
随着法国爆发骚乱,欧洲极右翼在选举前利用燃料价格上涨的愤怒谋取支持随着家庭和企业面临不断上升的成本,欧洲对燃料价格的愤怒正在法国、意大利、葡萄牙、西班牙、比利时及其他地区引发抗议和动乱。
As France erupts, Europe’s far right gains from fuel-price anger ahead of elections Europe’s fuel-price anger is fuelling protests and unrest in France, Italy, Portugal, Spain, Belgium and elsewhere, as households and businesses face rising costs.
根据欧盟委员会的数据,美伊战争推高了能源价格,令欧洲损失约1000亿欧元,其中天然气价格上涨约140%,柴油价格翻倍。
The US-Iran war has pushed energy prices higher, costing Europe about €100 billion, with gas up about 140% and diesel prices doubled, according to the European Commission.
在2027年选举到来之际,极右翼政党正在获得支持,玛丽娜·勒庞、德国选择党(AfD)等人正利用燃料账单和恢复对俄关系的呼吁来攻击主流领导人。人工智能生成巴黎/罗马/柏林——驶入欧洲最南端Gela小镇的拖拉机上飘扬着西西里岛旗帜,旗上印有美杜莎、三条弯曲的腿和麦穗,这让人想起该岛自罗马时代以来作为粮仓的角色。但农民们并不是来收割庄稼的。他们在抗议。
Far-right parties are gaining support ahead of 2027 elections, with Marine Le Pen, the AfD and others using fuel bills and calls to restore Russia ties to attack mainstream leaders. AI generated PARIS/ROME/BERLIN - The tractors rolling into the town of Gela on the southern tip of Europe are flying the Sicilian flag, emblazoned with Medusa, three bent legs and ears of wheat, a reminder of the island’s role as a breadbasket since Roman times. But the farmers are not bringing in a harvest. They are protesting.
随着飙升的燃料价格挤压了欧洲各地的家庭预算和企业,生活成本压力正在引发动乱,并在法国、意大利和波兰等国2027年选举到来之际,为极右翼政党注入了新的势头。
As soaring fuel prices squeeze household budgets and businesses across Europe, cost-of-living pressures are driving unrest and giving fresh momentum to far-right parties ahead of elections in 2027 in countries including France, Italy and Poland.
从法国农村的汽车司机到德国前共产主义东部的年轻男子,选民们都在寻找替代方案,这些一度被认为处于边缘地位的政党此前已经取得了进展。
Parties once considered fringe had already been gaining ground, with voters from motorists in rural France to young men in Germany’s former Communist east looking for alternatives.
美伊战争于2月爆发,导致能源价格急剧飙升,这给本已在艰难遏制通胀、支持增长和控制支出的各国政府增添了挑战。这种不满情绪已经蔓延到街头。
The US-Iran war, which erupted in February and sent energy prices sharply higher, has compounded the challenge for governments already struggling to contain inflation, support growth and rein in spending. The discontent has spilled onto the streets.
在法国,最初因巴黎北部郊区学校设施恶化而引发的示威活动,已经演变成该国几十年来最严重的骚乱之一,商店被抢劫、建筑物被纵火,利摩日一座19世纪的市政厅被焚烧。
In France, demonstrations that began over deteriorating school facilities in Paris’ northern suburbs have morphed into some of the country’s worst unrest in decades, with shops looted, buildings torched and a 19th-century town hall in Limoges set on fire.
“我为什么在这里?很简单,我觉得目前的生活成本真的太可怕了,”南特21岁抗议者昆廷·勒维卢(Quentin Leviloux)说。
“Why am I here? Well, quite simply, I find the current cost of living truly terrifying,” said Quentin Leviloux, a 21-year-old protester in Nantes.
“想想那些勉强领最低工资的人,再看看食品、燃料和其他一切东西的成本。东西变得如此难以置信地昂贵,这太可怕了。”欧洲委员会估计,伊朗冲突通过贸易和能源市场中断,已让欧洲付出了大约1000亿欧元(约合1435.5亿新元)的代价。天然气价格飙升了约140%,柴油价格翻了一番。
“Just think of people who earn barely the minimum wage, when you look at the cost of food, fuel, and everything else. It’s terrifying how incredibly expensive things have become.”The European Commission estimates the Iran conflict has cost Europe roughly €100 billion (S$143.55 billion) through disrupted trade and energy markets. Gas prices have jumped about 140% and diesel prices have doubled.
