巴黎，10月19日——法国近年来最严重的社会动荡使埃马纽埃尔·马克龙总统在任期内的最后几个月陷入了更加混乱的境地，这凸显出这位领导人的无力：他手中资金匮乏，政治资本薄弱，对公共秩序的控制也越来越脆弱，根本无法平息民众的愤怒。
PARIS, Oct 19 - France’s worst bout of civil unrest in years has plunged President Emmanuel Macron’s final months in office deeper into turmoil, exposing the powerlessness of a leader struggling to contain social anger with little money to spend, scant political capital and an increasingly fragile grip on public order.
周六席卷法国的骚乱导致许多商店遭到抢劫、建筑物被烧毁、公共设施遭到破坏。这对马克龙来说可能是他执政末期面临的最严峻挑战：一个对政府提出更高要求的国家，而政府却已无力满足这些需求。
The rioting that swept across France on Saturday, leaving a trail of looted shops, torched buildings and defaced public institutions, presents Macron with perhaps the most explosive challenge of his twilight presidency: a country demanding more from a state that can no longer afford to give much.
马克龙近十年前上台时承诺要打破法国僵化的政治格局、加速经济改革，并通过更强有力的领导方式恢复国家的权威。然而，如今距离他卸任只剩下六个月时间了，他实际上已经成为一个“跛脚”的国家元首，面对的是政治僵局、严重的财政压力以及不断升级的社会动荡——这些因素都暴露了国家权威的局限性。
Macron came to power almost a decade ago promising to upend France’s sclerotic political class, turbocharge economic reforms and restore authority through a more assertive presidency. Instead, with just six months left in office, he finds himself effectively a lame-duck head of state presiding over a country mired in political paralysis, facing acute financial pressures and grappling with unrest that has exposed the limits of state authority.
与2018至2019年的“黄背心运动”期间不同，当时马克龙曾通过数十亿欧元的让步来平息民众的愤怒；但如今法国的财政状况已经十分紧张，议会也陷入分裂，因此他的应对手段极为有限。
Unlike during the Yellow Vest uprising of 2018-2019, when Macron sought to defuse public anger with billions of euros in concessions, France’s strained public finances and fractured parliament leave him with precious few levers to pull.
就连曾经的盟友也公开批评他，认为当前的国家僵局源于他2024年决定提前举行议会选举的决定——这一决定削弱了他的权威。
Even former allies are now openly scathing, tracing the country's current impasse to Macron's decision to call a snap parliamentary election in 2024 that weakened his authority.
“本届任期的结束过程简直是一场缓慢的折磨，”曾属于马克龙阵营的前议员洛里克·凯尔万在社交平台X上写道。“总统在2024年做出了解散议会的荒唐决定，导致整个国家陷入瘫痪。这可以说是法兰西第五共和国历史上最糟糕的决策。”勒庞通往总统之位的“坦途”当前的动荡局势或许对极右翼政党“国民联盟”领袖玛丽娜·勒庞有利。她目前已是2027年总统大选的最有力竞争者，生活水平持续下滑引发的民众不满，以及周末暴力事件带来的治安恐慌，都将为她带来更多支持。
“The end of this term is a slow agony,” said Loïc Kervran, a former lawmaker from Macron’s camp, on X. “The president paralysed the country with his absurd decision to dissolve parliament in 2024. Arguably the worst decision in the history of the Fifth Republic." LE PEN'S 'HIGHWAY' TO THE PRESIDENCY The turmoil may benefit far-right National Rally leader Marine Le Pen, who is already the frontrunner in the 2027 presidential race and stands to gain from both the anger over declining living standards and the fears over law and order unleashed by the weekend’s violence.
“勒庞如今无需再花费任何资金用于竞选活动，”另一位前马克龙阵营议员让-巴蒂斯特·莫罗对路透社说道，“摆在她面前的不仅是一条坦途，更是一条六车道的高速公路。”周日，勒庞通过视频向全国发表讲话，将马克龙政府描绘为摇摇欲坠的政权，并把自己塑造成能够恢复秩序的救星。
"Le Pen no longer needs to spend any money to campaign," Jean-Baptiste Moreau, another former Macron lawmaker, told Reuters. "It's not just a clear path ahead of her — it's a six-lane highway." Le Pen delivered her own message to the nation in a video statement on Sunday, portraying Macron's administration as a crumbling power and casting herself as the figure capable of restoring order.
