
亚太经济合作组织(APEC)成员国同意加强经济协调,以应对日益严峻的挑战,此前财长会议在香港举行。
Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (Apec) nations agreed to boost economic coordination amid mounting challenges after a meeting of finance ministers in Hong Kong.
“我们注意到全球失衡持续存在,给增长和稳定带来风险,”财长们在为期两天的会谈后发表的联合声明中说。“我们认识到全球再平衡符合我们的共同利益,并同意在这方面加强沟通与合作。”该组织还发布了一份关于数字基础设施融资的政策声明,此前曾强调部分经济体存在“巨大”融资缺口。APEC 汇聚了环太平洋地区的 21 个国家,包括中国、美国、日本和俄罗斯。它们共同代表约 30 亿人口和全球经济的 60%。
“We note that global imbalances have persisted, creating risks to growth and stability,” the finance ministers said in a joint statement following two days of talks. “We recognise that global rebalancing is in our common interest and agree to strengthen communication and cooperation in this regard.”The group also released a policy statement on digital infrastructure financing after highlighting “significant” funding gaps in some economies. Apec pulls together 21 nations from around the Pacific Rim, including China, the United States, Japan and Russia. Together, they represent about 3 billion people and 60 per cent of the global economy.
此次会议由中国财政部长蓝佛安主持,距离 APEC 领导人在邻近的内地城市深圳举行年度峰会约有一个月时间。中国国家主席习近平将在该活动期间会见美国总统特朗普,这将是双方今年的第三次峰会。美国财政部长贝森特缺席了在香港举行的财长会议。
The meeting, chaired by Chinese Finance Minister Lan Foan, took place about a month before Apec leaders gather in the neighbouring mainland city of Shenzhen for an annual summit. Chinese President Xi Jinping will meet US President Donald Trump at the event, their third summit of the year. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent skipped the finance ministers’ gathering in Hong Kong.
据《南华早报》周三援引多位消息人士报道,谈判人员正抓紧时间敲定中国对美投资事宜,潜在领域或包括电动汽车、电池储能及电力设备基础设施,以期在下个月的习特会之前取得进展。报道称,障碍包括美国企业界的反对以及双边关系紧张,这可能令中国企业不敢作长期投资。报道还指出,投资或将转向被视为敏感度较低的行业,如消费品。
Negotiators are rushing to line up Chinese investments in the US, potentially including electric vehicles, battery storage and power equipment infrastructure, ahead of next month’s Xi-Trump summit, the South China Morning Post reported on Wednesday, citing multiple sources. Hurdles include US corporate opposition and fractious bilateral relations, which could deter Chinese companies from making long-term investments, the report said. Investments may shift to industries deemed to be less sensitive, such as consumer goods, it said.
关于再次延长贸易战休战期的讨论也在向“积极方向”推进,不过协议不大可能在12月之前达成,届时特朗普与习近平将在迈阿密出席二十国集团峰会。两位领导人此前在华盛顿会晤时,已同意将休战期再延长两个月至明年1月。
Discussions about another extension to a trade-war truce were also moving in a “positive direction”, even if an agreement is unlikely until December when Trump and Xi are due to meet at a G20 summit in Miami, the report said. The two leaders agreed to prolong the truce by two months until January at a recent meeting in Washington.
香港财政司司长陈茂波在亚太经合组织(APEC)活动上表示,全球经济面临的风险“倾向于下行”。他说,地缘政治动荡推高了能源价格,助长了通胀,拖累了投资,并挤压了财政空间。陈茂波还强调,“贸易政策不确定性”是另一项风险,可能颠覆迄今为止表现韧性的全球经济。他说:“韧性是不均衡的,且承受着压力。”
Hong Kong finance chief Paul Chan Mo-po said at the Apec event that risks to the global economy were “tilted to the downside”. Geopolitical disruptions had pushed up energy prices, fuelled inflation, weighed on investments and constrained fiscal space, he said. Chan also highlighted “trade policy uncertainty” as another risk that could upend the so-far resilient global economy. “Resilience is uneven and under strain,” Chan said.
