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晨间荣耀:明尼苏达州大规模欺诈丑闻或致参议院选举惊人翻盘MORNING GLORY: Minnesota's massive fraud scandal could deliver a stunning Senate upset

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“这场历史性的欺诈案是在她的眼皮底下发生的,而现在她突然开始关心起医疗补助和食品券了?编造这种谎言去骗别人吧,佩吉。”明尼苏达州共和党参议员候选人米歇尔·塔福亚(Michele Tafoya)在辩论中,这样回应民主党参议员候选人佩吉·弗拉纳根(Peggy Flanagan)对贫困人口福利获取途径的关切抗议,此举奠定了她作为美国政坛“年度新人”的地位。

"This historic fraud happened under her watch, and suddenly, she’s looking out for Medicaid and SNAP? Sell it to someone else, Peggy." With this debate response to Minnesota Democratic Senate nominee Peggy Flanagan’s protestations of concern over access to benefits for the very poor, Republican nominee for Senate Michele Tafoya sealed her status as "rookie of the year" in American politics.

作为长期从事美国国家橄榄球联盟(NFL)转播的专业人士,塔福亚在上周与弗拉纳根的辩论中展现了她数十年来在镜头前敏捷的应变能力,并巧妙地切入了弗拉纳根最大的软肋:在新冠疫情时期的“睁一只眼闭一只眼”政策成为明尼苏达州庞大“安全网”项目的特征而非漏洞、且欺诈巨浪席卷明尼苏达州期间,弗拉纳根曾担任明尼苏达州长蒂姆·沃尔兹(Tim Walz)副手并接受其历练的经历。

A longtime NFL broadcast professional, Tafoya demonstrated decades of quick on-camera thinking in her debate last week with Flanagan and combined it with a deft slash at Flanagan’s greatest vulnerability: Flanagan’s apprenticeship as lieutenant governor to Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz during the tidal wave of fraud that swept across Minnesota after Covid-era "look-the-other-way" policies became a feature, not a bug, in Minnesota’s vast system of "safety net" programs.

一名联邦检察官估计,明尼苏达州支出中的欺诈金额高达90亿美元——这是一个带“亿”字的数字。考虑到“地鼠州”的人口不足600万,且年度预算约为67亿美元,这是一个惊人的数字。竟然有相当于州预算近15%的资金被挥霍在小偷和骗子身上,这令人瞠目结舌。

A federal prosecutor estimated the amount of fraud in Minnesota’s spending at as much as $9 billion — that’s a "b" as in "billion." That is a remarkable sum given the Gopher State’s population of fewer than 6 million souls and an annual budget of about $67 billion. To squander an amount equal to close to 15% of a state’s budget on thieves and con artists is staggering.

这种程度的腐败迫使沃尔兹放弃了连任竞选计划,如今也在这场参议员竞选中一路纠缠着与塔福亚直接对决的弗拉纳根。

That level of corruption forced Walz to drop his planned campaign for re-election and now dogs Flanagan in her head-to-head campaign with Tafoya for the Senate.

索马里裔美国人青年帮派带来的恐惧日益加剧,也同样对她造成了困扰。双城地区郊区选民最近被某种暴力事件震惊,当时埃登普赖里的一所高中返校节比赛中发生了枪战。

As does the rising fear of gangs of Somali-American youths and the sort of violence that recently stunned suburban Twin Cities voters when a shootout occurred at an Eden Prairie high school homecoming game.

埃登普赖里是一个典型的富裕郊区城镇,人口约有6.5万人。居住在埃登普赖里的索马里裔美国人不到3000人,但10月2日在埃里体育场(Aerie Stadium)举行的埃登普赖里高中对阵明尼通卡高中的比赛中发生的帮派枪战,震惊了全州的选民。

Eden Prairie is a standard-issue affluent suburban town of about 65,000 people. Fewer than 3,000 Somali-Americans live in Eden Prairie, but the gang shootout on October 2 at Aerie Stadium, during Eden Prairie High School’s game against Minnetonka High School, shocked voters across the entire state.

