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美国9月独栋住宅开工和建筑许可大幅下降US single-family housing starts, building permits tumble in September

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2026年1月29日,美国加利福尼亚州恩西尼塔斯一处独栋单户住宅社区内,一块“出售”标牌。路透社/迈克·布莱克/资料照片A for sale sign is shown in a residential neighborhood of detached single family homes in Encinitas, California, U.S., January 29, 2026. REUTERS/Mike Blake/File Photo

由于抵押贷款利率上升抑制了需求,美国9月独栋住宅开工和未来建设许可大幅下降,表明住宅投资在第三季度重新陷入下降趋势。

US single-family homebuilding and permits for future construction fell sharply in September as higher mortgage rates suppressed demand, suggesting residential investment resumed its declining trend in the third quarter.

美国商务部下属的人口普查局周二表示,占住宅建设主体的独栋住宅开工量,上月下降4.6%,至经季节性调整后的年化85.9万套。独栋住宅建设许可下降4.0%,至84.5万套。

Single-family housing starts, which account for the bulk of homebuilding, dropped 4.6% to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 859,000 units last month, the Commerce Department's Census Bureau said on Tuesday. Single-family building permits decreased 4.0% to a rate of 845,000 units.

抵押贷款机构房利美(Freddie Mac)的数据显示,近几周抵押贷款利率飙升,上周30年期固定利率平均为7.40%,创下近三年来最高水平。更高的借贷成本与美国国债收益率同步走高,因为美国与以色列对伊朗的战争助长了通胀。

Mortgage rates have surged in recent weeks, with the 30-year fixed rate averaging 7.40% last week, the highest level in nearly three years, data from mortgage finance firm Freddie Mac showed. The higher borrowing costs are tracking Treasury yields as the US-Israeli war with Iran fans inflation.

美国房屋建筑商协会(NAHB)周一的一项调查显示,独栋住宅建筑商的信心在10月大幅下降,跌至2012年6月以来的最低水平。NAHB将信心恶化归咎于材料成本和抵押贷款利率上升,以及柴油价格更高,加上在移民打压背景下劳动力状况“恶化”。

A National Association of Home Builders survey on Monday showed sentiment among single-family homebuilders plunged in October to the lowest level since June 2012. The NAHB blamed rising material costs and mortgage rates as well as more expensive diesel and "worsening" labor conditions amid an immigration crackdown for the deterioration in sentiment.

销售低迷导致市场上未售出房屋积压,进一步削弱了开发商开工新建独栋住宅项目的动力。尽管独栋住宅供应过剩,全国仍存在住房短缺,这使房价维持在高位。

Slumping sales have led to a glut of unsold houses on the market, further reducing the incentive for developers to break ground on new single-family housing projects. Despite the overhang of new single-family homes, there is a national housing shortage, which is keeping home prices elevated.

住房可负担性已成为11月3日中期选举前竞选信息的主导议题,该选举将决定国会控制权。今年早些时候,总统唐纳德·特朗普拒绝签署一项两党住房可负担性法案,称其为“大打哈欠”,并敦促国会(包括抵制其要求的共和党同僚)先通过单独且有争议的投票要求。

Housing affordability has dominated campaign messaging ahead of the November 3 midterm election, which will determine control of Congress. President Donald Trump earlier this year refused to sign a bipartisan housing affordability bill, calling it "a big yawn" as he pressed Congress, including fellow Republicans resisting his demands, to first pass separate and contentious voting requirements.

住宅投资在第二季度反弹,也反映了装修活动,对国内生产总值作出了小幅贡献。这一上升是在连续五个季度下降之后出现的。

Residential investment rebounded in the second quarter, also reflecting renovations, making a small contribution to gross domestic product. The rise followed five straight quarterly declines.

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