泰国正击败越南,成为中国制造商增设海外工厂以规避美国关税、对冲地缘政治风险的首选地。据中国商务部数据,去年中国企业对泰投资达53.3亿美元,是对越投资24.6亿美元的两倍多。投资在越南降温,该国传统上是“中国加一”策略的热门目的地,此乃因担忧“制造业饱和”以及美国贸易审查日益严格。相比之下,泰国不仅与美国保持良好贸易关系,还与其他国家拥有一系列自由贸易协定网络。
Thailand is beating out Vietnam as Chinese manufacturers add overseas plants in order to sidestep US tariffs and hedge geopolitical risks. Chinese companies invested US$5.33 billion in Thailand last year, more than double the US$2.46 billion spent in Vietnam, according to China’s Ministry of Commerce. Investment has cooled in Vietnam, traditionally a strong destination for “China plus one” strategies, amid concerns about “manufacturing saturation” and rising US trade scrutiny. By contrast, Thailand has good trading ties with the US, as well as a network of free-trade agreements with other nations.
谨慎的基调:在世界经济日益走向贸易保护主义、并承受着中东战争冲击波越来越大压力的时刻,[中国财政部长]蓝(佛安)简短的言论虽然缺乏细节,但定下了谨慎的基调。在此背景下,走高的债券收益率正在推高融资成本,而油价则加剧了对通货膨胀的担忧。
Cautious note: While short on detail, [Chinese Finance Minister] Lan’s brief remarks struck a note of caution at a time when the world economy is becoming more protectionist and coming under increasing pressure from the shock waves of the war in the Middle East. In the backdrop are elevated bond yields that are raising financing costs while oil prices add to inflation concerns.
稳固根基:世界变得更加碎片化。贸易紧张局势、相互竞争的技术标准以及地缘政治竞争,正推动许多经济体询问在何处还能在可预测的规则下开展业务。香港的答案建立在稳固根基之上:一个开放的资本市场、一个成熟的普通法体系、领先的离岸人民币枢纽,以及中国内地的强力支持。(《中国日报》,评论)出发点:香港立法会议员陈仲尼表示,虽然这次金融领袖会议仅仅是一个出发点,但它指明的方向很清楚:香港的国际优势只有通过在服务国家战略与回应区域需求的交汇点上持续迭代,才能真正从“超级联系人”演变为不可替代的“超级增值人”。
Solid ground: The world has become a more fragmented place. Trade tensions, competing tech standards and geopolitical rivalry are pushing many economies to ask where they can still do business under predictable rules. Hong Kong’s answer rests on solid ground: an open capital market, a solid common-law system, the leading offshore renminbi hub, and strong backing from the Chinese mainland. (China Daily, opinion) Starting point: [Hong Kong] Legislative Councillor Rock Chen said that while this financial chiefs’ meeting is merely a starting point, the direction it points to is clear: Hong Kong’s international advantage can only truly evolve from being a “superconnector” to an irreplaceable “super value-adder” by continuously iterating at the intersection of serving national strategies and responding to regional needs. (Hong Kong Economic Journal) Investment barriers: The [US-China] Board of Trade has agreed on tariff reductions covering US$30 billion in trade in each direction, but those cuts have yet to take effect.
(《香港经济日报》)投资壁垒:美中贸易全国委员会已就双向贸易额达300亿美元的关税减让达成一致,但这些减让尚未生效。在中国对美进行政治敏感性投资方面,难度将更大。中国对美投资也将面临美国议员的强烈反对。(Trivium China)无摩擦市场:受美国与伊朗战争导致油价上涨以及车企为抵消国内销量下滑而推动海外扩张的驱动,中国包括电动汽车在内的汽车出口今年激增。
Securing politically sensitive Chinese investments in the US will be harder still. Chinese investment in the US will also face major opposition from American lawmakers. (Trivium China) Friction-free markets: Chinese auto exports including electric vehicles have surged this year, driven by rising oil prices stemming from the US war with Iran and automakers’ push to expand overseas to offset falling domestic sales.
