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华尔街日报

特斯拉营收持平、现金流增加,与SpaceX合并传闻笼罩Tesla Reports Flat Revenue, Increased Cash Flow as SpaceX Merger Talk Looms

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北京一家特斯拉门店内的新款特斯拉Cybercab。Cybercab是一款没有方向盘和踏板的自动驾驶电动汽车。Jessica Lee / EPA / ShutterstockThe new Tesla Cybercab at a Tesla store in Beijing. The Cybercab is a self-driving EV with no steering wheel or pedals. Jessica Lee / EPA / Shutterstock

特斯拉第三季度营收持平,但尽管在人工智能和机器人领域投入巨大,却出现了令人意外的正向自由现金流,而关于与SpaceX合并的传言引发了对这家电动汽车制造商未来的疑问。

Tesla reported flat revenue in the third quarter but a surprise positive free cash flow despite its heavy investments in AI and robotics, all while talk of a merger with SpaceX raises questions about the future of the electric carmaker.

据FactSet汇总的估计,特斯拉第三季度产生15亿美元的自由现金流,而分析师此前预计该公司的现金流出将扩大至43亿美元。

Tesla generated free cash flow of $1.5 billion in the quarter, while analysts expected the company’s cash burn to expand to $4.3 billion, according to estimates compiled by FactSet.

华尔街预计资本支出将较上一季度的58亿美元加速增长,但实际下降至47亿美元,仍是一年前支出的两倍多。首席执行官埃隆·马斯克已表示公司将在人工智能算力等资产上大举投入,他在7月表示,2026年将是“巨大的资本支出年份”。特斯拉股价在收盘时上涨3%。

Wall Street expected capital expenditures to accelerate from last quarter’s $5.8 billion, but they declined to $4.7 billion—still more than twice the company’s spend a year earlier. Chief Executive Elon Musk has signaled the company would spend heavily on assets like AI computing power, saying in July that 2026 would be “a massive CapEx year.”Tesla shares were up 3% at the market’s close.

营收与去年持平,为280亿美元,而调整后净利润下降4%至17亿美元。特斯拉的“服务和其他”业务板块是其增长引擎,而其核心汽车和储能业务的营收分别下降3%和16%。

Revenue was flat from last year at $28 billion, while adjusted net income slid 4% to $1.7 billion. Tesla’s “services and other” segment was its growth driver, as its core automotive and energy storage businesses saw top-line declines of 3% and 16%, respectively.

其他收入来源——包括其全自动驾驶(受监督)自动驾驶辅助系统(即FSD)的订阅、其初创阶段的Robotaxi业务以及电动汽车充电——增长了33%。

Other sources of revenue—including subscriptions to its Full Self-Driving (Supervised) automated driving assistance system, or FSD, and its nascent Robotaxi business and EV charging—increased 33%.

特斯拉第三季度在全球销售486,532辆电动汽车,较去年同期下降2%。特斯拉的大部分收入来自销售电动汽车,尽管随着Model S和Model X的停产以及Cybertruck需求疲软,Model Y SUV和Model 3轿车构成了其绝大部分销量。

Tesla sold 486,532 electric vehicles globally in the third quarter, a 2% dip from the same period last year. Most of Tesla’s revenue comes from selling EVs, although with the discontinuation of the Model S and Model X and slow Cybertruck demand, the Model Y SUV and Model 3 sedan make up the vast majority of sales.

去年激励信贷取消后,美国电动汽车需求暴跌,导致特斯拉重新夺回了美国大部分电动汽车市场。Model Y仍然是美国最畅销的电动汽车,遥遥领先。

EV demand in the U.S. cratered following the end of incentive credits last year, leading Tesla to recapture most of the American EV market. The Model Y remains far and away the U.S.’s bestselling EV.

该公司报告称,创纪录的75%车辆交付包含付费的FSD订阅服务。马斯克表示,该公司的未来取决于自动驾驶,而非像传统汽车制造商那样销售汽车。“我们认为,FSD正在推动其可用市场的需求,”该公司在季度报告中表示。

The company reported that a record 75% of its vehicle deliveries included paid subscriptions to FSD. Musk has said the company’s future hangs on autonomous driving, not selling vehicles like a traditional automaker. “We believe that FSD is driving demand in markets where it is available,” the company said in its quarterly report.