马克龙随后向全国发表讲话，但并未提出任何具体举措，也并未宣布进入紧急状态。就在他讲话期间，抢劫行为已连续第二个夜晚在巴黎多个富裕街区上演。迫于形势，总理塞巴斯蒂安·勒科努于周一宣布实施局部宵禁。
When Macron later addressed the country, he offered little concrete action, stopping short of declaring a state of emergency. As he spoke, looting was continuing for a second consecutive night, including in affluent Paris districts, prompting his prime minister Sébastien Lecornu to announce local curfews on Monday.
无论是反对派还是曾经的盟友，都对马克龙的应对举措感到失望。正准备竞选总统的前总理爱德华·菲利普毫不留情地予以批评。他在社交平台X上写道：“总统先生，昨晚我聆听了您的讲话。和数百万法国民众一样，我更希望看到能恢复秩序的决策与举措。我们的国家需要强有力的领导。”
Opponents and one-time allies alike were underwhelmed. His former prime minister, Edouard Philippe, now preparing his own presidential run, was unsparing in his criticism. "Mr President, I listened to you last night," he wrote on X. "I would have preferred, like millions of French people, decisions and initiatives to restore order." "Our country needs to be commanded," he added.
不过，即便是菲利普也难以摆脱与马克龙的过往关联；最新民调显示，极左翼代表人物让-吕克·梅朗雄在争取进入第二轮投票的竞争中正逐渐领先于他。而多项民意调查均显示，一旦出现这种结果，勒庞几乎注定会赢得大选。在多重危机中呼吁提前辞职马克龙办公室周一宣布，他拒绝了内政部长的辞职，并下令对情报收集和警察准备工作的明显失误进行审查 — — 这加深了政府正努力重新掌控局面的印象。
But even Philippe is struggling to shake off his past association with Macron, and most recent polls show far-left firebrand Jean-Luc Melenchon edging ahead of him in the race to qualify for the second-round runoff vote. That outcome would all but guarantee a Le Pen victory, according to opinion polls. CALLS FOR EARLY RESIGNATION AMID MULTIPLE CRISES Macron's office on Monday announced that he had refused his interior minister's resignation and ordered a review into apparent failures in intelligence gathering and police preparedness — deepening the impression of a government struggling to regain control.
投资者也感到恐慌。市场分析人士称，暴力事件为法国本已因债务负担激增和努力削减欧元区最大预算赤字之一而受到审查的局面增添了另一层政治风险。
Investors also took fright. Market analysts say the violence adds another layer of political risk at a time when France is already under scrutiny over its swelling debt burden and struggle to reduce one of the euro zone's largest budget deficits.
总统如今陷入债券市场要求财政紧缩和抗议者要求相反政策之间的两难境地。
The president now finds himself trapped between bond markets demanding spending restraint and protesters demanding the opposite.
尽管反对派呼吁他留在法国，马克龙周一仍抵达科威特，开始他所说的将有助于保障燃料供应、缓解部分导致抗议者人数增加的经济压力的海湾之行。
Despite calls from opponents to remain in France, Macron arrived in Kuwait on Monday on a Gulf tour he says will help secure fuel supplies and ease some of the economic pressures that have helped swell the ranks of the protesters.
此次访问存在风险，强化了总统与公众情绪脱节的印象。周五晚上，马克龙与妻子布里吉特一起出席席琳·迪翁演唱会的画面 — — 在骚乱爆发前几小时 — — 在社交媒体上引发嘲笑，并成为批评者轻松使用的象征，用以描绘他与事件脱节。
The trip carries risks, reinforcing perceptions of a president disconnected from the public mood. Images of Macron attending a Céline Dion concert with his wife Brigitte on Friday evening, hours before the unrest erupted, prompted ridicule on social media and became an easy symbol for critics seeking to portray him as detached from events.
他政治阵营部分人士失望的程度可见一斑：一些昔日盟友已开始公开讨论他是否应在任期结束前辞职。莫罗周日曾与马克龙通话，他说他敦促总统为有序提前离职做准备，以打破当前政治僵局，避免再陷入六个月的停滞。
In a sign of the depth of disenchantment in parts of his political camp, some former allies have begun openly discussing whether he should leave office before the end of his term. Moreau, who spoke to Macron on Sunday, said he urged him to prepare an orderly early departure to break the current political deadlock and avoid another six months of drift.
“他不想放弃，这不是他的性格。但这就是他该为国家做的事，”他说。
"He doesn't want to give up, that's not his character. But that's what he should do for the country," he said.