive governments exposed to the threat of no-confidence votes. Beyond the immediate security crisis, commentators argue that Macron has alienated young people who helped propel him to power in 2017. Some protesters have criticised his 2018 high school reforms, arguing that changes to the organisation of specialist subjects have led to longer school days. In a recent opinion piece, Le Monde described Macron’s relationship with young people as a “major political failure”.The article drew parallels with the Yellow Vests movement, which erupted in December 2018 amid widespread anger over purchasing power and the rising cost of living.“Restoring public order is an essential prerequisite for beginning the talks promised on Sunday with all stakeholders and, in doing so, resuming a social dialogue that has been broken for far too long,” the piece concluded.