在周末的一场讲话中,法国总统埃马纽埃尔·马克龙承认了抗议生活成本和燃料成本上升的抗议者的“正义诉求”,同时谴责了那些制造暴力和抢劫的责任人。
In a weekend address, French President Emmanuel Macron acknowledged the “legitimate demands” of protesters angered by rising living and fuel costs, while condemning those responsible for violence and looting.
“我们绝不能把他们与那些搞破坏、打砸和抢劫的人混为一谈,”他说。抗议活动在欧洲各地爆发,暴力事件也在其他地方爆发。
“We must never confuse them with those who destroyed, vandalised and looted,” he said. Protests erupt across Europe Violence has also erupted elsewhere.
10月18日,在富裕的意大利北部城市米兰,警察与投掷石块并抢劫商店的抗议者发生冲突,当时正值就公共服务恶化和生活成本上升举行示威活动。
In the wealthy northern Italian city of Milan, police clashed on Oct 18 with protesters hurling stones and looting stores during demonstrations over poor public services and rising living costs.
在西西里岛南海岸的杰拉,农民们表示,燃料成本已导致运营机械的费用高昂得令人望而却步。“我们耕种土地,我们收获债务,”一条横幅上写道。
In Gela, on Sicily’s southern coast, farmers say fuel costs have made operating machinery prohibitively expensive. “We cultivate the land, we harvest debts,” said one banner.
卡尔塔尼塞塔省的农民代表阿尔坎杰洛·甘比诺(Arcangelo Gambino)说:“我们已经完全陷入停顿。(燃料)成本已经翻了一倍多。”由卡车司机、农民和钢铁工人设置的路障已经打乱了意大利南部部分地区的交通,导致当地燃料短缺,并引发了对超市供应的担忧。
“We are completely at a standstill,” said Arcangelo Gambino, a farmers’ representative in Caltanissetta province. “The (fuel) cost has more than doubled.”Roadblocks by truckers, farmers and steelworkers have disrupted transport across parts of southern Italy, contributing to local fuel shortages and concerns over supermarket supplies.
10月17日,数万人游行穿过里斯本,抗议低工资、住房成本和不断上涨的生活成本,这加大了对葡萄牙中右翼政府的压力。
Tens of thousands marched through Lisbon on Oct 17 over low wages, housing costs and the rising cost of living, increasing pressure on Portugal’s centre-right government.
在西班牙,一名87岁老妇被驱逐出住所,引发了全国范围内针对住房短缺和房租暴涨的示威活动,并促成了一场定于11月举行的大选。
In Spain, the eviction of an 87-year-old woman from her home sparked nationwide demonstrations over housing shortages and soaring rents, helping trigger a snap election in November.
比利时也出现了示威活动,而阿尔巴尼亚的大规模集会则是出于对人们眼中的政府腐败、缺乏工作岗位以及教育水平低下的愤怒。
Belgium has also seen demonstrations, while large rallies in Albania have been driven by anger over perceived government corruption, a lack of jobs and poor education standards.
这些抗议活动反映出更广泛的经济焦虑,这种焦虑正日益塑造整个欧洲大陆的政治。
The protests reflect broader economic anxieties that are increasingly shaping politics across the continent.
巴黎政治学院政治学家吉尔·伊瓦尔迪(Gilles Ivaldi)表示,对购买力的担忧已成为欧洲各地“民粹主义政治的主要驱动力”。
Concerns about purchasing power have become “a major driver of populist politics” across Europe, said Gilles Ivaldi, a political scientist at Sciences Po.
极右翼和极左翼的政客们越来越主张,恢复与俄罗斯的能源关系将有助于降低成本,这挑战了欧洲关于支持乌克兰的主流共识。
Politicians on both the hard right and hard left have increasingly argued that restoring energy ties with Russia would help lower costs, challenging Europe’s mainstream consensus on support for Ukraine.
勒庞将油价作为竞选议题 最新一轮能源冲击发生在新冠疫情引发的多年经济压力以及俄罗斯2022年入侵乌克兰的余波之后。
Le Pen makes fuel prices a campaign issue The latest energy shock comes after years of economic strain following the Covid-19 pandemic and the fallout from Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine.
在法国,不断上涨的能源成本为明年4月的总统大选提供了爆炸性的背景。
In France, rising energy costs have provided an explosive backdrop to next April’s presidential election.
马克龙政府正疲于应对不断膨胀的预算赤字以及来自债券市场的压力。
Macron’s government is struggling with a ballooning budget deficit and pressure from bond markets.
极右翼“国民联盟”的领跑者玛丽娜·勒庞和极左翼老将让-吕克·梅朗雄都已将油价作为其竞选活动的核心支柱。
Frontrunner Marine Le Pen of the far-right National Rally and hard-left veteran Jean-Luc Melenchon have both made fuel prices central planks in their campaigns.