塔福亚迅速指出,该事件中所有被捕者——事件造成两名青年受伤,人群迅速从被取消的比赛现场撤离——几天内均已保释出狱。这起枪击案加上诈骗案,主导了本月明尼苏达州媒体对参议院竞选的报道。

Tafoya was quick to note that everyone arrested in the incident — which left two youths wounded and crowds quickly evacuated from the canceled game — was out on bail within days. That shootout plus the fraud have dominated Gopher State media coverage of the Senate race this month.

塔福亚的“致命一击”台词——“把这套说辞推销给别人吧,佩吉”——给选民敲响了警钟。即使是明尼苏达州的资深民主党人,看着自己深爱的州,也无法理解为何它会陷入腐败与犯罪的泥沼。

Tafoya’s knockout line — "Sell it to someone else, Peggy" — was a wake-up call for the electorate. Even longtime Democrats in Minnesota are looking around their beloved state and cannot fathom why it has been engulfed in corruption and crime.

在任何选举周期中,塔福亚都是一位优秀的候选人。在中期全州竞选中,当她的对决成为全美最受瞩目的焦点之一时,她更是一位极佳的候选人。

Tafoya would have been a good candidate in any cycle. She’s a terrific one for a midterm statewide campaign when her matchup is among the most watched in the country.

该竞选的民调处于“误差范围”内,提醒读者,这意味着进行民调的机构承认这是一场势均力敌的较量。在明尼阿波利斯市中心之外,可能还潜藏着一股沉默的、因此隐藏在民调之外的反建制投票倾向,而极其自由的明尼苏达民主-农民-劳工党(“DFL”),即弗拉纳根的党派品牌,正是明尼苏达州的建制派。

Polls in the race are within the "margin of error," which, to remind readers, means the pollsters conducting the surveys acknowledge it’s a toss-up. There may also be a silent and thus hidden-from-pollsters anti-establishment vote lurking beyond downtown Minneapolis, and the very liberal Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party ("DFL"), Flanagan’s brand, is the establishment in Minnesota.

DFL并非美国民主社会主义者(DSA),但弗拉纳根绝对是“DSA相关人士”。她“觉醒”到了“觉醒”的极致。一个明显的“破绽”:弗拉纳根反复将以色列在加沙对哈马斯的战争——该战争由10月7日的恐怖袭击和大屠杀引发——称为“种族灭绝”,这不仅是诽谤,更是极其愚蠢的诽谤。

The DFL is not the DSA, but Flanagan is most definitely "DSA-adjacent." She is as "woke" as "woke" gets. One obvious "tell": Flanagan has repeatedly branded Israel’s battle against Hamas in Gaza — which was triggered by the terrorist invasion and massacre of Oct. 7 — as a "genocide," which is not only a slander but an exceptionally stupid slander.

“种族灭绝”口号在高呼“从河到海,巴勒斯坦将获得自由”的激进分子中很流行,但这是一股“白痴之风”,借用明尼苏达州诺贝尔奖得主诗人鲍勃·迪伦的词。对犹太国家提出这种指控,应该让说出此话者立即退出美国政坛,而不是获得在这个星球上最强大的立法机构中任职六年的席位。

The "genocide" slogan is popular among the radicals chanting "from the river to the sea, Palestine will be free," but it’s an "idiot wind," to borrow from Minnesota’s Nobel laureate bard Bob Dylan. To level that charge against the Jewish state should earn whoever utters it an immediate exit from American politics, not a six-year seat in the most powerful legislative chamber on the planet.

弗拉纳根并非2026年选举周期中最激进的民主党提名人。那显然是密歇根州的阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德。

Flanagan isn’t the most radical Democratic nominee of the 2026 election cycle. That is clearly Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan.

但弗拉纳根与缅因州民主党参议员提名人特洛伊·杰克逊并列“绝不可能赢得拼字比赛”称号,也与得克萨斯州民主党参议员提名人詹姆斯·塔拉里科并列今秋“怪诞”奥运会金牌得主。(这非常贴切,因为沃尔兹在2024年竞选中推广称时任参议员、现任副总统J.D.万斯为“怪诞”。)与此同时,非常聪明、非常上镜、非常专业且准备充分的塔福亚在明尼苏达州各地,无论大型集会还是小型聚会,都辛勤奔走,以简单直接的诉求打动选民:明尼苏达州选民理应得到比沃尔兹和弗拉纳根留下的烂摊子更好的结果——八年来对全国最大欺诈案漠不关心,任由暴力螺旋式上升。