特斯拉报告称,截至第三季度,付费FSD订阅量达到170万,较一年前的100万有所增长。特斯拉还夸耀,其完全自动驾驶的Robotaxi服务每周实现两位数增长。

Tesla reported 1.7 million paid FSD subscriptions as of the third quarter, up from 1 million a year earlier. Tesla also boasted double-digit weekly growth of its fully autonomous Robotaxi service.

上周,马斯克和其他高管展示了重新设计的特斯拉Roadster,预计该车将是一款高端限量版跑车,计划于2028年上市。然而,本季度,主导围绕特斯拉讨论的是SpaceX。

Last week, Musk and other executives showed off the redesigned Tesla Roadster, expected to be a higher-end, limited-edition sports car slated for sale in 2028. This quarter, however, it is SpaceX that dominates the conversation around Tesla.

马斯克在周二的SpaceX财报电话会议上表示,这两家由他领导的公司合并“将是个好主意”。身兼两家公司首席执行官的马斯克补充说,两家公司已成立“特别委员会”专门研究合并前景。

A merger between the two Musk-led companies “would be a good idea,” Musk said on Tuesday’s SpaceX earnings call. Musk, who is chief executive of both companies, added that the two have formed “special committees” dedicated to studying a merger prospect.

马斯克表示,他不在任何一个委员会中,任何合并最终将由股东决定。但一项交易可能会让马斯克对合并后的公司拥有更大控制权。周三收盘时,SpaceX股价上涨8%。

Musk said he is not on either committee, and that shareholders will ultimately decide upon any merger. But a deal would likely give Musk increased control over a combined company. Shares of SpaceX were up 8% at the market’s close Wednesday.

SpaceX和特斯拉虽然是独立公司,但长期以来关系密切,并经常开展业务合作。特斯拉持有SpaceX的一小部分股份。这家火箭公司定期从特斯拉购买车辆、电池储能装置和太阳能产品。

SpaceX and Tesla, while separate, have long had close relations and have frequently done business together. Tesla owns a small share in SpaceX. The rocket company regularly purchases vehicles, battery storage units and solar products from Tesla.

特斯拉的充电站和其他产品使用SpaceX的星链卫星互联网。此外,SpaceX和特斯拉正在德克萨斯州共同开发Terafab芯片工厂,以实现其雄心勃勃的AI目标。

Tesla’s charging stations and other products use SpaceX’s Starlink satellite internet. And SpaceX and Tesla are jointly developing the Terafab chip plant in Texas to meet their ambitious AI goals.

马斯克此前曾表示,目前与Terafab项目相关的决策需要两家公司董事会批准。因此,巴克莱分析师指出,合并可能意味着加速该设施的开发。

Musk has previously noted that decisions related to the Terafab project currently need approval by both companies’ boards. So a merger, Barclays analysts noted, could mean speeding up the facility’s development.

RBC分析师写道:“一家联合芯片制造设施,可能消除全球两家最耗算力公司之间昂贵的研发重复。”

“A joint chip manufacturing facility could eliminate costly R&D duplication across two of the most compute-intensive companies in the world,” RBC analysts wrote.

合并两家公司最大的好处,是它们在人工智能(AI)或“超级智能”(SI)方面的共同兴趣,SI是马斯克和特朗普总统现在更倾向使用的缩写。

The biggest upside to merging the two companies is their shared interest in AI, or SI, an acronym for “super intelligence” now preferred by Musk and President Trump.

虽然投资者可能乐于支持创建另一家AI巨头,但马斯克承认,获得一半特斯拉股东的同意将是“相当高的门槛”。摩根大通分析师写道,鉴于特斯拉业务近期表现强劲,包括第二和第三季度交付量超出预期,股东可能会要求对其股份支付更高溢价。

While investors could be keen to support the creation of another AI giant, Musk has acknowledged that getting half of Tesla shares to sign off would be “quite a high hurdle.”J.P. Morgan analysts wrote that shareholders might demand a higher premium on their shares, given the recent strength of Tesla’s business, including higher-than-expected deliveries in the second and third quarters.

他们表示,更大的障碍可能是特斯拉在中国的重大业务存在,考虑到SpaceX与美国政府的联系。

A bigger obstacle, they said, might be Tesla’s major presence in China, given SpaceX’s ties to the U.S. government.

《华尔街日报》今年早些时候报道称,一些特斯拉高管已被告知,为可能的合并做好分拆中国业务的准备。选项可能包括分拆或出售特斯拉的中国业务。

Some Tesla executives have been told to prepare for a separation of the China business ahead of a potential merger, The Wall Street Journal reported earlier this year. Options could include a spinoff or sale of Tesla’s China operation.

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