在与其他地区贸易摩擦加剧的背景下,日本等市场对中国车企变得日益重要。本月初,欧盟与中国贸易官员同意限制中国混合动力汽车的出货量。(《日经亚洲》)中国决定在香港举办亚太经合组织财长会议,凸显了该城市作为全球金融中心的地位,以及其作为中国内地企业拓展海外业务门户的角色。
Markets such as Japan are becoming increasingly important for Chinese carmakers amid growing trade frictions with other regions. Earlier this month, trade officials of the European Union and China agreed to curb shipments of Chinese hybrid vehicles. (Nikkei Asia) China’s decision to host Apec finance ministers in Hong Kong highlighted the city’s status as a global financial centre and its role as a gateway for mainland Chinese companies expanding overseas.
香港特首李家超在亚太经合组织部长级会议的欢迎辞中表示:“在独特的‘一国两制’原则下,香港兼具中国优势与全球优势。”
“Under the unique ‘one country, two systems’ principle, Hong Kong enjoys both the China advantage and the global advantage,” the city’s leader, Chief Executive John Lee, told the Apec ministers in a welcome speech.
李家超大肆宣扬香港的优势,包括零关税、低税率、普通法制度和稳定的营商环境。他还推介了该市的顶尖大学、雄厚的人才库以及即将建成的北部都会区,这将有助于连接香港与内地。未来的计划包括发展该市的离岸人民币业务及其在财富管理中的作用。这座城市已经在吸引寻求国际发展的内地企业。
Lee talked up Hong Kong’s strengths, including zero tariffs, low taxes, a common-law system and a stable business environment. He also promoted the city’s major universities, strong talent pool and coming Northern Metropolis which will help to connect Hong Kong with the mainland. Future plans include growing the city’s offshore yuan business and its role in wealth management. The city is already attracting mainland businesses looking to grow internationally.
根据政府统计处的数据,去年有350家内地企业在该市设立了地区总部,而就在2021年,这一数字为252家。
Last year, 350 mainland companies had regional headquarters in the city, up from 252 as recently as 2021, according to the Census and Statistics Department.
普查数据显示,这种增长与美国企业形成了鲜明对比。同期,在香港设有地区办事处的美国企业数量从254家骤降至200家。这使得美国在排名中从第一位跌至第三位。日本以220家位居第二。
That growth contrasts with US companies. The number of US businesses with regional offices in Hong Kong plunged to 200 from 254 in the same period, the census data shows. That has pushed the US to third from first in the rankings. Japan is second with 220.
美国办事处的减少可能反映了地缘政治紧张局势等因素,例如2020年香港实施国家安全法带来的余波,以及新冠疫情期间实施的严厉隔离政策。
The drop-off in US offices probably reflects geopolitical tensions among other factors, such as the fallout from the imposition of Hong Kong’s national security laws in 2020 and the draconian quarantine policies implemented during the Covid-19 pandemic.
内地企业在香港扩张,是其更广泛的“走出去”战略的一部分(参见《南华早报》Plus“走出去”100强)。这一更广泛的推动力源于企业寻求摆脱国内由于产能过剩和消费疲软而导致利润受损的价格战。
Mainland companies are expanding in Hong Kong as part of a wider “Going Global” push (see the SCMP Plus Going Global 100). This broader drive is being fuelled by businesses seeking an escape from profit-destroying price wars at home that are the result of overcapacity and weak consumption.
中国监管机构还鼓励内地企业赴港上市,帮助香港去年在全球首次公开募股(IPO)融资额中名列前茅。
Chinese regulators have also encouraged mainland companies to sell shares in Hong Kong, helping the city lead worldwide fundraising from initial public offerings (IPOs) last year. IPO volumes have risen further in 2026.