But Flanagan is tied with Maine’s Democratic Senate nominee Troy Jackson for the "never going to win the spelling bee" title and with Texas’s Democratic Senate nominee James Talarico for the gold in the "weird" Olympics this fall. (That’s very fitting since Walz popularized calling then-Senator and now Vice President J.D. Vance "weird" in the 2024 campaign.) Meanwhile, the very smart, very telegenic and very professional and prepared Tafoya has worked and worked every crowd, large and small, across Minnesota with the simple and direct appeal that Minnesota voters deserve better than the hot mess that Walz and Flanagan have left the state in after eight years of hapless indifference to the biggest fraud story in the nation, marching right alongside spiraling violence.

明尼苏达州会选共和党人,只是不常见。塔福亚虽未领跑,但确实非常接近制造2026年最大冷门。为什么?因为有时即便是自由派,也会在左派给他们的生活、以及子孙安全强加巨大代价时感到厌倦。

Minnesota elects Republicans, just not often. Tafoya isn’t in the lead, but she’s certainly very close to scoring the biggest upset of 2026. Why? Because sometimes even liberals get sick of the left when the left imposes enormous costs on their lives and on the safety of their children and grandchildren.

休·休伊特是福克斯新闻频道撰稿人,也是塞勒姆广播网络《休·休伊特秀》的主持人,该节目于美东时间周一至周五下午3点至6点播出,并在塞勒姆新闻频道同步播出。休通过全国400多家附属电台以及所有能够收看塞勒姆新闻频道的流媒体平台,在东海岸陪伴美国人驾车回家,在西海岸陪伴他们吃午餐。他是福克斯新闻频道由布雷特·拜尔于美东时间工作日下午6点主持的新闻圆桌会议的常客。

Hugh Hewitt is a Fox News contributor and host of "The Hugh Hewitt Show" heard weekday afternoons from 3 PM to 6 PM ET on the Salem Radio Network, and simulcast on Salem News Channel. Hugh drives Americans home on the East Coast and to lunch on the West Coast on over 400 affiliates nationwide, and on all the streaming platforms where SNC can be seen. He is a frequent guest on the Fox News Channel’s news roundtable, hosted by Bret Baier weekdays at 6pm ET.

休伊特是俄亥俄州人,毕业于哈佛学院和密歇根大学法学院,自1996年以来一直担任查普曼大学福勒法学院法学教授,教授宪法。休伊特于1990年在洛杉矶推出了以自己名字命名的广播节目。休伊特曾频繁亮相各大全美电视新闻网络,为公共电视网和微软全国广播公司主持过电视节目,为美国各大主流报纸撰稿,撰写过十几本书籍,并主持过数十场共和党候选人辩论,最近的一次是2023年11月在迈阿密举行的共和党总统初选辩论,以及2015至2016年选举周期的四场共和党总统初选辩论。

A son of Ohio and a graduate of Harvard College and the University of Michigan Law School, Hewitt has been a Professor of Law at Chapman University’s Fowler School of Law since 1996 where he teaches Constitutional Law. Hewitt launched his eponymous radio show from Los Angeles in 1990. Hewitt has frequently appeared on every major national news television network, hosted television shows for PBS and MSNBC, written for every major American paper, has authored a dozen books and moderated a score of Republican candidate debates, most recently the November 2023 Republican presidential debate in Miami and four Republican presidential debates in the 2015-16 cycle.

休伊特的广播节目和专栏主要关注宪法、国家安全、美国政治以及克利夫兰布朗队和守护者队。在其40年的广播生涯中,休伊特采访了数万名嘉宾,从民主党的希拉里·克林顿和约翰·克里,到共和党总统乔治·W·布什和唐纳德·特朗普。本专栏前瞻了将主导他今天广播/电视节目的头条新闻。

Hewitt focuses his radio show and his column on the Constitution, national security, American politics and the Cleveland Browns and Guardians. Hewitt has interviewed tens of thousands of guests from Democrats Hillary Clinton and John Kerry to Republican Presidents George W. Bush and Donald Trump over his 40 years in broadcasting. This column previews the lead story that will drive his radio/ TV show today.

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