伊瓦尔迪说:“油价上涨显然是一个能提振玛丽娜·勒庞的问题。我认为这个问题她已经掌控了相当长一段时间。”根据埃拉贝研究所(Elabe)的民调,自伊朗战争爆发以来,勒庞的支持率有所上升,而马克龙的支持率则有所下滑。勒庞提出大幅削减燃油增值税的建议,赢得了广泛的公众支持。
“Rising fuel prices are clearly an issue that boosts Marine Le Pen,” said Ivaldi. “I think this is an issue she has owned for quite some time.”Since the Iran war began, Le Pen’s ratings have improved while Macron’s have slipped, according to polling by Elabe. Le Pen’s proposal to sharply cut value-added tax on fuel has attracted broad public support.
分析人士表示,这一议题在她的核心选民——那些汽车出行通常不可或缺的农村和半农村地区——中产生了强烈共鸣。
Analysts say the issue resonates strongly with her core voters in rural and semi-rural areas where car travel is often essential.
恢复俄关系呼声再起 在邻国德国,德国选择党(AfD)在地方选举中取得强劲增长后,目前在全国民调中领先。
Calls to restore Russia ties In neighbouring Germany, the Alternative for Germany (AfD) is leading national opinion polls after strong gains in local elections.
10月公布的一项调查显示,生活成本连续第五年居于德国人关切事项的首位。
The cost of living topped Germans’ concerns for a fifth straight year in a survey published in October.
德国9月份的通货膨胀率飙升至近三年来的最高水平,其中能源价格通胀率升至14.9%,这为德国选择党(AfD)攻击总理弗里德里希·梅尔茨(Friedrich Merz)提供了弹药。
German inflation spiked to nearly a three-year high in September, with energy price inflation rising to 14.9%, handing ammunition to the AfD to attack Chancellor Friedrich Merz.
德国选择党正极力推动恢复与俄罗斯的能源联系,并辩称,在欧洲最大经济体及其众多能源密集型企业举步维艰之际,柏林对乌克兰的支持是在进行毫无必要的自我破坏。
The AfD is pushing to restore energy ties with Russia, arguing that Berlin’s support for Ukraine is needlessly self-sabotaging at a time when Europe’s largest economy and many of its energy-hungry companies are struggling.
慕尼黑工业大学气候变化政治经济学教授扬·斯特克尔(Jan Steckel)表示,过去的经验表明,高能源价格与德国选择党的选民投票率之间存在关联。
Past experience indicates a link between high energy prices and voter turnout for the AfD, said Jan Steckel, professor for the political economy of climate change at the Technical University of Munich.
他说:“民粹主义政党通常将能源成本描述为可以避免的,并将其归咎于政府的政策选择……而不是将其归咎于推动这些成本的根本地缘政治冲击。”
“Populist parties often frame energy costs as avoidable and attribute them to government policy choices... rather than to the underlying geopolitical shocks that drive them,” he said.
“这些地缘政治冲击要……难解释得多。我认为这就是为什么执政党往往难以应对的原因。”这种论点在其他地方也越来越受到关注。
“These geopolitical shocks are... much more difficult to explain. And I think this is why incumbent parties often struggle.”The argument is gaining traction elsewhere.
在意大利,总理焦尔吉亚·梅洛尼(Giorgia Meloni)正面临来自“国家未来”(National Future)日益激烈的竞争。这是一个由前陆军将军罗伯托·万纳奇(Roberto Vannacci)领导的新极右翼政党,主张恢复与俄罗斯的天然气联系。
In Italy, Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni faces growing competition from National Future, a new far-right party led by former army general Roberto Vannacci that advocates restoring gas links with Russia.
在乌克兰最坚定的支持者之一波兰,对能源账单的担忧正帮助提振对极右翼政党“波兰王冠联盟”(Confederation of the Polish Crown)的支持。
In Poland, one of Ukraine’s staunchest supporters, concern over energy bills is helping boost support for the far-right Confederation of the Polish Crown.
该党领导人格热戈日·布劳恩(Grzegorz Braun)呼吁恢复购买俄罗斯的石油和天然气,他在德国卢布明(Lubmin)与德国选择党的政治人物一同提出了这一主张,受损的“北溪”天然气管道就在此登陆德国。他说:“我喜欢清晨俄罗斯天然气的味道。”
Its leader, Grzegorz Braun, has called for a return to buying Russian oil and gas, making the case alongside AfD politicians in Lubmin, where the damaged Nord Stream pipelines land in Germany. “I love the smell of Russian gas in the morning,” he said.