毕马威(KPMG)表示,2026年首次公开募股(IPO)的规模进一步上升。全年总额可能达到5000亿港元(折合约640亿美元),超过2010年创下的4495亿港元的记录。该机构称,今年前九个月的交易额为3880亿港元。在总共116家上市企业中,几乎全部来自中国内地。该市目前有超过600家处于筹备阶段的活跃IPO申请企业。
The full-year tally could hit HK$500 billion (US$64 billion), surpassing the HK$449.5 billion record set in 2010, according to KPMG. There were HK$388 billion of deals in the first nine months of the year, it said. Almost all the 116 listings were from the mainland. The city has more than 600 active IPO applicants in the pipeline.
不过,这一融资势头也面临风险,其中最显著的是投资者疲劳。散户股票买家变得谨慎得多,这意味着认购过度的现象较几个月前大幅下降。由于对内地消费疲软和美国利率走身上升的担忧,该市的恒生指数今年也下跌了约10%,在世界主要基准指数中表现最差。
Still, there are risks to the fundraising drive, notably including investor fatigue. Retail stock buyers have become much more cautious, meaning that listing oversubscriptions are way down from even a few months ago. The city’s Hang Seng Index has also lost about 10 per cent this year, one of the worst performances among major benchmarks worldwide, amid concerns about weak mainland consumer spending and higher US interest rates.
地缘政治是另一个因素:电子元器件制造商苏州东山精密制造股份有限公司已缩减其IPO规模,部分原因是投资者担心潜在的美国贸易限制可能会打击其光模块业务。该公司也受到了人工智能(AI)泡沫破裂带来的部分影响。
Geopolitics is another factor: electronics components maker Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing has scaled back its IPO partly because investors fear that potential US trade restrictions could dampen its optical modules business. The company has also been hit by some of the air coming out of the artificial intelligence (AI) bubble.
此外,香港证券及期货事务监察委员会收紧了对IPO市场的审查,以打击上市欺诈行为。上周,该监管机构在针对涉嫌操纵三起上市交易团伙的行动中,冻结了价值46亿港元的资产。
Furthermore, Hong Kong’s Securities and Futures Commission has tightened scrutiny of the IPO market in a bid to crack down on listings fraud. Last week, the regulator froze assets worth HK$4.6 billion in an operation against syndicates suspected of rigging three listings.
香港的支持者将把这次整顿吹嘘为法治在香港及其金融市场占主导地位的证据。
Hong Kong’s boosters will tout the clampdown as evidence that the rule of law holds sway in the city and its financial market.
除了银行家和融资之外,香港还凭借其在营销和电子商务、专业服务、供应链管理以及研究方面的实力,赢得了内地企业的青睐。
Beyond bankers and financing, Hong Kong is also winning over mainland companies with its prowess in marketing and e-commerce, professional services, supply-chain management and research.
这种深度意味着,在香港贸易发展局6月发布的一项调查中,83%的大陆企业将香港列为其“走出去”支持的首选来源地。这一比例在全球范围内最高,高于2023年的62%。
This depth means that 83 per cent of mainland companies named Hong Kong as their preferred source of “going global” support in a Hong Kong Trade and Development Council survey released in June. That was the highest share worldwide, and up from 62 per cent in 2023.
更多大陆企业可能会前往该市,因为在接受调查的大约2000家企业中,有95%表示他们计划在未来两年内以更大规模“走出去”。参与调查的企业涵盖了粤港澳大湾区和长三角等国家级重点增长中心。
More mainland companies will probably head to the city, as 95 per cent of the roughly 2,000 enterprises in the survey said they plan to “go global” on a greater scale in the next two years. The businesses in the poll spanned key national growth centres such as the Greater Bay Area and Yangtze River Delta.
香港作为金融中心和“走出去”跳板的双重角色似乎还有进一步发展的空间。
Hong Kong’s dual role as a financial centre and “Going Global” gateway seemingly has further to go.